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Traditional mediation models in both the frequentist and Bayesian frameworks typically assume normality of the error terms. Violations of this assumption can impair the estimation and hypothesis testing of the mediation effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Zongyu Li , Mark Steel , Zhiyong Zhang

We consider nonparametric estimation of a mixed discrete-continuous distribution under anisotropic smoothness conditions and possibly increasing number of support points for the discrete part of the distribution. For these settings, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-21 Andriy Norets , Justinas Pelenis

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

Spike-and-slab priors are popular Bayesian solutions for high-dimensional linear regression problems. Previous theoretical studies on spike-and-slab methods focus on specific prior formulations and use prior-dependent conditions and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-14 Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric models resulting from sieve priors. The aim of the paper is to provide general conditions to get posterior rates when the parameter space has a general structure,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-03 Julyan Arbel , Ghislaine Gayraud , Judith Rousseau

The purpose of this paper is to provide a discussion, with illustrating examples, on Bayesian forecasting for dynamic generalized linear models (DGLMs). Adopting approximate Bayesian analysis, based on conjugate forms and on Bayes linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-02-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

This work introduces a novel methodology based on finite mixtures of Student-t distributions to model the errors' distribution in linear regression models. The novelty lies on a particular hierarchical structure for the mixture distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Nívea B. da Silva , Marcos O. Prates , Flávio B. Gonçalves

Linear regression with the classical normality assumption for the error distribution may lead to an undesirable posterior inference of regression coefficients due to the potential outliers. This paper considers the finite mixture of two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-12 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with a general beta prime distribution for the scale parameter. Under the assumption of sparsity, we show that appropriate selection of the hyperparameters in the beta prime prior leads…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-19 Ray Bai , Malay Ghosh

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-08-21 Heng Lian

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

During the past decade, shrinkage priors have received much attention in Bayesian analysis of high-dimensional data. This paper establishes the posterior consistency for high-dimensional linear regression with a class of shrinkage priors,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-11 Qifan Song , Faming Liang

The aim of this paper is to discuss both higher-order asymptotic expansions and skewed approximations for the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure for testing precise statistical hypotheses. In particular, we derive results on third-order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-02 Elena Bortolato , Francesco Bertolino , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

In the framework of censored data modeling, the classical linear regression model that assumes normally distributed random errors has received increasing attention in recent years, mainly for mathematical and computational convenience.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Mehrdad Naderi , Elham Mirfarah , Matthew Bernhardt , Ding-Geng Chen

We present an error-diagnostic validation method for posterior distributions in Bayesian signal inference, an advancement of a previous work. It transfers deviations from the correct posterior into characteristic deviations from a uniform…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2013-11-05 Sebastian Dorn , Niels Oppermann , Torsten A. Enßlin

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric approximating families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Francesco Pozza , Daniele Durante , Botond Szabo

For two vast families of mixture distributions and a given prior, we provide unified representations of posterior and predictive distributions. Model applications presented include bivariate mixtures of Gamma distributions labelled as…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-09 Aziz LMoudden , Éric Marchand