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For sequences of non-lattice weakly dependent random variables, we obtain asymptotic expansions for Large Deviation Principles. These expansions, commonly referred to as strong large deviation results, are in the spirit of Edgeworth…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-10 Kasun Fernando , Pratima Hebbar

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

In this article, we introduce the notion of free subexponentiality, which extends the notion of subexponentiality in the classical probability setup to the noncommutative probability spaces under freeness. We show that distributions with…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-19 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Krishanu Maulik

Motivated by a bidimensional discrete-time risk model in insurance, we study the second-order asymptotics for two kinds of tail probabilities of the stochastic discounted value of aggregate net losses including two business lines. These are…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-22 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Shijie Wang

We introduce the extremal range, a local statistic for studying the spatial extent of extreme events in random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$. Conditioned on exceedance of a high threshold at a location $s$, the extremal range at $s$ is the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-06 Ryan Cotsakis , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Opitz

The skew-normal and related families are flexible and asymmetric parametric models suitable for modelling a diverse range of systems. We show that the multivariate maximum of a high-dimensional extended skew-normal random sample has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-02 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan , Yangfan Xu , Scott A. Sisson

We derive in this short report the exponential as well as power decreasing tail estimations for the sums of centered exchangeable random variables, alike ones for the sums of the centered independent ones.

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-02 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

In this paper, insight is given in the techniques used to compute asymptotic expansions. In a broad fashion the technique is described. Most of the results apply to the paper "An expansion for the maximum likelihood estimator and its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-10-05 Shanti Venetiaan

This note is devoted to the study of the maximum of the excursion of a random walk with negative drift and light-tailed increments. More precisely, we determine the local asymptotics of the joint distribution of the length, maximum and the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-08 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg

We consider phase-type scale mixture distributions which correspond to distributions of a product of two independent random variables: a phase-type random variable $Y$ and a nonnegative but otherwise arbitrary random variable $S$ called the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-16 Leonardo Rojas-Nandayapa , Wangyue Xie

The sums and maxima of weighted non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraints are that there exists a unique…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Natalia Markovich

We obtain an uniform tail estimates for natural normed sums of independent random variables (r.v.) with regular varying tails of distributions. We give also many examples on order to show the exactness of offered estimates and discuss some…

概率论 · 数学 2012-06-22 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Estimating extreme quantiles is an important task in many applications, including financial risk management and climatology. More important than estimating the quantile itself is to insure zero coverage error, which implies the quantile…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-08 Douglas E. Johnston

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

In this paper we develop a bivariate discrete generalized exponential distribution, whose marginals are discrete generalized exponential distribution as proposed by Nekoukhou, Alamatsaz and Bidram ("Discrete generalized exponential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-16 Vahid Nekoukhou , Debasis Kundu

It is shown that the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of a univariate log-concave probability density satisfies desirable consistency properties in the tail regions. Specifically, let $P$ and $f$ denote the true underlying…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-02 Didier B. Ryter , Lutz Duembgen

Consider a random walk $S=(S_n:n\geq 0)$ that is ``perturbed'' by a stationary sequence $(\xi_n:n\geq 0)$ to produce the process $(S_n+\xi_n:n\geq0)$. This paper is concerned with computing the distribution of the all-time maximum…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Victor F. Araman , Peter W. Glynn

We consider the typical Poisson-Voronoi cell in the Euclidean space R d and in particular the maximal distance D from a vertex of that cell to its nucleus. We provide a sharp asymptotics for the tail distribution of D. As a byproduct, we…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-17 Pierre Calka , Cecilia d'Errico , Nathanaël Enriquez

We tackle the modeling of threshold exceedances in asymptotically independent stochastic processes by constructions based on Laplace random fields. These are defined as Gaussian random fields scaled with a stochastic variable following an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-09 Thomas Opitz