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We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

This paper develops systematically the stochastic calculus via regularization in the case of jump processes. In particular one continues the analysis of real-valued c\`adl\`ag weak Dirichlet processes with respect to a given filtration.…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-02 Elena Bandini , Francesco Russo

We present a new version of the stochastic sewing lemma, capable of handling multiple discontinuous control functions. This is then used to develop a theory of rough stochastic analysis in a c\`adl\`ag setting. In particular, we define…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-30 Andrew L. Allan , Jost Pieper

In this paper we consider the problem of parameter inference for Markov jump process (MJP) representations of stochastic kinetic models. Since transition probabilities are intractable for most processes of interest yet forward simulation is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-09-16 Andrew Golightly , Darren J. Wilkinson

This paper introduces test and estimation procedures for abrupt and gradual changes in the entire jump behaviour of a discretely observed Ito semimartingale. In contrast to existing work we analyse jumps of arbitrary size which are not…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-08 Michael Hoffmann , Holger Dette

The paper introduces a simple way of recording and manipulating general stochastic processes without explicit reference to a probability measure. In the new calculus, operations traditionally presented in a measure-specific way are instead…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-08 Aleš Černý , Johannes Ruf

This thesis is devoted to the study of extreme value statistics in stochastic processes and their applications. In the first part, we obtain exact analytical results on the extreme value statistics of both discrete-time and continuous-time…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-10-24 Benjamin De Bruyne

We establish a recursive representation that fully decouples jumps from a large class of multivariate inhomogeneous stochastic differential equations with jumps of general time-state dependent unbounded intensity, not of L\'evy-driven type…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-04 Qinjing Qiu , Reiichiro Kawai

We consider the task of generating draws from a Markov jump process (MJP) between two time-points at which the process is known. Resulting draws are typically termed bridges and the generation of such bridges plays a key role in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-01-31 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

This work develops Monte Carlo Euler adaptive time stepping methods for the weak approximation problem of jump diffusion driven stochastic differential equations. The main result is the derivation of a new expansion for the omputational…

数值分析 · 数学 2007-05-23 E. Mordecki , A. Szepessy , R. Tempone , G. E. Zouraris

Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-09 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

Many methods for estimating integrated volatility and related functionals of semimartingales in the presence of jumps require specification of tuning parameters for their use in practice. In much of the available theory, tuning parameters…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

IIn this paper we provide predictable and chaotic representations for It\^{o}-Markov additive processes $X$. Such a process is governed by a finite-state CTMC $J$ which allows one to modify the parameters of the It\^{o}-jump process (in…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-28 Zbigniew Palmowski , Łukasz Stettner , Anna Sulima

Recognizing the importance of jump risk in option pricing, we propose a neural jump stochastic differential equation model in this paper, which integrates neural networks as parameter estimators in the conventional jump diffusion model. To…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-06 Duosi Zheng , Hanzhong Guo , Yanchu Liu , Wei Huang

We give a bare-hands approach to the martingale representation theorem for integer valued random measures, which allows for a wide class of infinite activity jump processes, as well as all processes with well-ordered jumps.

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-24 Samuel N. Cohen

We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Patrick Seifner , Ramses J. Sanchez

Adaptive importance sampling techniques are widely known for the Gaussian setting of Brownian driven diffusions. In this work, we want to extend them to jump processes. Our approach relies on a change of the jump intensity combined with the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-09 Laetitia Badouraly Kassim , Jérôme Lelong , Imane Loumrhari

This article investigates discrete-time approximations of stochastic integrals driven by semimartingales with jumps via weighted bounded mean oscillation (BMO) approach. This approach enables $L_p$-estimates, $p \in (2, \infty)$, for the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-14 Nguyen Tran Thuan
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