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Established frameworks to understand problems with reproducibility in science begin with the relationship between our understanding of the prior probability of a claim and the statistical certainty that should be demanded of it, and explore…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2022-05-30 Maria Chikina , Wesley Pegden

In 2015 the Open Science Collaboration (OSC) (Nosek et al 2015) published a highly influential paper which claimed that a large fraction of published results in the psychological sciences were not reproducible. In this article we review…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-18 Anthony Almudevar , Jacob Almudevar

Reproducibility is an important feature of science; experiments are retested, and analyses are repeated. Trust in the findings increases when consistent results are achieved. Despite the importance of reproducibility, significant work is…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2023-01-12 Akhil Pandey Akella , Hamed Alhoori , David Koop

A recent study of the replicability of key psychological findings is a major contribution toward understanding the human side of the scientific process. Despite the careful and nuanced analysis reported in the paper, mass and social media…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-10-01 Jeffrey T. Leek , Prasad Patil , Roger D. Peng

Large-scale replication studies like the Reproducibility Project: Psychology (RP:P) provide invaluable systematic data on scientific replicability, but most analyses and interpretations of the data fail to agree on the definition of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Kenneth Hung , William Fithian

Reproducibility, the ability to recompute results, and replicability, the chances other experimenters will achieve a consistent result, are two foundational characteristics of successful scientific research. Consistent findings from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-06-23 Jeffrey T. Leek , Roger D. Peng

Researchers are more likely to share notable findings. As a result, published findings tend to overstate the magnitude of real-world phenomena. This bias is a natural concern for asset pricing research, which has found hundreds of return…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-22 Andrew Y. Chen , Tom Zimmermann

Some empirical results are more likely to be published than others. Such selective publication leads to biased estimates and distorted inference. This paper proposes two approaches for identifying the conditional probability of publication…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2017-11-30 Isaiah Andrews , Maximilian Kasy

The high fraction of published results that turn out to be incorrect is a major concern of today's science. This paper contributes to the understanding of this problem in two independent directions. First, Johnson's recent claim that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-11-07 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

Many published research results are false, and controversy continues over the roles of replication and publication policy in improving the reliability of research. Addressing these problems is frustrated by the lack of a formal framework…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2015-08-27 Richard McElreath , Paul E. Smaldino

Assessment of replicability is critical to ensure the quality and rigor of scientific research. In this paper, we discuss inference and modeling principles for replicability assessment. Targeting distinct application scenarios, we propose…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-11 Yi Zhao , Xiaoquan Wen

The field of psychological sciences has been grappling with the replicability crisis. Various issues have been identified as potential sources of this problem. We bring to light a potential source that has largely been overlooked and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-28 Yoav Zeevi , Sofi Astashenko , Liad Mudrik , Yoav Benjamini

Reproducibility, the ability to reproduce the results of published papers or studies using their computer code and data, is a cornerstone of reliable scientific methodology. Studies where results cannot be reproduced by the scientific…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-10-03 Xin Xiong , Ivor Cribben

Several systematic studies have suggested that a large fraction of published research is not reproducible. One probable reason for low reproducibility is insufficient sample size, resulting in low power and low positive predictive value. It…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-07-01 Oliver Braganza

The explosive growth of scientists, scientific journals, articles and findings in recent years exponentially increases the difficulty scientists face in navigating prior knowledge. This challenge is exacerbated by uncertainty about the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 Alexander V. Belikov , Andrey Rzhetsky , James Evans

A leading explanation for widespread replication failures is publication bias. I show in a simple model of selective publication that, contrary to common perceptions, the replication rate is unaffected by the suppression of insignificant…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-04 Patrick Vu

The reproducibility of published research has become an important topic in science policy. A number of large-scale replication projects have been conducted to gauge the overall reproducibility in specific academic fields. Here, we present…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-09 Michael Gordon , Domenico Viganola , Anna Dreber , Magnus Johannesson , Thomas Pfeiffer

Replication studies are increasingly conducted but there is no established statistical criterion for replication success. We propose a novel approach combining reverse-Bayes analysis with Bayesian hypothesis testing: a sceptical prior is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-15 Samuel Pawel , Leonhard Held

Scientists in some fields are concerned that many, or even most, published results are false. A high rate of false positives might arise accidentally, from shoddy research practices. Or it might be the inevitable result of institutional…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-03-03 Alexander J. Stewart , Joshua B. Plotkin

Open science is increasingly recognised worldwide, with preprint posting emerging as a key strategy. This study explores the factors influencing researchers' adoption of preprint publication, particularly the perceived effectiveness of this…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Pablo Dorta-González , María Isabel Dorta-González
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