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In many randomized trials, outcomes such as essays or open-ended responses must be manually scored as a preliminary step to impact analysis, a process that is costly and limiting. Model-assisted estimation offers a way to combine surrogate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Reagan Mozer , Nicole E. Pashley , Luke Miratrix

Model merging techniques aim to integrate the abilities of multiple models into a single model. Most model merging techniques have hyperparameters, and their setting affects the performance of the merged model. Because several existing…

We consider a general nonlinear regression problem where the predictors contain measurement error. It has been recently discovered that several well-known dimension reduction methods, such as OLS, SIR and pHd, can be performed on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Bing Li , Xiangrong Yin

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan

Cross-validation is a standard tool for obtaining a honest assessment of the performance of a prediction model. The commonly used version repeatedly splits data, trains the prediction model on the training set, evaluates the model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-10 Tianyu Pan , Vincent Z. Yu , Viswanath Devanarayan , Lu Tian

Most statistical tests for treatment effects used in randomized clinical trials with survival outcomes are based on the proportional hazards assumption, which often fails in practice. Data from early exploratory studies may provide evidence…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-28 Andrea Arfé , Brian Alexander , Lorenzo Trippa

Signal integrity (SI) analysis in printed circuit board (PCB) interconnects faces increasing complexity due to diverse integrated circuit (IC) buffer technologies, varying operating conditions, and manufacturing tolerances. Existing machine…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-19 Julian Withöft , Werner John , Emre Ecik , Ralf Brüning , Jürgen Götze

Generating simulated training data needed for constructing sufficiently accurate surrogate models to be used for efficient optimization or parameter identification can incur a huge computational effort in the offline phase. We consider a…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-03 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

Surrogate modeling is a powerful methodology in chemical process engineering, frequently employed to accelerate optimization tasks where traditional flowsheet simulators are computationally prohibitive. However, the state-of-the-art is…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Martin Bubel , Tobias Seidel , Michael Bortz

There are many scenarios where short- and long-term causal effects of an intervention are different. For example, low-quality ads may increase short-term ad clicks but decrease the long-term revenue via reduced clicks. This work, therefore,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Lu Cheng , Ruocheng Guo , Huan Liu

The primary endpoint in oncology is usually overall survival, where differences between therapies may only be observable after many years. To avoid withholding of a promising therapy, preliminary approval based on a surrogate endpoint is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-25 Samuel Kilian , Johannes Krisam , Meinhard Kieser

Phase 1-2 designs provide a methodological advance over phase 1 designs for dose finding by using both clinical response and toxicity. A phase 1-2 trial still may fail to select a truly optimal dose. because early response is not a perfect…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-03 Cheng-Han Yang , Peter F. Thall , Ruitao Lin

The advent and subsequent widespread availability of preventive vaccines has altered the course of public health over the past century. Despite this success, effective vaccines to prevent many high-burden diseases, including HIV, have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , Holly E. Janes , Peter B. Gilbert , David C. Benkeser

The primary analysis in two-arm clinical trials usually involves inference on a scalar treatment effect parameter; e.g., depending on the outcome, the difference of treatment-specific means, risk difference, risk ratio, or odds ratio. Most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-25 Anastasios A. Tsiatis , Marie Davidian

We investigate the effectiveness of a simple solution to the common problem of deep learning in medical image analysis with limited quantities of labeled training data. The underlying idea is to assign artificial labels to abundantly…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-01-28 Nima Tajbakhsh , Yufei Hu , Junli Cao , Xingjian Yan , Yi Xiao , Yong Lu , Jianming Liang , Demetri Terzopoulos , Xiaowei Ding

For stochastic process models, parameter inference is often severely bottlenecked by computationally expensive likelihood functions. Simulation-based inference (SBI) bypasses this restriction by constructing amortized surrogate likelihoods,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Alexander Shen , Mikael Kuusela

Given a predictor of outcome derived from a high-dimensional dataset, pre-validation is a useful technique for comparing it to competing predictors on the same dataset. For microarray data, it allows one to compare a newly derived predictor…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-07-28 Holger Höfling , Robert Tibshirani

Risk modeling with EHR data is challenging due to a lack of direct observations on the disease outcome, and the high dimensionality of the candidate predictors. In this paper, we develop a surrogate assisted semi-supervised-learning (SAS)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-05 Jue Hou , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai

Decision support systems often rely on solving complex optimization problems that may require to estimate uncertain parameters beforehand. Recent studies have shown how using traditionally trained estimators for this task can lead to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Gaetano Signorelli , Michele Lombardi

With the advancement in generative language models, the selection of prompts has gained significant attention in recent years. A prompt is an instruction or description provided by the user, serving as a guide for the generative language…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-21 Haoting Zhang , Jinghai He , Rhonda Righter , Zeyu Zheng