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Influenza epidemics result in a public health and economic burden around the globe. Traditional surveillance techniques, which rely on doctor visits, provide data with a delay of 1-2 weeks. A means of obtaining real-time data and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-04-11 Wendy K. Caldwell , Geoffrey Fairchild , Sara Y. Del Valle

Conventional surveillance systems for monitoring infectious diseases, such as influenza, face challenges due to shortage of skilled healthcare professionals, remoteness of communities and absence of communication infrastructures.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-28 Oguzhan Gencoglu , Miikka Ermes

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Infectious diseases are one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality around the world; thus, forecasting their impact is crucial for planning an effective response strategy. According to the Centers for Disease Control and…

Accurate real-time tracking of influenza outbreaks helps public health officials make timely and meaningful decisions that could save lives. We propose an influenza tracking model, ARGO (AutoRegression with GOogle search data), that uses…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-17 Shihao Yang , Mauricio Santillana , S. C. Kou

While digital trace data from sources like search engines hold enormous potential for tracking and understanding human behavior, these streams of data lack information about the actual experiences of those individuals generating the data.…

Systems that exploit publicly available user generated content such as Twitter messages have been successful in tracking seasonal influenza. We developed a novel filtering method for Influenza-Like-Illnesses (ILI)-related messages using 587…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Son Doan , Lucila Ohno-Machado , Nigel Collier

Influenza-like illness (ILI) estimation from web search data is an important web analytics task. The basic idea is to use the frequencies of queries in web search logs that are correlated with past ILI activity as features when estimating…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2018-02-21 Niels Dalum Hansen , Kåre Mølbak , Ingemar J. Cox , Christina Lioma

For epidemics control and prevention, timely insights of potential hot spots are invaluable. Alternative to traditional epidemic surveillance, which often lags behind real time by weeks, big data from the Internet provide important…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-25 Shihao Yang , Shaoyang Ning , S. C. Kou

The characteristics of influenza seasons varies substantially from year to year, posing challenges for public health preparation and response. Influenza forecasting is used to inform seasonal outbreak response, which can in turn potentially…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-16 Nutcha Wattanachit , Evan L. Ray , Thomas C. McAndrew , Nicholas G. Reich

Influenza is an infectious disease with the potential to become a pandemic, and hence, forecasting its prevalence is an important undertaking for planning an effective response. Research has found that web search activity can be used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-27 Michael Morris , Peter Hayes , Ingemar J. Cox , Vasileios Lampos

This paper presents a predictive model for Influenza-Like-Illness, based on Twitter traffic. We gather data from Twitter based on a set of keywords used in the Influenza wikipedia page, and perform feature selection over all words used in 3…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Katerina Katsani-Geronymaki , Polyvios Pratikakis

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-04-15 Taichi Murayama , Nobuyuki Shimizu , Sumio Fujita , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Seasonal influenza infects between 10 and 50 million people in the United States every year, overburdening hospitals during weeks of peak incidence. Named by the CDC as an important tool to fight the damaging effects of these epidemics,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Thomas McAndrew , Nicholas G. Reich

The accurate forecasting of infectious epidemic diseases such as influenza is a crucial task undertaken by medical institutions. Although numerous flu forecasting methods and models based mainly on historical flu activity data and online…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-08 Taichi Murayama , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Seasonal influenza is a sometimes surprisingly impactful disease, causing thousands of deaths per year along with much additional morbidity. Timely knowledge of the outbreak state is valuable for managing an effective response. The current…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-01 Reid Priedhorsky , Ashlynn R. Daughton , Martha Barnard , Fiona O'Connell , Dave Osthus

Numerous studies have attempted to model the effect of mass media on the transmission of diseases such as influenza, however quantitative data on media engagement has until recently been difficult to obtain. With the recent explosion of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-09-28 Lewis Mitchell , Joshua V. Ross

Forecasting the hospitalizations caused by the Influenza virus is vital for public health planning so that hospitals can be better prepared for an influx of patients. Many forecasting methods have been used in real-time during the Influenza…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Majd Al Aawar , Ajitesh Srivastava

Infectious diseases pose significant human and economic burdens. Accurately forecasting disease incidence can enable public health agencies to respond effectively to existing or emerging diseases. Despite progress in the field, developing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-04 Michael Morris

Seasonal influenza causes on average 425,000 hospitalizations and 32,000 deaths per year in the United States. Forecasts of influenza-like illness (ILI) -- a surrogate for the proportion of patients infected with influenza -- support public…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-02 Ningxi Wei , Xinze Zhou , Wei-Min Huang , Thomas McAndrew
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