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We propose to estimate a metamodel and the sensitivity indices of a complex model m in the Gaussian regression framework. Our approach combines methods for sensitivity analysis of complex models and statistical tools for sparse…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-19 Sylvie Huet , Marie-Luce Taupin

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) aims at quantifying the contribution of input variables over the variability of model outputs. In the frame of functional outputs, a common goal is to compute sensitivity maps (SM), i.e sensitivity indices…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-12 Yuri Sao , Olivier Roustant , Geraldo de Freitas Maciel

This paper presents a framework for abstracting uncertain or non-polynomial components of dynamical systems using polynomial constraints. This enables the application of polynomial-based analysis tools, such as sum-of-squares programming,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-02 Neelay Junnarkar , Peter Seiler , Murat Arcak

In the context of sensitivity analysis of complex phenomena in presence of uncertainty, we motivate and precise the idea of orienting the analysis towards a critical domain of the studied phenomenon. We make a brief history of related…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-02 Hugo Raguet , Amandine Marrel

The well-known spatial integration schemes in molecular electronic structure theory, immune to cusps and point singularities of some kind at atomic positions, use a set of weighting functions to split the integrand into a sum of…

化学物理 · 物理学 2022-09-14 Dimitri N. Laikov

Bayesian inference for models that have an intractable partition function is known as a doubly intractable problem, where standard Monte Carlo methods are not applicable. The past decade has seen the development of auxiliary variable Monte…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Richard G. Everitt , Dennis Prangle , Philip Maybank , Mark Bell

Quasi-Monte Carlo algorithms are studied for designing discrete approximations of two-stage linear stochastic programs. Their integrands are piecewise linear, but neither smooth nor lie in the function spaces considered for QMC error…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-10-31 H. Heitsch , H. Leövey , W. Römisch

We propose a novel sampling framework for inference in probabilistic models: an active learning approach that converges more quickly (in wall-clock time) than Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) benchmarks. The central challenge in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Roman Garnett , Philipp Hennig , Stephen J. Roberts

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of Monte Carlo methods that are used to obtain random samples of a high dimensional random variable in a sequential fashion. Many problems encountered in applications often involve different…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-20 Chencheng Cai , Rong Chen , Ming Lin

Global sensitivity analysis is the main quantitative technique for identifying the most influential input variables in a numerical simulation model. In particular when the inputs are independent, Sobol' sensitivity indices attribute a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-15 Sébastien da Veiga

In this paper, we study sensitivity indices for independent groups of variables and we look at the particular case of block-additive models. We show in this case that most of the Sobol indices are equal to zero and that Shapley effects can…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-12 Baptiste Broto , François Bachoc , Marine Depecker , Jean-Marc Martinez

The method of derivative based global sensitivity measures (DGSM) has recently become popular among practitioners. It has a strong link with the Morris screening method and Sobol' sensitivity indices and has several advantages over them.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-05 Serge Kucherenko , Bertrand Iooss

The time integration of semilinear parabolic problems by exponential methods of different kinds is considered. A new algorithm for the implementation of these methods is proposed. The algorithm evaluates the operators required by the…

数值分析 · 数学 2008-10-23 Maria Lopez-Fernandez

We endeavour to estimate numerous multi-dimensional means of various probability distributions on a common space based on independent samples. Our approach involves forming estimators through convex combinations of empirical means derived…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Gilles Blanchard , Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Hannah Marienwald

We study randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) estimation of a multivariate integral where one of the variables takes only a finite number of values. This problem arises when the variable of integration is drawn from a mixture distribution as…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Valerie N. P. Ho , Art B. Owen , Zexin Pan

Nonparametric methods have been very popular in the last couple of decades in time series and regression, but no such development has taken place for spatial models. A rather obvious reason for this is the curse of dimensionality. For…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Jiti Gao , Zudi Lu , Dag Tjøstheim

Learning kernels in operators from data lies at the intersection of inverse problems and statistical learning, providing a powerful framework for capturing non-local dependencies in function spaces and high-dimensional settings. In contrast…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Sichong Zhang , Xiong Wang , Fei Lu

Suppose that a mobile sensor describes a Markovian trajectory in the ambient space. At each time the sensor measures an attribute of interest, e.g., the temperature. Using only the location history of the sensor and the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-02 Romain Azaïs , Bernard Delyon , François Portier

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter

The presence of uncertainties are inevitable in engineering design and analysis, where failure in understanding their effects might lead to the structural or functional failure of the systems. The role of global sensitivity analysis in this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-24 Pramudita Satria Palar , Lavi Rizki Zuhal , Koji Shimoyama , Takeshi Tsuchiya