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Variable selection for high-dimensional, highly correlated data has long been a challenging problem, often yielding unstable and unreliable models. We propose a resample-aggregate framework that exploits diffusion models' ability to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-20 Minjie Wang , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Objectives: Estimation of areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and their differences is a key task in diagnostic studies. We aimed to derive, evaluate, and implement simple sample size formulas for such studies with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-03 Di Shu , Guangyong Zou

We develop a collection of methods for adjusting the predictions of quantile regression to ensure coverage. Our methods are model agnostic and can be used to correct for high-dimensional overfitting bias with only minimal assumptions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-10 Isaac Gibbs , John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

Randomization testing is a fundamental method in statistics, enabling inferential tasks such as testing for (conditional) independence of random variables, constructing confidence intervals in semiparametric location models, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-21 Yash Nair , Lucas Janson

We propose a bootstrap-based calibrated projection procedure to build confidence intervals for single components and for smooth functions of a partially identified parameter vector in moment (in)equality models. The method controls…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-03 Hiroaki Kaido , Francesca Molinari , Jörg Stoye

We study exact confidence intervals and two-sided hypothesis tests for univariate parameters of stochastically increasing discrete distributions, such as the binomial and Poisson distributions. It is shown that several popular methods for…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-03 MÅns Thulin , Silvelyn Zwanzig

We study confidence interval construction for linear regression under Huber's contamination model, where an unknown fraction of noise variables is arbitrarily corrupted. While robust point estimation in this setting is well understood,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-03 Dong Xie , Chao Gao , John Lafferty

Although conformal prediction provides robust marginal coverage guarantees, achieving reliable conditional coverage for specific inputs remains challenging. While exact distribution-free conditional coverage is impossible with finite…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Qianyi Chen , Bo Li

We study high-dimensional linear models with error-in-variables. Such models are motivated by various applications in econometrics, finance and genetics. These models are challenging because of the need to account for measurement errors to…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-03 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Abhishek Kaul

Many recently developed Bayesian methods have focused on sparse signal detection. However, much less work has been done addressing the natural follow-up question: how to make valid inferences for the magnitude of those signals after…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-02 Spencer Woody , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

Extant "fast" algorithms for Monte Carlo confidence sets are limited to univariate shift parameters for the one-sample and two-sample problems using the sample mean as the test statistic; moreover, some do not converge reliably and most do…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-27 Amanda K. Glazer , Philip B. Stark

We develop joint confidence regions for linear regression coefficients when the regressors and errors are jointly stationary and ergodic with unspecified serial dependence. The method applies random smoothing, using an independent auxiliary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Mous-Abou Hamadou , Martial Longla , Mathias Nthiani Muia , Mahmud Hasan

We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

We develop a fast and accurate grouped penalized credible region approach for variable selection and prediction in Bayesian high-dimensional linear regression. Most existing Bayesian methods either are subject to high computational costs…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Weichang Yu , Khue-Dung Dang

Statistical inference of the high-dimensional regression coefficients is challenging because the uncertainty introduced by the model selection procedure is hard to account for. A critical question remains unsettled; that is, is it possible…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-06 Xiaorui Zhu , Yichen Qin , Peng Wang

Standard conformal anomaly detection provides marginal finite-sample guarantees under the assumption of exchangeability . However, real-world data often exhibit distribution shifts, necessitating a weighted conformal approach to adapt to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Oliver Hennhöfer , Christine Preisach

Despite the popularism of Bayesian neural networks in recent years, its use is somewhat limited in complex and big data situations due to the computational cost associated with full posterior evaluations. Variational Bayes (VB) provides a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

Interval analysis, when applied to the so called problem of experimental data fitting, appears to be still in its infancy. Sometimes, partly because of the unrivaled reliability of interval methods, we do not obtain any results at all.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-03-03 Marek W. Gutowski

The focus of this paper is on the quantification of sampling variation in frequentist probabilistic forecasts. We propose a method of constructing confidence sets that respects the functional nature of the forecast distribution, and use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-09 David Harris , Gael M. Martin , Indeewara Perera , D. S. Poskitt