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We discuss the Giardin\`a-Kurchan-Peliti population dynamics method for evaluating large deviations of time averaged quantities in Markov processes [Phys. Rev. Lett. \textbf{96}, 120603 (2006)]. This method exhibits systematic errors which…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-06-16 Takahiro Nemoto , Freddy Bouchet , Robert L. Jack , Vivien Lecomte

We present an algorithm to evaluate the large deviation functions associated to history-dependent observables. Instead of relying on a time discretisation procedure to approximate the dynamics, we provide a direct continuous-time algorithm,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-12-03 Vivien Lecomte , Julien Tailleur

In these notes we present a pedagogical account of the population dynamics methods recently introduced to simulate large deviation functions of dynamical observables in and out of equilibrium. After a brief introduction on large deviation…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-02-23 J. Tailleur , V. Lecomte

Rare trajectories of stochastic systems are important to understand -- because of their potential impact. However, their properties are by definition difficult to sample directly. Population dynamics provides a numerical tool allowing their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-07-03 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo , Takahiro Nemoto , Vivien Lecomte

Birth-death processes form a natural class where ideas and results on large deviations can be tested. In this paper, we derive a large deviation principle under the assumption that the rate of a jump down (death) is growing asymptotically…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-21 N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , A. A. Yambartsev

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

We consider population dynamics as implemented by the cloning algorithm for analysis of large deviations of time-averaged quantities. Using the simple symmetric exclusion process as a prototypical example, we investigate the convergence of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-05-11 Tobias Brewer , Stephen R. Clark , Russell Bradford , Robert L. Jack

The Galton--Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this…

概率论 · 数学 2017-04-10 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

We propose a computational method for large deviation statistics of time-averaged quantities in general Markov processes. In our proposed method, we repeat a response measurement against external forces, where the forces are determined by…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-03-12 Takahiro Nemoto , Shin-ichi Sasa

The large-deviation method allows to characterize an ergodic counting process in terms of a thermodynamic frame where a free energy function determines the asymptotic non-stationary statistical properties of its fluctuations. Here, we study…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-12-13 Adrian A. Budini

We consider a size-structured model for cell division and address the question of determining the division (birth) rate from the measured stable size distribution of the population. We propose a new regularization technique based on a…

数值分析 · 数学 2013-01-21 Marie Doumic Jauffret , Benoît Perthame , Jorge P. Zubelli

One of the goals of climate science is to characterize the statistics of extreme and potentially dangerous events in the present and future climate. Extreme events like heat waves, droughts, or floods due to persisting rains are…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-01-08 Francesco Ragone , Freddy Bouchet

The exact statistics of an arbitrary quantum observable is analytically obtained. Due to the probabilistic nature of a sequence of intermediate measurements and stochastic fluctuations induced by the interaction with the environment, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-06-19 Stefano Gherardini

We analyse numerically the effects of small population size in the initial transient regime of a simple example population dynamics. These effects play an important role for the numerical determination of large deviation functions of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-09-28 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo , Vivien Lecomte

We analyze large deviations of the time-averaged activity in the one dimensional Fredrickson-Andersen model, both numerically and analytically. The model exhibits a dynamical phase transition, which appears as a singularity in the large…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-03-17 Takahiro Nemoto , Robert L. Jack , Vivien Lecomte

Population dynamics provides a numerical tool allowing for the study of rare events by means of simulating a large number of copies of the system, supplemented with a selection rule that favours the rare trajectories of interest. The…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-06-07 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo

The error threshold transition in a stochastic (i.e. finite population) version of the quasispecies model of molecular evolution is studied using finite-size scaling. For the single-sharp-peak replication landscape, the deterministic model…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 P. R. A. Campos , J. F. Fontanari

Birth-death processes take place ubiquitously throughout the universe. In general, birth and death rates depend on the system size (corresponding to the number of products or customers undergoing the birth-death process) and thus vary every…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Seong Jun Park , M. Y. Choi

The Galton-Watson process is a model for population growth which assumes that individuals reproduce independently according to the same offspring distribution. Inference usually focuses on the offspring average as it allows to classify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Massimo Cannas , Michele Guindani , Nicola Piras
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