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相关论文: On the maximum of a type of random processes

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Gaussian random processes which variances reach theirs maximum values at unique points are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of probabilities of large absolute maximums of theirs trajectories have been evaluated using Double Sum Method…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-29 E. Hashorva , S. Kobelkov , V. I. Piterbarg

In this paper, we study critical and subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes, $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. We obtain the exact asymptotic behaviors of the tails of the maximal positions of all subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-09 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-10 Christian Y. Robert , Johan Segers

We extend known saddlepoint tail probability approximations to multivariate cases, including multivariate conditional cases. Our approximation applies to both continuous and lattice variables, and requires the existence of a cumulant…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-29 John Kolassa , Jixin Li

The problem of estimating the probability of a random process reaching a certain level is well known. In this article, two-sided estimates are established for the probability that a regenerative process reaches a high level. Two auxiliary…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-29 Kateryna Akbash , Ivan Matsak , Oleg Zakusylo

Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

We study subexponential tail asymptotics for the distribution of the maximum $M_t:=\sup_{u\in[0,t]}X_u$ of a process $X_t$ with negative drift for the entire range of $t>0$. We consider compound renewal processes with linear drift and…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-22 Dmitry Korshunov

We generalize a famous tail Doob's inequality, relative two non-negative random variables, arising in the martingale theory, in two directions: on the more general source data and on the random variables belonging to the so-called Grand…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-03 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…

概率论 · 数学 2007-12-05 Boualem Djehiche , Jens Svensson

We consider regularly varying random vectors. Our goal is to estimate in a non-parametric way some characteristics related to conditioning on an extreme event, like the tail dependence coefficient. We introduce a quasi-spectral…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-26 Rafał Kulik , Zhigang Tong

The reflected process of a random walk or L\'evy process arises in many areas of applied probability, and a question of particular interest is how the tail of the distribution of the heights of the excursions away from zero behaves…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-09 R. A. Doney , Philip S. Griffin

A maximal inequality is an inequality which involves the (absolute) supremum $\sup_{s\leq t}|X_{s}|$ or the running maximum $\sup_{s\leq t}X_{s}$ of a stochastic process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$. We discuss maximal inequalities for several classes…

概率论 · 数学 2023-03-28 Franziska Kühn , René L. Schilling

This paper describes limiting behaviour of tail empirical process associated with long memory stochastic volatility models. We show that such process has dichotomous behaviour, according to an interplay between a Hurst parameter and a tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-23 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

Using an intrinsic approach, we study some properties of random fields which appear as tail fields of regularly varying stationary random fields. The index set is allowed to be a general locally compact Hausdorff Abelian group $\mathbb{G}$.…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-11 Günter Last

We consider subcritical branching processes with immigration which evolve under the influence of a random environment and study the tail distribution of life periods of such processes defined as the length of the time interval between the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-10 Doudou Li , Vladimir Vatutin , Mei Zhang

In this work, we consider systems that are subjected to intermittent instabilities due to external stochastic excitation. These intermittent instabilities, though rare, have a large impact on the probabilistic response of the system and…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2017-06-02 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Cramer's theorem provides an estimate for the tail probability of the maximum of a random walk with negative drift and increments having a moment generating function finite in a neighborhood of the origin. The class of (g,F)-processes…

概率论 · 数学 2008-11-24 Ph. Barbe , W. P. McCormick

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

We construct an example of a continuous centered random process with light tails of finite-dimensional distribution but with heavy tail of maximum distribution.

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-31 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel