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A new estimator is proposed for estimating the tail exponent of a heavy-tailed distribution. This estimator, referred to as the layered Hill estimator, is a generalization of the traditional Hill estimator, building upon a layered structure…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-20 Taegyu Kang , Takashi Owada

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo

On the basis of Nelson-Aalen product-limit estimator of a randomly censored distribution function, we introduce a kernel estimator to the tail index of right-censored Pareto-like data. Under some regularity assumptions, the consistency and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Nour Elhouda Guesmia , Abdelhakim Necir , Djamel Meraghni

Based on suitable left-truncated or censored data, two flexible classes of $M$-estimations of Weibull tail coefficient are proposed with two additional parameters bounding the impact of extreme contamination. Asymptotic normality with…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-18 Chengping Gong , Chengxiu Ling

We study tail estimation in Pareto-like settings for datasets with a high percentage of randomly right-censored data, and where some expert information on the tail index is available for the censored observations. This setting arises for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-13 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

In this work, we propose a class of importance sampling (IS) estimators for estimating the right tail probability of a sum of continuous random variables based on a change of variables to $L^1$ polar coordinates in which the radial and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-19 Thomas Taimre , Patrick J. Laub

On the basis of Nelson-Aalen nonparametric estimator of the cumulative distribution function, we provide a weak approximation to tail product-limit process for randomly right-censored heavy-tailed data. In this context, a new consistent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-25 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

Estimating the tail index parameter is one of the primal objectives in extreme value theory. For heavy-tailed distributions the Hill estimator is the most popular way to estimate the tail index parameter. Improving the Hill estimator was…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-05 László Németh , András Zempléni

This paper investigates pooling strategies for tail index and extreme quantile estimation from heavy-tailed data. To fully exploit the information contained in several samples, we present general weighted pooled Hill estimators of the tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-08 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

In this paper, based on the kernel estimator proposed by Ould-Said and Lemdani (Ann. Instit. Statist. Math. 2006), we develop some new generalized M-estimator procedures for single index regression models with left-truncated responses. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-22 Kong Lingtao , Zhang Yanli , Dai Hongshuai

We introduce a new type of estimator for the spectral tail process of a regularly varying time series. The approach is based on a characterizing invariance property of the spectral tail process, which is incorporated into the new estimator…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-16 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit

This paper considers estimation and inference about tail features when the observations beyond some threshold are censored. We first show that ignoring such tail censoring could lead to substantial bias and size distortion, even if the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-25 Yulong Wang , Zhijie Xiao

We propose a class of weighted least squares estimators for the tail index of a distribution function with a regularly varying upper tail. Our approach is based on the method developed by \cite{Holan2010} for the Parzen tail index.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-02 Amenah AL-Najafi , László Viharos

Numerous robust estimators exist as alternatives to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) when a completely observed ground-up loss severity sample dataset is available. However, the options for robust alternatives to MLE become…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

The extreme value theory is very popular in applied sciences including Finance, economics, hydrology and many other disciplines. In univariate extreme value theory, we model the data by a suitable distribution from the general max-domain of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh

In several applications, ultimately at the largest data, truncation effects can be observed when analysing tail characteristics of statistical distributions. In some cases truncation effects are forecasted through physical models such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Jan Beirlant , Isabel Fraga Alves , Tom Reynkens

In extreme value inference it is a fundamental problem how the target value is required to be extreme by the extreme value theory. In iid settings this study both theoretically and numerically compares tail estimators, which are based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-04 Taku Moriyama

We introduce a trimmed version of the Hill estimator for the index of a heavy-tailed distribution, which is robust to perturbations in the extreme order statistics. In the ideal Pareto setting, the estimator is essentially finite-sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-24 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Michael Kallitsis , Stilian Stoev

The subject of tail estimation for randomly censored data from a heavy tailed distribution receives growing attention, motivated by applications for instance in actuarial statistics. The bias of the available estimators of the extreme value…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-19 Jan Beirlant , Gaonyalelwe Maribe , Andrehette Verster