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The Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) has a decisive influence on India's agricultural output and economy. Extreme deviations from the normal seasonal amount of rainfall can cause severe droughts or floods, affecting Indian food…

Extreme rainfall over the Indian monsoon region poses severe societal and infrastructural risks but remains difficult to predict at daily time scales due to stochastic convective triggering and multiscale atmospheric interactions. While…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-04 Arun Govind Neelan

Observations of soil moisture (SM) during excess and deficit monsoon seasons between 2000 to 2021 present a unique opportunity to understand the soil water dynamics (SWD) over core monsoon zone (CMZ) of India. This study aims to analyse SWD…

Assessing the availability of rainfall water plays a crucial role in rainfed agriculture. Given the substantial proportion of agricultural practices in India being rainfed and considering the potential trends in rainfall amounts across…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Sayan Bhowmik , Arnab Hazra

There has been global attention focused on extreme climatic changes. The purpose of this paper is to explore the response of extreme precipitation events to solar activity, over Kerala, India. The three solar indices - sunspot number, F10.7…

空间物理 · 物理学 2024-11-19 Elizabeth Thomas , S. Vineeth , Noble P. Abraham

We present a study on the spatio-temporal pattern underlying the climate dynamics in various locations spread over India, including the Himalayan region, coastal region, central and northeastern parts of India. We try to capture the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-24 Joshin John Bejoy , Jayesh Dave , G. Ambika

Rainfall forecasting plays a critical role in climate adaptation, agriculture, and water resource management. This study develops long-term forecasts of monthly rainfall across 19 districts of West Bengal using a century-scale dataset…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Jishu Adhikary , Raju Maiti

The use of the annual maximum series for flood frequency analyses limits the considered information to one event per year and one sample that is assumed to be homogeneous. However, flood may have different generating processes, such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-11-29 Svenja Fischer

Skilful prediction of the seasonal Indian summer monsoon (ISM) rainfall (ISMR) at least one season in advance has great socio-economic value. It represents a lifeline for about a sixth of the world's population. The ISMR prediction remained…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-01-13 Ushnanshu Dutta , Anupam Hazra , Subodh Kumar Saha , Hemantkumar S. Chaudhari , Samir Pokhrel , Mahen Konwar

In contrast to the wet gets wetter and dry gets drier paradigm, here, using observations and climate model simulations, we show that the mean rainfall over the semi-arid northwest parts of India and Pakistan has increased by 10 to 50…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-29 P. V. Rajesh , B. N. Goswami

The gridding of daily accumulated precipitation -- especially extremes -- from ground-based station observations is problematic due to the fractal nature of precipitation, and therefore estimates of long period return values and their…

The time series data of the monthly rainfall records (for the time period 1871-2002) in All India and different regions of India are analyzed. It is found that the distributions of the rainfall intensity exhibit perfect power law behavior.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 A. Sarkar , P. Barat

Advancements in remote sensing have led to development of several satellite-derived precipitation products; however, their accuracy must be evaluated before use in scientific and operational studies. This study comprehensively assesses six…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-26 Ajay Bankar , Praveenkumar Venkatesan , Rakesh V , Gaurav Chopra , R I Sujith

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) and the West African Monsoon (WAM) are dominant drivers of boreal summer precipitation variability in tropical and subtropical regions. Although the regional precipitation dynamics in these two regions have…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-05-15 Felix Strnad , Kieran M. R. Hunt , Niklas Boers , Bedartha Goswami

We carry out a study of the statistical distribution of rainfall precipitation data for 20 cites in India. We have determined the best-fit probability distribution for these cities from the monthly precipitation data spanning 100 years of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-20 Anumandla Sukrutha , Sristi Ram Dyuthi , Shantanu Desai

A monsoon is a wind system that seasonally reverses its direction, accompanied by corresponding changes in precipitation. The Indian monsoon is the most prominent monsoon system, primarily affecting India's rainy season and its surrounding…

This paper examines the relationship between solar activity and extreme rainfall events in Kerala, India. Kerala receives minimum and maximum rainfall during winter and monsoon seasons. Sunspot number, F10.7 Index, and cosmic ray intensity…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-11-15 Elizabeth Thomas , S. Vineeth , Noble P. Abraham

We revisit long-standing controversies regarding relationships among the all-India rainfall index (AIRI), sub-India summer rainfall variations, El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) using 120-year sea…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-17 Spencer A Hill , Adam H Sobel , Michela Biasutti , Mark A Cane

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah

We present a stochastic mean-reverting jump-diffusion model to simulate rainfall time series and validate it using long-term half-hourly rain fall data from the North-East region of India. The model captures the intermittent and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-04-10 Joya GhoshDastider , D. Pal , Pankaj Kumar Mishra