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Subsampling and block-based bootstrap methods have been used in a wide range of inference problems for time series. To accommodate the dependence, these resampling methods involve a bandwidth parameter, such as subsampling window width and…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-04-05 Xiaofeng Shao , Dimitris N. Politis

Obtaining quantitative survey responses that are both accurate and informative is crucial to a wide range of fields. Traditional and ubiquitous response formats such as Likert and Visual Analogue Scales require condensation of responses…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2021-03-11 Zack Ellerby , Christian Wagner , Stephen Broomell

This paper introduces the jackknife+, which is a novel method for constructing predictive confidence intervals. Whereas the jackknife outputs an interval centered at the predicted response of a test point, with the width of the interval…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We present a method for producing unbiased parameter estimates and valid confidence intervals under the constraints of differential privacy, a formal framework for limiting individual information leakage from sensitive data. Prior work in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-15 Christian Covington , Xi He , James Honaker , Gautam Kamath

We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

Recently, authors have studied weighted version of Kerridge inaccuracy measure for truncated distributions. In the present communication we introduce the notion of weighted interval inaccuracy measure for two-sided truncated random…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-08 Chanchal Kundu

We propose an iterative scheme for feature-based positioning using a new weighted dissimilarity measure with the goal of reducing the impact of large errors among the measured or modeled features. The weights are computed from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-31 Caifa Zhou , Andreas Wieser

We propose a method for constructing confidence intervals that account for many forms of spatial correlation. The interval has the familiar `estimator plus and minus a standard error times a critical value' form, but we propose new methods…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-19 Ulrich K. Müller , Mark W. Watson

This paper develops distribution theory and bootstrap-based inference methods for a broad class of convex pairwise difference estimators. These estimators minimize a kernel-weighted convex-in-parameter function over observation pairs with…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

Conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction intervals with finite-sample coverage guarantees, and recent work by Snell \& Griffiths reframes it as Bayesian Quadrature (BQ-CP), yielding powerful data-conditional guarantees via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Xiayin Lou , Peng Luo

Measurements are generally collected as unilateral or bilateral data in clinical trials or observational studies. For example, in ophthalmology studies, the primary outcome is often obtained from one eye or both eyes of an individual. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-01 Kejia Wang , Chang-Xing Ma

Estimating the mode of a unimodal distribution is a classical problem in statistics. Although there are several approaches for point-estimation of mode in the literature, very little has been explored about the interval-estimation of mode.…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-01 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

High-dimensional linear models with endogenous variables play an increasingly important role in recent econometric literature. In this work we allow for models with many endogenous variables and many instrument variables to achieve…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-30 Alexandre Belloni , Christian Hansen , Whitney Newey

We propose a scalable variational Bayes method for statistical inference for a single or low-dimensional subset of the coordinates of a high-dimensional parameter in sparse linear regression. Our approach relies on assigning a mean-field…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Ismaël Castillo , Alice L'Huillier , Kolyan Ray , Luke Travis

This paper studies the identification and estimation of weighted average derivatives of conditional location functionals including conditional mean and conditional quantiles in settings where either the outcome variable or a regressor is…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-24 Hiroaki Kaido

We explore a novel methodology for constructing confidence regions for parameters of linear models, using predictions from any arbitrary predictor. Our framework requires minimal assumptions on the noise and can be extended to functions…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

Weighted average sampling is more practical and numerically more stable than sampling at single points as in the classical Shannon sampling framework. Using the frame theory, one can completely reconstruct a bandlimited function from its…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-07-04 Haizhang Zhang

In this paper, we propose and study construction of confidence bands for shape-constrained regression functions when the predictor is multivariate. In particular, we consider the continuous multidimensional white noise model given by $d…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-24 Ashley , Datta , Somabha Mukherjee , Bodhisattva Sen

Constructing prediction intervals for time series forecasting is challenging, particularly when practitioners rely solely on point forecasts. While previous research has focused on creating increasingly efficient intervals, we argue that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-20 Carlos Sebastián , Carlos E. González-Guillén , Jesús Juan

Probabilistic regression models typically use the Maximum Likelihood Estimation or Cross-Validation to fit parameters. These methods can give an advantage to the solutions that fit observations on average, but they do not pay attention to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-24 Naoufal Acharki , Antoine Bertoncello , Josselin Garnier