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There is a well-established theory linking certain semi-Markov chains and continuous-time random walks to time-fractional equations and anomalous diffusion. In this work, we go beyond the semi-Markov framework by considering some…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-27 Lorenzo Facciaroni , Costantino Ricciuti , Enrico Scalas

We consider reversible ergodic Markov chains with finite state space, and we introduce a new notion of quasi-stationary distribution that does not require the presence of any absorbing state. In our setting, the hitting time of the…

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic approximation scheme on two timescales with set-valued drift functions and in the presence of non-additive iterate-dependent Markov noise. It is shown that the recursion on each…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-11-21 Vinayaka Yaji , Shalabh Bhatnagar

We consider the Random Walk Metropolis algorithm on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with Gaussian proposals, and when the target probability measure is the $n$-fold product of a one-dimensional law. It is well known (see Roberts et al. (Ann. Appl. Probab. 7…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-22 Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Błażej Miasojedow

In the analysis of Markov chains and processes, it is sometimes convenient to replace an unbounded state space with a "truncated" bounded state space. When such a replacement is made, one often wants to know whether the equilibrium behavior…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-30 Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn , Yuanyuan Liu

I show how Markov chain sampling with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm can be modified so as to take bigger steps when the distribution being sampled from has the characteristic that its density can be quickly recomputed for a new point if…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Radford M. Neal

We consider a Markov control model in discrete time with countable both state space and action space. Using the value function of a suitable long-run average reward problem, we study various reachability/controllability problems. First, we…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-06-05 Daniel Avila , Mauricio Junca

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

An up-down chain is a Markov chain in which each transition is a two-step process that moves up to a larger object and then back down to an object of the original size. The first goal of this paper is to present a general framework for…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-24 Valentin Féray , Kelvin Rivera-Lopez

A rigorous and largely self-contained account of (a) the bread-and-butter concepts and techniques in Markov chain theory and (b) the long-term behaviour of chains. As much as possible, the treatment is probabilistic instead of analytical (I…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-25 Juan Kuntz

This article studies the expected occupancy probabilities on an alphabet. Unlike the standard situation, where observations are assumed to be independent and identically distributed (iid), we assume that they follow a regime switching…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-19 Michael Grabchak , Mark Kelbert , Quentin Paris

The paper proposes a new aggregation method, based on the Arnoldi iteration, for computing approximate transient distributions of Markov chains. This aggregation is not partition-based, which means that an aggregate state may represent any…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-05 Patrick Sonnentag , Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

We investigate the mixing properties of a finite Markov chain in random environment defined as a mixture of a deterministic chain and a chain whose state space has been permuted uniformly at random. This work is the counterpart of a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-07 Bastien Dubail

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-27 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

Let 0<\alpha<1/2. We show that the mixing time of a continuous-time reversible Markov chain on a finite state space is about as large as the largest expected hitting time of a subset of stationary measure at least \alpha of the state space.…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-28 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

We study a large class of reversible Markov chains with discrete state space and transition matrix $P_N$. We define the notion of a set of {\it metastable points} as a subset of the state space $\G_N$ such that (i) this set is reached from…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 A. Bovier , M. Eckhoff , V. Gayrard , M. Klein

I show how any reversible Markov chain on a finite state space that is irreducible, and hence suitable for estimating expectations with respect to its invariant distribution, can be used to construct a non-reversible Markov chain on a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Radford M. Neal

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

In this paper, we present a novel iterative Monte Carlo method for approximating the stationary probability of a single state of a positive recurrent Markov chain. We utilize the characterization that the stationary probability of a state…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-12-11 Christina E. Lee , Asuman Ozdaglar , Devavrat Shah