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相关论文: Irreversibility of financial time series: a graph-…

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Visibility algorithms are a family of methods to map time series into networks, with the aim of describing the structure of time series and their underlying dynamical properties in graph-theoretical terms. Here we explore some properties of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-10-14 Lucas Lacasa , Ryan Flanagan

We propose a method to measure real-valued time series irreversibility which combines two differ- ent tools: the horizontal visibility algorithm and the Kullback-Leibler divergence. This method maps a time series to a directed network…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-30 Lucas Lacasa , Ángel M. Núñez , Édgar Roldán , Juan M. R. Parrondo , Bartolo Luque

There is a relation between the irreversibility of thermodynamic processes as expressed by the breaking of time-reversal symmetry, and the entropy production in such processes. We explain on an elementary mathematical level the relations…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 C. Maes , K. Netocny

Time irreversibility, defined as the lack of invariance of the statistical properties of a system or time series under the operation of time reversal, has received an increasing attention during the last decades, thanks to the information…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-11-03 Massimiliano Zanin

The dynamics of time-reversible systems are statistically indistinguishable when observed forward or backward in time. A rich literature of statistical methods to distinguish irreversible dynamics from the reversible dynamics of linear,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2026-04-20 Teresa Dalle Nogare , Ben D. Fulcher

The absence of time-reversal symmetry is a fundamental property of many nonlinear time series. Here, we propose a new set of statistical tests for time series irreversibility based on standard and horizontal visibility graphs. Specifically,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-04-07 Jonathan F. Donges , Reik V. Donner , Jürgen Kurths

In stochastic thermodynamics, the entropy production of a thermodynamic system is defined by the irreversibility measured by the logarithm of the ratio of the path probabilities in the forward and reverse processes. We derive the relation…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-03-14 Hyun-Myung Chun , Jae Dong Noh

Irreversibility is a fundamental concept with important implications at many levels. It pinpoints the fundamental difference between the intrinsically reversible microscopic equations of motion and the unidirectional arrow of time that…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-05-01 T. B. Batalhao , S. Gherardini , J. P. Santos , G. T. Landi , M. Paternostro

Statistical physics of complex systems exploits network theory not only to model, but also to effectively extract information from many dynamical real-world systems. A pivotal case of study is given by financial systems: market prediction…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-10-31 Matteo Serafino , Andrea Gabrielli , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

Entropy creation rate is introduced for a system interacting with thermostats ({\it i.e.}, in the usual language, for a system subject to internal conservative forces interacting with ``external'' thermostats via conservative forces) and a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 G. Gallavotti

Financial markets typically exhibit dynamically complex properties as they undergo continuous interactions with economic and environmental factors. The Efficient Market Hypothesis indicates a rich difference in the structural complexity of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-12-06 Hongjian Xiao , Yao Lei Xu , Danilo P. Mandic

This work introduces a novel, simple, and flexible method to quantify irreversibility in generic high-dimensional time series based on the well-known mapping to a binary classification problem. Our approach utilizes gradient boosting for…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-01-09 Michele Vodret , Cristiano Pacini , Christian Bongiorno

In setting up a stochastic description of the time evolution of a financial index, the challenge consists in devising a model compatible with all stylized facts emerging from the analysis of financial time series and providing a reliable…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella

Irreversibility is commonly quantified by entropy production. An external observer can estimate it through measuring an observable that is antisymmetric under time-reversal like a current. We introduce a general framework that, inter alia,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-07-05 Jann van der Meer , Julius Degünther , Udo Seifert

Current research in statistical mechanics mostly concerns the investigation of out-of-equilibrium, irreversible processes, which are ubiquitous in nature and still far from being theoretically understood. Even the precise characterization…

The concept of time series irreversibility -- the degree by which the statistics of signals are not invariant under time reversal -- naturally appears in non-equilibrium physics in stationary systems which operate away from equilibrium and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-05 Alfredo González-Espinoza , Gustavo Martínez-Mekler , Lucas Lacasa

The entropy production is commonly interpreted as measuring the distance from equilibrium. However, this explanation lacks a rigorous description due to the absence of a natural equilibrium measure. The present analysis formalizes this…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-10-23 David Andrieux

This thesis applies entropy as a model independent measure to address three research questions concerning financial time series. In the first study we apply transfer entropy to drawdowns and drawups in foreign exchange rates, to study their…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-07-26 Stephan Schwill

A well-interpretable measure of information has been recently proposed based on a partition obtained by intersecting a random sequence with its moving average. The partition yields disjoint sets of the sequence, which are then ranked…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-08-01 Linda Ponta , Anna Carbone

Time irreversibility is a common signature of nonlinear processes, and a fundamental property of non-equilibrium systems driven by non-conservative forces. A time series is said to be reversible if its statistical properties are invariant…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-12-08 Johann H. Martínez , José L. Herrera-Diestra , Mario Chavez
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