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Improved estimation of hydrometeorological states from down-sampled observations and background model forecasts in a noisy environment, has been a subject of growing research in the past decades. Here, we introduce a unified framework that…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-09-15 Ardeshir Mohammad Ebtehaj , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

Ridge regression with random coefficients provides an important alternative to fixed coefficients regression in high dimensional setting when the effects are expected to be small but not zeros. This paper considers estimation and prediction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-29 Hongzhe Zhang , Hongzhe Li

In hydrology, modeling streamflow remains a challenging task due to the limited availability of basin characteristics information such as soil geology and geomorphology. These characteristics may be noisy due to measurement errors or may be…

We consider the problem of sampling from an unknown distribution for which only a sufficiently large number of training samples are available. In this paper, we build on previous work combining Schr\"odinger bridges and plug & play Langevin…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Georg A. Gottwald , Sebastian Reich

This article provides, through theoretical analysis, an in-depth understanding of the classification performance of the empirical risk minimization framework, in both ridge-regularized and unregularized cases, when high dimensional data are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-26 Xiaoyi Mai , Zhenyu Liao

Likelihood-free methods are an essential tool for performing inference for implicit models which can be simulated from, but for which the corresponding likelihood is intractable. However, common likelihood-free methods do not scale well to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-15 Christopher Drovandi , David J Nott , David T Frazier

We propose a new and generic approach for detecting multiple change-points in dynamic networks with Markov formation, termed random interval distillation (RID). By collecting random intervals with sufficient strength of signals and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Xinyuan Fan , Weichi Wu

Risk assessment for extreme events requires accurate estimation of high quantiles that go beyond the range of historical observations. When the risk depends on the values of observed predictors, regression techniques are used to interpolate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-14 Olivier C. Pasche , Sebastian Engelke

There is a propensity for an extreme value analyses to be conducted as a consequence of the occurrence of a large flooding event. This timing of the analysis introduces bias and poor coverage probabilities into the associated risk…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Anna Maria Barlow , Chris Sherlock , Jonathan Tawn

Appropriate modelling of extreme skew surges is crucial, particularly for coastal risk management. Our study focuses on modelling extreme skew surges along the French Atlantic coast, with a particular emphasis on investigating the extremal…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Nathan Huet , Philippe Naveau , Anne Sabourin

Capture-recapture methods aim to estimate the size of a closed population on the basis of multiple incomplete enumerations of individuals. In many applications, the individual probability of being recorded is heterogeneous in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-08 James E. Johndrow , Kristian Lum , Daniel Manrique-Vallier

River water-quality monitoring is increasingly conducted using automated in situ sensors, enabling timelier identification of unexpected values. However, anomalies caused by technical issues confound these data, while the volume and…

Building upon score-based learning, new interest in stochastic localization techniques has recently emerged. In these models, one seeks to noise a sample from the data distribution through a stochastic process, called observation process,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Louis Grenioux , Maxence Noble , Marylou Gabrié , Alain Oliviero Durmus

The method of constrained randomisation is applied to three-dimensional simulated galaxy distributions. With this technique we generate for a given data set surrogate data sets which have the same linear properties as the original data…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 C. Raeth , W. Bunk , M. Huber , G. Morfill , J. Retzlaff , P. Schuecker

Discrete Markov random fields are undirected graphical models that capture complex conditional dependencies between discrete variables. Conducting exact posterior inference in these models is often computationally challenging because…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Giuseppe Arena , Maarten Marsman

Datasets in the fields of climate and environment are often very large and irregularly spaced. To model such datasets, the widely used Gaussian process models in spatial statis- tics face tremendous challenges due to the prohibitive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-31 Huang Huang , Ying Sun

Concurrent floods and concurrent droughts in nearby catchments pose challenges to risk assessment and water management. Climate change is affecting extremely high and low discharge, but the complex interplay between changes in individual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-24 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. Richards , B. Poschlod , A. Sasse , J. Zscheischler

A Markov tree is a probabilistic graphical model for a random vector indexed by the nodes of an undirected tree encoding conditional independence relations between variables. One possible limit distribution of partial maxima of samples from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-19 Stefka Asenova , Gildas Mazo , Johan Segers

We propose an inlier-based outlier detection method capable of both identifying the outliers and explaining why they are outliers, by identifying the outlier-specific features. Specifically, we employ an inlier-based outlier detection…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-22 Makoto Yamada , Song Liu , Samuel Kaski

Improving and optimizing oceanographic sampling is a crucial task for marine science and maritime resource management. Faced with limited resources in understanding processes in the water-column, the combination of statistics and autonomous…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-19 Trygve Olav Fossum , Cédric Travelletti , Jo Eidsvik , David Ginsbourger , Kanna Rajan