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During drug development, evidence can emerge to suggest a treatment is more effective in a specific patient subgroup. Whilst early trials may be conducted in biomarker-mixed populations, later trials are more likely to enrol…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-07 Lorna Wheaton , Dan Jackson , Sylwia Bujkiewicz

We consider a general difference-in-differences model in which the treatment variable of interest may be non-binary and its value may change in each period. It is generally difficult to estimate treatment parameters defined with the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-30 Takahide Yanagi

Patients often discontinue treatment in a clinical trial because their health condition is not improving. Consequently, the patients still in the study at the end of the trial have better health outcomes on average than the initial patient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-06 Alex Ocampo , Heinz Schmidli , Peter Quarg , Francesca Callegari , Marcello Pagano

Empirical work often uses treatment assigned following geographic boundaries. When the effects of treatment cross over borders, classical difference-in-differences estimation produces biased estimates for the average treatment effect. In…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-13 Kyle Butts

One fundamental statistical question for research areas such as precision medicine and health disparity is about discovering effect modification of treatment or exposure by observed covariates. We propose a semiparametric framework for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 Muxuan Liang , Menggang Yu

Two broad positions within statistics define a treatment effect, on the one hand, as a parameter of a statistical model, and on the other, as an appropriate population-level difference in outcomes or counterfactual outcomes under the…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Heather Battey , Charlotte Edgar

Randomized experiments have been the gold standard for drawing causal inference. The conventional model-based approach has been one of the most popular ways for analyzing treatment effects from randomized experiments, which is often carried…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Tianyi Qu , Jiangchuan Du , Xinran Li

There is increasing interest in allocating treatments based on observed individual characteristics: examples include targeted marketing, individualized credit offers, and heterogeneous pricing. Treatment personalization introduces…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-06 Evan Munro

The probability of benefit is a valuable and important measure of treatment effect, which has advantages over the average treatment effect. Particularly for an ordinal outcome, it has a better interpretation and can make apparent different…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-19 Erin E Gabriel , Michael C Sachs , Andreas Kryger Jensen

The unit selection problem aims to identify a set of individuals who are most likely to exhibit a desired mode of behavior, for example, selecting individuals who would respond one way if encouraged and a different way if not encouraged.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-23 Ang Li , Judea Pearl

This paper shows how to use a randomized saturation experimental design to identify and estimate causal effects in the presence of spillovers--one person's treatment may affect another's outcome--and one-sided non-compliance--subjects can…

This paper provides a nonparametric framework for causal inference with categorical outcomes under binary treatment and binary instrument settings. I decompose the observed joint probability of outcomes and treatment into marginal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Onil Boussim

Treatment effect heterogeneity is of a great concern when evaluating policy impact: "is the treatment Pareto-improving?", "what is the proportion of people who are better off under the treatment?", etc. However, even in the simple case of a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-18 Myungkou Shin

In many experimental or quasi-experimental studies, outcomes of interest are only observed for subjects who select (or are selected) to engage in the activity generating the outcome. Outcome data is thus endogenously missing for units who…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Cyrus Samii , Ye Wang , Junlong Aaron Zhou

We propose a definition for the average indirect effect of a binary treatment in the potential outcomes model for causal inference under cross-unit interference. Our definition is analogous to the standard definition of the average direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-13 Yuchen Hu , Shuangning Li , Stefan Wager

Effect modification means the size of a treatment effect varies with an observed covariate. Generally speaking, a larger treatment effect with more stable error terms is less sensitive to bias. Thus, we might be able to conclude that a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Yijun Fan , Dylan S. Small

Standard measures of effect, including the risk ratio, the odds ratio, and the risk difference, are associated with a number of well-described shortcomings, and no consensus exists about the conditions under which investigators should…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-08 Anders Huitfeldt , Andrew Goldstein , Sonja A. Swanson

Triple difference designs have become increasingly popular in empirical economics. The advantage of a triple difference design is that, within a treatment group, it allows for another subgroup of the population -- potentially less impacted…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-04 Laura Caron

Many applications of causal inference require using treatment effects estimated on a study population to make decisions in a separate target population. We consider the challenging setting where there are covariates that are observed in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Khurram Yamin , Vibhhu Sharma , Ed Kennedy , Bryan Wilder

Clinical trials usually target average treatment effects, but treatment decisions are made for individuals. This tension motivates a common criticism of evidence-based medicine: a treatment that is beneficial on average may be inappropriate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Zach Shahn , Mats Stensrud