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Population dynamics on a rugged landscape is studied analytically and numerically within a simple discrete model for evolution of N individuals in one-dimensional fitness space. We reduce the set of master equations to a single Fokker-Plank…

adap-org · 物理学 2015-06-30 Igor Aranson , Lev Tsimring , Valerii Vinokur

In fishery science, harvest management of size-structured stochastic populations is a long-standing and difficult problem. Rectilinear precautionary policies based on biomass and harvesting reference points have now become a standard…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-08-15 Felipe Montealegre-Mora , Carl Boettiger , Carl J. Walters , Christopher L. Cahill

In the past years, a remarkable mapping has been found between the dynamics of a population of M individuals undergoing random mutations and selection, and that of a single system in contact with a thermal bath with temperature 1/M. This…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-07-28 Tommaso Brotto , Guy Bunin , Jorge Kurchan

Species-sampling problems (SSPs) refer to a vast class of statistical problems calling for the estimation of (discrete) functionals of the unknown species composition of an unobservable population. A common feature of SSPs is their…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-13 Cecilia Balocchi , Federico Camerlenghi , Stefano Favaro

Accurate estimates of subnational populations are important for policy formulation and monitoring population health indicators. For example, estimates of the number of women of reproductive age are important to understand the population at…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-16 Monica Alexander , Leontine Alkema

We provide forecasts for mortality rates by using two different approaches. First we employ dynamic non-linear logistic models based on Heligman-Pollard formula. Second, we assume that the dynamics of the mortality rates can be modelled…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Jonathan J. Forster

Recent advances in engineering technologies have enabled the collection of a large number of longitudinal features. This wealth of information presents unique opportunities for researchers to investigate the complex nature of diseases and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Zihang Lu , Noirrit Kiran Chandra

In the field of population health research, understanding the similarities between geographical areas and quantifying their shared effects on health outcomes is crucial. In this paper, we synthesise a number of existing methods to create a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Wala Draidi Areed , Aiden Price , Helen Thompson , Reid Malseed , Kerrie Mengersen

The United Nations regularly publishes projections of the populations of all the world's countries broken down by age and sex. These projections are the de facto standard and are widely used by international organizations, governments and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-20 Adrian E. Raftery , Leontine Alkema , Patrick Gerland

Challenging optimisation problems are abundant in all areas of science. Since the 1950s, scientists have developed ever-diversifying families of black box optimisation algorithms designed to address any optimisation problem, requiring only…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-05-25 Anna V. Kononova , David W. Corne , Philippe De Wilde , Vsevolod Shneer , Fabio Caraffini

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

Continuum models for the spatial dynamics of growing cell populations have been widely used to investigate the mechanisms underpinning tissue development and tumour invasion. These models consist of nonlinear partial differential equations…

组织与器官 · 定量生物学 2019-07-15 Mark AJ Chaplain , Tommaso Lorenzi , Fiona R Macfarlane

We investigate the fluid dynamics of brine shrimp larvae swimming in this gallery of fluid motion video. Time resolved particle image velocimetry was performed using nano-particles as seeding material to measure the time dependent velocity…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2011-10-19 Brennan Johnson , Deborah Garrity , Lakshmi Prasad Dasi

We introduce a flexible and scalable class of Bayesian geostatistical models for discrete data, based on the class of nearest neighbor mixture transition distribution processes (NNMP), referred to as discrete NNMP. The proposed class…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-04 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

Seagrass meadows are among the most important coastal ecosystems, in terms of both spatial extent and ecosystem services, but they are also declining worldwide. Understanding the drivers of seagrass meadow dynamics is essential for…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-11-07 Sophie Arnaud-Haond , Solenn Stoeckel , Diane Bailleul

Optimal sex allocation theory is one of the most intricately developed areas of evolutionary ecology. Under a range of conditions, particularly under population sub-division, selection favours sex being allocated to offspring non-randomly,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-08-11 Richard D. Wilkinson , Apostolos Kapranas , Ian C. W. Hardy

Biological fitness is not an observable quantity and must be inferred from population dynamics. Bayesian inference applied to the Moran process and variants yields a robust inference method that can infer fitness in populations evolving via…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-10-24 Marc Harper

State estimation of dynamical systems is crucial for providing new decision-making and system automation information in different applications. However, the assumptions on the standard computational models for sensor measurements can be…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-25 Aamir Hussain Chughtai , Arslan Majal , Muhammad Tahir , Momin Uppal