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This paper develops robust confidence intervals in high-dimensional and left-censored regression. Type-I censored regression models are extremely common in practice, where a competing event makes the variable of interest unobservable.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-16 Jelena Bradic , Jiaqi Guo

To consider model uncertainty in global Fr\'{e}chet regression and improve density response prediction, we propose a frequentist model averaging method. The weights are chosen by minimizing a cross-validation criterion based on Wasserstein…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Xingyu Yan , Xinyu Zhang , Peng Zhao

The average distance from a node to all other nodes in a graph, or from a query point in a metric space to a set of points, is a fundamental quantity in data analysis. The inverse of the average distance, known as the (classic) closeness…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-06-29 Shiri Chechik , Edith Cohen , Haim Kaplan

In this study, we analyzed the problem of accelerating the linear average consensus algorithm for complex networks. We propose a data-driven approach to tuning the weights of temporal (i.e., time-varying) networks using deep learning…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-29 Masako Kishida , Masaki Ogura , Yuichi Yoshida , Tadashi Wadayama

While the traditional viewpoint in machine learning and statistics assumes training and testing samples come from the same population, practice belies this fiction. One strategy -- coming from robust statistics and optimization -- is thus…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John C. Duchi

We consider a high-probability non-asymptotic confidence estimation in the $\ell^2$-regularized non-linear least-squares setting with fixed design. In particular, we study confidence estimation for local minimizers of the regularized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Ilja Kuzborskij , Yasin Abbasi Yadkori

This paper explores the following question: what kind of statistical guarantees can be given when doing variable selection in high-dimensional models? In particular, we look at the error rates and power of some multi-stage regression…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-20 Larry Wasserman , Kathryn Roeder

As neural networks become more popular, the need for accompanying uncertainty estimates increases. There are currently two main approaches to test the quality of these estimates. Most methods output a density. They can be compared by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

Having a regression model, we are interested in finding two-sided intervals that are guaranteed to contain at least a desired proportion of the conditional distribution of the response variable given a specific combination of predictors. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-22 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Mathieu Serrurier , Nicolas Durand

Standard statistical methods that do not take proper account of the complexity of survey design can lead to erroneous inferences when applied to survey data due to unequal selection probabilities, clustering, and other design features. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-04 Jae-kwang Kim , J. N. K. Rao , Zhonglei Wang

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals (CIs) for the population mean of $N$ values $\{x_1, \ldots, x_N\} \subset \Sigma^N$ based on a random sample of size $n$, denoted by $X^n \equiv (X_1, \ldots, X_n)$, drawn…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-17 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

Confidence sets play a fundamental role in statistical inference. In this paper, we consider confidence intervals for high dimensional linear regression with random design. We first establish the convergence rates of the minimax expected…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-30 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo

Recently, Kabaila and Wijethunga assessed the performance of a confidence interval centred on a bootstrap smoothed estimator, with width proportional to an estimator of Efron's delta method approximation to the standard deviation of this…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-29 Paul Kabaila , Christeen Wijethunga

Existing inferential methods for small area data involve a trade-off between maintaining area-level frequentist coverage rates and improving inferential precision via the incorporation of indirect information. In this article, we propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-19 Elizabeth Bersson , Peter D. Hoff

High-dimensional regression models with regularized sparse estimation are widely applied. For statistical inferences, debiased methods are available about single coefficients or predictions with sparse new covariate vectors (also called…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-16 Libin Liang , Zhiqiang Tan

This short study presents an opportunistic approach to a (more) reliable validation method for prediction uncertainty average calibration. Considering that variance-based calibration metrics (ZMS, NLL, RCE...) are quite sensitive to the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Pascal Pernot
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