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相关论文: Multivariate Hawkes Processes for Large-scale Infe…

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Detecting rare events, those defined to give rise to high impact but have a low probability of occurring, is a challenge in a number of domains including meteorological, environmental, financial and economic. The use of machine learning to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Santhosh Narayanan , Carsten Maple , Mark Hooper

Hawkes processes are often applied to model dependence and interaction phenomena in multivariate event data sets, such as neuronal spike trains, social interactions, and financial transactions. In the nonparametric setting, learning the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-04 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

This work contributes to the theory and applications of Hawkes processes. We introduce and examine a new class of Hawkes processes that we call generalized Hawkes processes, and their special subclass -- the generalized multivariate Hawkes…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-30 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Mariusz Nieweglowski

We propose a Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Neural Hawkes Process for modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics. The proposed model extends continuous-time neural Hawkes processes by integrating spatial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Christopher Chukwuemeka , Hojun You , Mikyoung Jun

The self-exciting Hawkes process is widely used to model events which occur in bursts. However, many real world data sets contain missing events and/or noisily observed event times, which we refer to as data distortion. The presence of such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-03 Isabella Deutsch , Gordon J. Ross

Low-rank approximation is a popular strategy to tackle the "big n problem" associated with large-scale Gaussian process regressions. Basis functions for developing low-rank structures are crucial and should be carefully specified.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Yan Song , Wenlin Dai , Marc G. Genton

The Hawkes process (HP) is commonly used to model event sequences with self-reinforcing dynamics, including electronic health records (EHRs). Traditional HPs capture self-reinforcement via parametric impact functions that can be inspected…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-23 Yuankang Zhao , Matthew Engelhard

Univariate marked Hawkes processes are used to model a range of real-world phenomena including earthquake aftershock sequences, contagious disease spread, content diffusion on social media platforms, and order book dynamics. This paper…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

Low-rank approximation is a common tool used to accelerate kernel methods: the $n \times n$ kernel matrix $K$ is approximated via a rank-$k$ matrix $\tilde K$ which can be stored in much less space and processed more quickly. In this work…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2017-11-07 Cameron Musco , David P. Woodruff

In this paper, we establish a large deviations principle for a multivariate compound process induced by a multivariate Hawkes process with random marks. Our proof hinges on showing essential smoothness of the limiting cumulant of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-29 Raviar S. Karim , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel R. H. Mandjes

We introduce a new non parametric method that allows for a direct, fast and efficient estimation of the matrix of kernel norms of a multivariate Hawkes process, also called branching ratio matrix. We demonstrate the capabilities of this…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2017-06-13 Massil Achab , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy , Marcello Rambaldi

Low Rank Approximation is among most fundamental subjects of numerical linear algebra having important applications to various areas of modern computing and %they range from machine learning theory and %neural networks to data mining and…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-09-25 Victor Y. Pan , Qi Luan , John Svadlenka , Liang Zhao

This paper proposes a new meta-learning method -- named HARMLESS (HAwkes Relational Meta LEarning method for Short Sequences) for learning heterogeneous point process models from short event sequence data along with a relational network.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-06 Yujia Xie , Haoming Jiang , Feng Liu , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

We develop two iterative algorithms for solving the low rank phase retrieval (LRPR) problem. LRPR refers to recovering a low-rank matrix $\X$ from magnitude-only (phaseless) measurements of random linear projections of its columns. Both…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-08-02 Namrata Vaswani , Seyedehsara Nayer , Yonina C. Eldar

Asynchronous events on the continuous time domain, e.g., social media actions and stock transactions, occur frequently in the world. The ability to recognize occurrence patterns of event sequences is crucial to predict which typeof events…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-17 Qiang Zhang , Aldo Lipani , Omer Kirnap , Emine Yilmaz

In this paper we consider multivariate Hawkes processes with baseline hazard and kernel functions that depend on time. This defines a class of locally stationary processes. We discuss estimation of the time-dependent baseline hazard and…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-17 Enno Mammen

The Hawkes process has become a standard method for modeling self-exciting event sequences with different event types. A recent work has generalized the Hawkes process to a neurally self-modulating multivariate point process, which enables…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-16 Zhen Han , Yunpu Ma , Yuyi Wang , Stephan Günnemann , Volker Tresp

We propose an effective method to solve the event sequence clustering problems based on a novel Dirichlet mixture model of a special but significant type of point processes --- Hawkes process. In this model, each event sequence belonging to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-09-22 Hongteng Xu , Hongyuan Zha

Low-rank matrix approximation is one of the central concepts in machine learning, with applications in dimension reduction, de-noising, multivariate statistical methodology, and many more. A recent extension to LRMA is called low-rank…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-24 Elena Tuzhilina , Trevor Hastie

Asynchronous time series, also known as temporal event sequences, are the basis of many applications throughout different industries. Temporal point processes(TPPs) are the standard method for modeling such data. Existing TPP models have…