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In this paper a new concept, namely the critical predictable time $T_c$, is introduced to give a more precise description of computed chaotic solutions of nonlinear differential equations: it is suggested that computed chaotic solutions are…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2010-06-01 Shijun Liao

In this research the technology of complex Markov chains is applied to predict financial time series. The main distinction of complex or high-order Markov Chains and simple first-order ones is the existing of aftereffect or memory. The…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-11-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Vladimir Saptsin , Dmitry Chabanenko

In this work, inspired in the symbolic dynamic of chaotic systems and using machine learning techniques, a control strategy for complex systems is designed. Unlike the usual methodologies based on modeling, where the control signal is…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2021-06-08 Pedro García

This paper extends the subjects dicussed in the Data Analysis and Dynamical Systems courses by looking at the subject of modelling data. This task is nontrivial as the underlying process could be non-linear. In the paper some common…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-02 Vincent Mellor

This paper provides a review of past approaches to the use of deep-learning frameworks for the analysis of discrete irregular-patterned complex sequential datasets. A typical example of such a dataset is financial data where specific events…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-23 Kudakwashe Dandajena , Isabella M. Venter , Mehrdad Ghaziasgar , Reg Dodds

We consider the effect of multiple stochastic parameters on the time-average quantities of chaotic systems. We employ the recently proposed \cite{Kantarakias_Papadakis_2023} sensitivity-enhanced generalized polynomial chaos expansion,…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2023-11-02 George Papadakis , Kyriakos D. Kantarakias

This paper discusses a methodology for determining a functional representation of a random process from a collection of scattered pointwise samples. The present work specifically focuses onto random quantities lying in a high dimensional…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-01-03 Lionel Mathelin

For appropriately chosen weights, temporal averages in chaotic systems can be approximated as a weighted sum of averages over reference states, such as unstable periodic orbits. Under strict assumptions, such as completeness of the orbit…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-06-23 Joshua L. Pughe-Sanford , Sam Quinn , Teodor Balabanski , Roman O. Grigoriev

In this paper, we consider the problem of computing robust controlled invariants for discrete-time monotone dynamical systems. We consider different classes of monotone systems depending on whether the sets of states, control inputs and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-06-27 Adnane Saoud , Murat Arcak

Markov models are often used to capture the temporal patterns of sequential data for statistical learning applications. While the Hidden Markov modeling-based learning mechanisms are well studied in literature, we analyze a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-25 Devesh K. Jha

The paper is largely of a review nature. It considers two main methods used to study stability and obtain appropriate quantitative estimates of perturbations of (inhomogeneous) Markov chains with continuous time and a finite or countable…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-17 Alexander Zeifman , Victor Korolev , Yacov Satin

We discuss various numerical approaches for studying the chaotic dynamics of multidimensional Hamiltonian systems, focusing our analysis on the chaotic evolution of initially localized energy excitations in the disordered Klein-Gordon…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2023-11-09 Charalampos Skokos

Incorporating probabilistic terms in mathematical models is crucial for capturing and quantifying uncertainties in real-world systems, especially when the solution is not unique or exhibits sudden qualitative changes as parameters vary.…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-17 Isabella Carla Gonnella , Moaad Khamlich , Federico Pichi , Gianluigi Rozza

Uncertainty is an essential consideration for time series forecasting tasks. In this work, we specifically focus on quantifying the uncertainty of traffic forecasting. To achieve this, we develop Deep Spatio-Temporal Uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-12 Weizhu Qian , Dalin Zhang , Yan Zhao , Kai Zheng , James J. Q. Yu

In this paper, a novel formulation of discrete chaotic iterations in the field of dynamical systems is given. Their topological properties are studied: it is mathematically proved that, under some conditions, these iterations have a chaotic…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2017-02-09 Jacques M. Bahi , Christophe Guyeux

We introduce "state space persistence analysis" for deducing the symbolic dynamics of time series data obtained from high-dimensional chaotic attractors. To this end, we adapt a topological data analysis technique known as persistent…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2020-03-13 Gökhan Yalnız , Nazmi Burak Budanur

We consider the number of Bowen sets which are necessary to cover a large measure subset of the phase space. This introduce some complexity indicator characterizing different kind of (weakly) chaotic dynamics. Since in many systems its…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-06-26 S. Galatolo

Symbolic dynamics has proven to be an invaluable tool in analyzing the mechanisms that lead to unpredictability and random behavior in nonlinear dynamical systems. Surprisingly, a discrete partition of continuous state space can produce a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-07-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield

Representations of sequential data are commonly based on the assumption that observed sequences are realizations of an unknown underlying stochastic process, where the learning problem includes determination of the model parameters. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-17 Ronny Hug , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens

Past approaches for statistical shape analysis of objects have focused mainly on objects within the same topological classes, e.g., scalar functions, Euclidean curves, or surfaces, etc. For objects that differ in more complex ways, the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-18 Xiaoyang Guo , Anuj Srivastava