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Existence and stability properties are studied for Hawkes process, i.e. point process $S$ that has long-memory and intensity $r(t)=\lambda \big(g_0(t)+ \sum_{\tau<t, \tau \in S} h(t-\tau) \big)$. The approach to Hawkes process presented in…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-17 Dmytro Karabash

We construct a Hunt process that can be described as an isotropic $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process reflected from the complement of a bounded open Lipschitz set. In fact, we introduce a new analytic method for concatenating Markov processes.…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-07 Krzysztof Bogdan , Markus Kunze

We study the asymptotic properties of the solutions of a nonlinear renewal equation. The main contribution of the present article is to provide stability and convergence results around equilibrium solutions, under some local subcritical…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-12-17 Céline Duval , Eric Luçon

This paper discusses a special class of nonlinear Hawkes processes, where the rate function is the exponential function. We call these processes loglinear Hawkes processes. In the main theorem, we give sufficient conditions for explosion…

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

The Hawkes process is a popular point process model for event sequences that exhibit temporal clustering. The intensity process of a Hawkes process consists of two components, the baseline intensity and the accumulated excitation effect due…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-20 Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan , Feng Chen , William Dunsmuir

We develop a quasi-likelihood analysis procedure for a general class of multivariate marked point processes. As a by-product of the general method, we establish under stability and ergodicity conditions the local asymptotic normality of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-06 Simon Clinet

In this paper, we introduce a new class of processes which are diffusions with jumps driven by a multivariate nonlinear Hawkes process. Our goal is to study their long-time behavior. In the case of exponential memory kernels for the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-09 Charlotte Dion , Sarah Lemler , Eva Löcherbach

The Hawkes process is a simple point process that has long memory, clustering effect, self-exciting property and is in general non-Markovian. The future evolution of a self-exciting point process is influenced by the timing of the past…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-25 Lingjiong Zhu

We study a Markov process with two components: the first component evolves according to one of finitely many underlying Markovian dynamics, with a choice of dynamics that changes at the jump times of the second component. The second…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-14 Bertrand Cloez , Martin Hairer

We prove regenerative properties for the linear Hawkes process under minimal assumptions on the transfer function, which may have unbounded support. These results are applicable to sliding window statistical estimators. We exploit…

概率论 · 数学 2019-06-07 Carl Graham

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

An extension of the Hawkes process, the Marked Hawkes process distinguishes itself by featuring variable jump size across each event, in contrast to the constant jump size observed in a Hawkes process without marks. While extensive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Sobin Joseph , Shashi Jain

We study nonequilibrium cascades in which fragile bound or coherent structures are formed through intermediate states rather than by direct equilibration. Motivated by light-nuclei production in relativistic heavy-ion collisions and by…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2026-02-05 Takeshi Fukuyama

We present a numerical method to compute non-equilibrium memory kernels based on experimental data or molecular dynamics simulations. The procedure uses a recasting of the non-stationary generalized Langevin equation, in which we expand the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-05-29 Hugues Meyer , Philipp Pelagejcev , Tanja Schilling

Oscillatory systems of interacting Hawkes processes with Erlang memory kernels were introduced in Ditlevsen (2017). They are piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP) and can be approximated by a stochastic diffusion. First, a strong…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-03-25 Julien Chevallier , Anna Melnykova , Irene Tubikanec

We derive quantitative bounds in the Wasserstein distance for the approximation of stochastic integrals with respect to Hawkes processes by a normally distributed random variable. In the case of deterministic and non-negative integrands,…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-09 Mahmoud Khabou , Nicolas Privault , Anthony Reveillac

We study a class of interacting nonlinear Hawkes point processes on the integer lattice in which each component is reset after its own jumps. The intensity of a component depends on the post-reset activity of its nearest neighbours, which…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-14 Branda P. I. Gonçalves , Lucien Mauffret

Due to its clustering and self-exciting properties, the Hawkes process has been used extensively in numerous fields ranging from sismology to finance. Since data is often aquired on regular time intervals, we propose a piece-wise constant…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-28 Lorick Huang , Mahmoud Khabou
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