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Ranking a vector of alternatives on the basis of a series of paired comparisons is a relevant topic in many instances. A popular example is ranking contestants in sport tournaments. To this purpose, paired comparison models such as the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-15 Guido Masarotto , Cristiano Varin

Paired comparison models, such as the Bradley-Terry (1952) model and its variants, are commonly used to measure competitor strength in games and sports. Extensions have been proposed to account for order effects (e.g., home-field advantage)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Mark E. Glickman

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina

We compare various extensions of the Bradley-Terry model and a hierarchical Poisson log-linear model in terms of their performance in predicting the outcome of soccer matches (win, draw, or loss). The parameters of the Bradley-Terry…

For nonbalanced paired comparisons, a wide variety of ranking methods have been proposed. One of the best popular methods is the Bradley-Terry model in which the ranking of a set of objects is decided by the maximum likelihood estimates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-07 Ting Yan

The standard way to evaluate language models on subjective tasks is through pairwise comparisons: an annotator chooses the "better" of two responses to a prompt. Leaderboards aggregate these comparisons into a single Bradley-Terry (BT)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Hadi Khalaf , Serena L. Wang , Daniel Halpern , Itai Shapira , Flavio du Pin Calmon , Ariel D. Procaccia

Paired comparison models, such as Bradley-Terry and Thurstone-Mosteller, are commonly used to estimate relative strengths of pairwise compared items in tournament-style data. We discuss estimation of paired comparison models with a ridge…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-03 Cristiano Varin , David Firth

Australian Rules Football is a field invasion game where two teams attempt to score the highest points to win. Complex machine learning algorithms have been developed to predict match outcomes post-game, but their lack of interpretability…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-05-22 Carlos Rafael Gonzalez Soffner , Manuele Leonelli

Frequently in sporting competitions it is desirable to compare teams based on records of varying schedule strength. Methods have been developed for sports where the result outcomes are win, draw, or loss. In this paper those ideas are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-22 Ian Hamilton , David Firth

Markov decision processes model systems subject to nondeterministic and probabilistic uncertainty. A plethora of verification techniques addresses variations of reachability properties, such as: Is there a scheduler resolving the…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Lina Gerlach , Tobias Winkler , Erika Ábrahám , Borzoo Bonakdarpour , Sebastian Junges

The dynamic ranking, due to its increasing importance in many applications, is becoming crucial, especially with the collection of voluminous time-dependent data. One such application is sports statistics, where dynamic ranking aids in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Xin-Yu Tian , Jian Shi , Xiaotong Shen , Kai Song

Can one understand the statistics of wins and losses of baseball teams? Are their consecutive-game winning and losing streaks self-reinforcing or can they be described statistically? We apply the Bradley-Terry model, which incorporates the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-07-25 C. Sire , S. Redner

We consider the problem of estimating the probability matrix governing a tournament or linkage in graphs from incomplete observations, under the assumption that the probability matrix satisfies natural monotonicity constraints after being…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-05 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Sumit Mukherjee

This paper proposes a Bayesian model to compare multiple algorithms on multiple data sets, on any metric. The model is based on the Bradley-Terry model, that counts the number of times one algorithm performs better than another on different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Jacques Wainer

We revisit a fundamental result in real-time verification, namely that the binary reachability relation between configurations of a given timed automaton is definable in linear arithmetic over the integers and reals. In this paper we give a…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2017-04-20 Karin Quaas , Mahsa Shirmohammadi , James Worrell

The Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model is a classic and very popular statistical approach for eliciting a global ranking among a collection of items using pairwise comparison data. In applications in which the comparison outcomes are observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-30 Wanshan Li , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Multiple teams participate in a random competition. In each round the winner receives one point. We study the times until ties occur among teams. We construct martingales and supermartingales that enable us to prove the results regarding…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-01 Ivan Matic

This paper considers the robustness of an uncertain nonlinear system along a finite-horizon trajectory. The uncertain system is modeled as a connection of a nonlinear system and a perturbation. The analysis relies on three ingredients.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-05 Peter Seiler , Raghu Venkataraman

Several methods of preference modeling, ranking, voting and multi-criteria decision making include pairwise comparisons. It is usually simpler to compare two objects at a time, furthermore, some relations (e.g., the outcome of sports…

This contribution introduces a novel statistical learning methodology based on the Bradley-Terry method for pairwise comparisons, where the novelty arises from the method's capacity to estimate the worth of objects for a primary attribute…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Sjoerd Hermes , Joost van Heerwaarden , Pariya Behrouzi