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The delta method creates more general inference results when coupled with central limit theorem results for the finite population. This opens up a range of new estimators for which we can find finite population asymptotic properties. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-31 Nicole E. Pashley

The Central Limit Theorem provides a foundation for inferential statistics and hypothesis testing. It describes how standardized statistics behave under repeated sampling from large populations. However, if the size of the sample (n)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Mike Crowhurst

A central limit theorem is established for a sum of random variables belonging to a sequence of random fields. The fields are assumed to have zero mean conditional on the past history and to satisfy certain conditional $\alpha$-mixing…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-17 Abdollah Jalilian , Arnaud Poinas , Ganggang Xu , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Parameters of sub-populations can be more relevant than super-population ones. For example, a healthcare provider may be interested in the effect of a treatment plan for a specific subset of their patients; policymakers may be concerned…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Ying Jin , Dominik Rothenhäusler

The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

Traditional statistical inference in cluster randomized trials typically invokes the asymptotic theory that requires the number of clusters to approach infinity. In this article, we propose an alternative conformal causal inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-03 Bingkai Wang , Fan Li , Mengxin Yu

Confidence intervals based on the central limit theorem (CLT) are a cornerstone of classical statistics. Despite being only asymptotically valid, they are ubiquitous because they permit statistical inference under weak assumptions and can…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-15 Ian Waudby-Smith , David Arbour , Ritwik Sinha , Edward H. Kennedy , Aaditya Ramdas

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

General Central limit theorem deals with weak limits (in type) of sums of row-elements of array random variables. In some situations as in the invariance principle problem, the sums may include only parts of the row-elements. For strictly…

In finite population causal inference exact randomization tests can be constructed for sharp null hypotheses, i.e. hypotheses which fully impute the missing potential outcomes. Oftentimes inference is instead desired for the weak null that…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-03 Peter L. Cohen , Colin B. Fogarty

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) establishes that sufficiently large sequences of independent and identically distributed random variables converge in probability to a normal distribution. This makes the CLT a fundamental building block of…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Henning Basold , Oisín Flynn-Connolly , Chase Ford , Hao Wang

Design-based causal inference, also known as randomization-based or finite-population causal inference, is one of the most widely used causal inference frameworks, largely due to the merit that its validity can be guaranteed by study design…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Siyu Heng , Jiawei Zhang , Yang Feng

In this paper we consider the asymptotic distributions of functionals of the sample covariance matrix and the sample mean vector obtained under the assumption that the matrix of observations has a matrix-variate location mixture of normal…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Stepan Mazur , Nestor Parolya

Over the last 30 years, extensive work has been devoted to developing central limit theory for partial sums of subordinated long memory linear time series. A much less studied problem, motivated by questions that are ubiquitous in extreme…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-24 Ioan Scheffel , Marco Oesting , Gilles Stupfler

In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently, it has been shown…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

The standard approach to causal modelling especially in social and health sciences is the potential outcomes framework due to Neyman and Rubin. In this framework, observations are thought to be drawn from a distribution over variables of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Benedikt Höltgen , Robert C. Williamson

In panel experiments, we randomly assign units to different interventions, measuring their outcomes, and repeating the procedure in several periods. Using the potential outcomes framework, we define finite population dynamic causal effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-28 Iavor Bojinov , Ashesh Rambachan , Neil Shephard
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