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In many analyses in high energy physics, attempts are made to remove the effects of detector smearing in data by techniques referred to as "unfolding" histograms, thus obtaining estimates of the true values of histogram bin contents. Such…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-07-26 Robert D. Cousins , Samuel J. May , Yipeng Sun

Motivated by applications to goodness of fit testing, the empirical likelihood approach is generalized to allow for the number of constraints to grow with the sample size and for the constraints to use estimated criteria functions. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-07-24 Hanxiang Peng , Anton Schick

Binned maximum likelihood fits are an attractive option when analysing large datasets, but require care when computing likelihoods of continuous PDFs in bins. For many years the widely used statistical modelling package RooFit evaluated…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-08-06 V. V. Gligorov , S. Hageboeck , T. Nanut , A. Sciandra , D. Y. Tou

We consider several detection situations where, under the alternative hypothesis, the signal admits a low complexity model and, under both the null and the alternative hypotheses, the distribution of the background noise is {unknown}. We…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-12-08 D. Mary , S. Bourguignon , E. Roquain , S. Sulis , M. Perrot-Dockes

Complete anomaly detection strategies that are both signal sensitive and compatible with background estimation have largely focused on resonant signals. Non-resonant new physics scenarios are relatively under-explored and may arise from…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2024-05-08 Kehang Bai , Radha Mastandrea , Benjamin Nachman

We study the parameter estimation problem in mixture models with observational nonidentifiability: the full model (also containing hidden variables) is identifiable, but the marginal (observed) model is not. Hence global maxima of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-20 A. E. Allahverdyan

Invertibility conditions for observation-driven time series models often fail to be guaranteed in empirical applications. As a result, the asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood and quasi-maximum likelihood estimators may be compromised.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-10-11 F Blasques , P Gorgi , S Koopman , O Wintenberger

Fitting models to data is an important part of the practice of science. Advances in machine learning have made it possible to fit more -- and more complex -- models, but have also exacerbated a problem: when multiple models fit the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Alexandre René , André Longtin

The classical concept of bounded completeness and its relation to sufficiency and ancillarity play a fundamental role in unbiased estimation, unbiased testing, and the validity of inference in the presence of nuisance parameters. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-03 Marc Hallin , Bas Werker , Bo Zhou

Model-independent searches in particle physics aim at completing our knowledge of the universe by looking for new possible particles not predicted by the current theories. Such particles, referred to as signal, are expected to behave as a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-31 Alessandro Casa , Giovanna Menardi

Latent space models have been widely adopted in modeling network data. Developing statistical inference for estimated model parameters enables quantifying associated uncertainty and is pivotal for downstream tasks. Despite recent progress…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-12 Yuang Tian , Jiajin Sun , Yinqiu He

The availability of high-throughput parallel methods for sequencing microbial communities is increasing our knowledge of the microbial world at an unprecedented rate. Though most attention has focused on determining lower-bounds on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-09-15 Manuel Lladser , Raúl Gouet , Jens Reeder

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

The use of standard statistical methods, such as maximum likelihood, is often justified based on their asymptotic properties. For suitably regular models, this theory is standard but, when the model is non-regular, e.g., the support depends…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-25 Ryan Martin , Yi Lin

A combination of deep reinforcement learning and supervised learning is proposed for the problem of active sequential hypothesis testing in completely unknown environments. We make no assumptions about the prior probability, the action and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-06-07 George Stamatelis , Nicholas Kalouptsidis

Estimating the impact of systematic uncertainties in particle physics experiments is challenging, especially since the detector response is unknown analytically in most situations and needs to be estimated through Monte Carlo (MC)…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2023-07-28 Leander Fischer , Richard Naab , Alexandra Trettin

We propose a novel quantum technique to search for unmodeled anomalies in multidimensional binned collider data. We propose associating an Ising lattice spin site with each bin, with the Ising Hamiltonian suitably constructed from the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-06-30 Konstantin T. Matchev , Prasanth Shyamsundar , Jordan Smolinsky

In hypothesis testing problems the property of strict unbiasedness describes whether a test is able to discriminate, in the sense of a difference in power, between any distribution in the null hypothesis space and any distribution in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-11 Andrew McCormack

Survival analysis is a widely-used technique for analyzing time-to-event data in the presence of censoring. In recent years, numerous survival analysis methods have emerged which scale to large datasets and relax traditional assumptions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-06 Mert Ketenci , Shreyas Bhave , Noémie Elhadad , Adler Perotte

In this paper, we study a generalization of the two-groups model in the presence of covariates --- a problem that has recently received much attention in the statistical literature due to its applicability in multiple hypotheses testing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-01 Nabarun Deb , Sujayam Saha , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen