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The uncertainty and robustness of Computable General Equilibrium models can be assessed by conducting a Systematic Sensitivity Analysis. Different methods have been used in the literature for SSA of CGE models such as Gaussian Quadrature…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2017-09-29 Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis

We present a high-order method that provides numerical integration on volumes, surfaces, and lines defined implicitly by two smooth intersecting level sets. To approximate the integrals, the method maps quadrature rules defined on…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-08-22 Lauritz Beck , Florian Kummer

Integrating advanced communication protocols in production has accelerated the adoption of data-driven predictive quality methods, notably machine learning (ML) models. However, ML models in image classification often face significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Lukas Bahr , Lucas Poßner , Konstantin Weise , Sophie Gröger , Rüdiger Daub

In the past decade, Sobol's variance decomposition have been used as a tool - among others - in risk management. We show some links between global sensitivity analysis and stochastic ordering theories. This gives an argument in favor of…

Physical phenomena are commonly modeled by numerical simulators. Such codes can take as input a high number of uncertain parameters and it is important to identify their influences via a global sensitivity analysis (GSA). However, these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-04 Matthias De Lozzo , Amandine Marrel

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is used to quantify the influence of uncertain variables in a mathematical model. Prior to performing GSA, the user must specify (or implicitly assume), a probability distribution to model the uncertainty,…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-22 Joseph Hart , Pierre Gremaud

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

Given a bivariate random pair $(X,Y)$, a natural problem is to estimate, from a single sample $(X_i,Y_i)_{1\le i\le n}$, quantities such as $\mathbb{E}\left[ \mathbb{E}[ Y\mid X ]^2 \right]$. More broadly, sensitivity indices are designed…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-25 Reda Chhaibi , Fabrice Gamboa , Clément Pellegrini

In this paper we address the problem of efficient estimation of Sobol sensitivy indices. First, we focus on general functional integrals of conditional moments of the form $\E(\psi(\E(\varphi(Y)|X)))$ where $(X,Y)$ is a random vector with…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-15 Sébastien Da Veiga , Fabrice Gamboa

In the context of air quality control, our objective is to quantify the impact of uncertain inputs such as meteorological conditions and traffic parameters on pollutant dispersion maps. It is worth noting that the majority of sensitivity…

In numerical integration, cubature methods are effective, especially when the integrands can be well-approximated by known test functions, such as polynomials. However, the construction of cubature formulas has not generally been known, and…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-05-31 Satoshi Hayakawa

We show how to apply Sobol's method of global sensitivity analysis to measure the influence exerted by a set of nodes' evidence on a quantity of interest expressed by a Bayesian network. Our method exploits the network structure so as to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

Global sensitivity analysis is now established as a powerful approach for determining the key random input parameters that drive the uncertainty of model output predictions. Yet the classical computation of the so-called Sobol' indices is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-06-16 L. Le Gratiet , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

Predictions from science and engineering models depend on several input parameters. Global sensitivity analysis quantifies the importance of each input parameter, which can lead to insight into the model and reduced computational cost;…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-07-28 Paul G. Constantine , Paul Diaz

Biomechanical models often need to describe very complex systems, organs or diseases, and hence also include a large number of parameters. One of the attractive features of physics-based models is that in those models (most) parameters have…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-01-10 Barbara Wirthl , Sebastian Brandstaeter , Jonas Nitzler , Bernhard A. Schrefler , Wolfgang A. Wall

Numerical algorithms to load relativistic Maxwell distributions in particle-in-cell (PIC) and Monte-Carlo simulations are presented. For stationary relativistic Maxwellian, the inverse transform method and the Sobol algorithm are reviewed.…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2015-04-30 Seiji Zenitani

Every computer model depends on numerical input parameters that are chosen according to mostly conservative but rigorous numerical or empirical estimates. These parameters could for example be the step size for time integrators, a seed for…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-09-11 Matthias Frey , Andreas Adelmann

Space filling designs are central to studying complex systems in various areas of science. They are used for obtaining an overall understanding of the behaviour of the response over the input space, model construction and uncertainty…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-10 Shirin Golchi , Jason L. Loeppky

Classical algorithms in numerical analysis for numerical integration (quadrature/cubature) follow the principle of approximate and integrate: the integrand is approximated by a simple function (e.g. a polynomial), which is then integrated…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-15 Yuji Nakatsukasa

The Monte Carlo differential operator sampling method is applied to the computation of sensitivity coefficients of unresolved resonance probability table cross sections. Three new analytical benchmarks for verifying unresolved resonance…

计算物理 · 物理学 2024-12-03 Brian C. Kiedrowski