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The financial market is nonpredictable, as according to the Bachelier, the mathematical expectation of the speculator is zero. Nevertheless, we observe in the price fluctuations the two distinct scales, short and long time. Behaviour of a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 R. Wojnar

Unidirectionally coupled dynamical system is studied by focusing on the input (or boundary) dependence. Due to convective instability, noise at an up-flow is spatially amplified to form an oscillation. The response, given by the down-flow…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-31 Koichi Fujimoto , Kunihiko Kaneko

Cellular processes do not follow deterministic rules; even in identical environments genetically identical cells can make random choices leading to different phenotypes. This randomness originates from fluctuations present in the…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2016-02-02 Elijah Roberts , Shay Be'er , Chris Bohrer , Rati Sharma , Michael Assaf

We introduce a new class of models in which a large number of "agents" organize under the influence of an externally imposed coherent noise. The model shows reorganization events whose size distribution closely follows a power law over many…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Kim Sneppen , M. E. J. Newman

A new framework for asset price dynamics is introduced in which the concept of noisy information about future cash flows is used to derive the price processes. In this framework an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. Each cash flow…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We consider the limiting behavior of fluctuations of small noise diffusions with multiple scales around their homogenized deterministic limit. We allow full dependence of the coefficients on the slow and fast motion. These processes arise…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

A microeconomic approach is proposed to derive the fluctuations of risky asset price, where the market participants are modeled as prospect trading agents. As asset price is generated by the temporary equilibrium between demand and supply,…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-01-31 Yipeng Yang , Allanus Tsoi

System-environment interactions are intrinsically nonlinear and dependent on the interplay between many degrees of freedom. The complexity may be even more pronounced when one aims to describe biologically motivated systems. In that case,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-07-07 L. A. da Silva , E. H. Colombo , C. Anteneodo

A general formalism is developed to construct a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are therefore internal to the system and not externally specified. For…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-09-15 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

We consider a population of agents competing for finite resources using strategies based on two channels of signals. The model is applicable to financial markets, ecosystems and computer networks. We find that the dynamics of the system is…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 K. H. Lee , K. Y. Michael Wong

We propose a simple framework to understand commonly observed crisis waves in macroeconomic Agent Based models, that is also relevant to a variety of other physical or biological situations where synchronization occurs. We compute exactly…

Intracellular fluctuations, mainly triggered by gene expression, are an inevitable phenomenon observed in living cells. It influences generation of phenotypic diversity in genetically identical cells. Such variation of cellular components…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2017-02-08 Alok Kumar Maity , Pinaki Chaudhury , Suman K. Banik

The integration and innovation of finance and technology have gradually transformed the financial system into a complex one. Analyses of the causesd of abnormal fluctuations in the financial market to extract early warning indicators…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-03-20 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang , Wenqing Zhang

The relaxation towards equilibrium of systems with long range interactions is not yet fully understood. As a step towards such a comprehension, we propose the study of the dynamical equilibrium fluctuations in a model system with long range…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Freddy Bouchet

In this article, we present a discrete time modeling framework, in which the shape and dynamics of a Limit Order Book (LOB) arise endogenously from an equilibrium between multiple market participants (agents). We use the proposed modeling…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2017-05-10 Roman Gayduk , Sergey Nadtochiy

We demonstrate that minority mechanisms arise in the dynamics of markets because of effects of price impact; accordingly the relative importance of minority and delayed majority mechanisms depends on the frequency of trading. We then use…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Damien Challet , Tobias Galla

We present a financial market model, characterized by self-organized criticality, that is able to generate endogenously a realistic price dynamics and to reproduce well-known stylized facts. We consider a community of heterogeneous traders,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-11-04 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda

The effects of demographic stochasticity in the long term behaviour of endemic infectious diseases have been considered for long as a necessary addition to an underlying deterministic theory. The latter would explain the regular behaviour…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-08-29 M. Simões , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes

Fluctuations in stock prices are influenced by a complex interplay of factors that go beyond mere historical data. These factors, themselves influenced by external forces, encompass inter-stock dynamics, broader economic factors, various…