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Despite their widespread use in practice, the asymptotic properties of Bayesian penalized splines have not been investigated so far. We close this gap and study posterior concentration rates for Bayesian penalized splines in a Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-24 Paul Bach , Nadja Klein

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-01-06 Nate Strawn , Artin Armagan , Rayan Saab , Lawrence Carin , David Dunson

Gaussian variational approximations are widely used for summarizing posterior distributions in Bayesian models, especially in high-dimensional settings. However, a drawback of such approximations is the inability to capture skewness or more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Lucas Kock , Linda S. L. Tan , Prateek Bansal , David J. Nott

We consider the problems of hypothesis testing and model comparison under a flexible Bayesian linear regression model whose formulation is closely connected with the linear mixed effect model and the parametric models for SNP set analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-24 Xiaoquan Wen

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

This work proposes a statistical model for crossover trials with multiple skewed responses measured in each period. A 3 $\times$ 3 crossover trial data where different drug doses were administered to subjects with a history of seasonal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-09 Savita Pareek , Kalyan Das , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

For ill-posed inverse problems, a regularised solution can be interpreted as a mode of the posterior distribution in a Bayesian framework. This framework enriches the set the solutions, as other posterior estimates can be used as a solution…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-22 Natalia Bochkina

Complex data features, such as unmodelled censored event times and variables with time-dependent effects, are common in cancer recurrence studies and pose challenges for Bayesian survival modelling. Current methodologies for predictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-12 Saku Suorsa , Aki Vehtari

We consider Bayesian linear regression with sparsity-inducing prior and design efficient sampling algorithms leveraging posterior contraction properties. A quasi-likelihood with Gaussian spike-and-slab (that is favorable both statistically…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-13 Qijia Jiang

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

In environmental studies, many data are typically skewed and it is desired to have a flexible statistical model for this kind of data. In this paper, we study a class of skewed distributions by invoking arguments as described by Ferreira…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-06 Indranil Ghosh , Hon Keung Tony Ng

Meta-analysis aims to generalize results from multiple related statistical analyses through a combined analysis. While the natural outcome of a Bayesian study is a posterior distribution, traditional Bayesian meta-analyses proceed by…

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-14 Georgios Papageorgiou

Bayesian inference for inverse problems hinges critically on the choice of priors. In the absence of specific prior information, population-level distributions can serve as effective priors for parameters of interest. With the advent of…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-02-11 Gabriel Missael Barco , Alexandre Adam , Connor Stone , Yashar Hezaveh , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur

We consider a Bayesian hierarchical version of the normal theory general linear model which is practically relevant in the sense that it is general enough to have many applications and it is not straightforward to sample directly from the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-01-22 Alicia A. Johnson , Galin L. Jones

This paper considers a Bayesian approach for inclusion detection in nonlinear inverse problems using two known and popular push-forward prior distributions: the star-shaped and level set prior distributions. We analyze the convergence of…

Bayesian inverse problems use observed data to update a prior probability distribution for an unknown state or parameter of a scientific system to a posterior distribution conditioned on the data. In many applications, the unknown parameter…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-12 Josie König , Elizabeth Qian , Melina A. Freitag

Parameter shrinkage applied optimally can always reduce error and projection variances from those of maximum likelihood estimation. Many variables that actuaries use are on numerical scales, like age or year, which require parameters at…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-22 Gary Venter , Şule Şahin

Bayesian inference for complex models with an intractable likelihood can be tackled using algorithms performing many calls to computer simulators. These approaches are collectively known as "simulation-based inference" (SBI). Recent SBI…

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