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In the last decade, sequential Monte-Carlo methods (SMC) emerged as a key tool in computational statistics. These algorithms approximate a sequence of distributions by a sequence of weighted empirical measures associated to a weighted…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 R. Douc , France E. Moulines

Quasi-Monte Carlo sampling can attain far better accuracy than plain Monte Carlo sampling. However, with plain Monte Carlo sampling it is much easier to estimate the attained accuracy. This article describes methods old and new to quantify…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-07-16 Art B. Owen

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

Estimating the unknown density from which a given independent sample originates is more difficult than estimating the mean, in the sense that for the best popular non-parametric density estimators, the mean integrated square error converges…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-08 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer , Amal Ben Abdellah

This article provides an introduction to the asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes. Maximum likelihood estimation is considered. The aim of this introduction is to be accessible to a wide audience and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-16 François Bachoc

Models implicitly defined through a random simulator of a process have become widely used in scientific and industrial applications in recent years. However, simulation-based inference methods for such implicit models, like approximate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Joonha Park

This study develops a non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation theory for distributions of M-estimators, which are defined as maximizers of empirical criterion functions. In existing mathematical statistics literature, numerous studies have…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-28 Masaaki Imaizumi , Taisuke Otsu

We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-24 Peter Hall , Tung Pham , M. P. Wand , S. S. J. Wang

Thomas' partial likelihood estimator of regression parameters is widely used in the analysis of nested case-control data with Cox's model. This paper proposes a new estimator of the regression parameters, which is consistent and…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Kani Chen

Methods for Bayesian simulation in the presence of computationally intractable likelihood functions are of growing interest. Termed likelihood-free samplers, standard simulation algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo have been adapted…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-05-31 S. A. Sisson , G. W. Peters , M. Briers , Y. Fan

This work addresses the problem of estimating the parameters of the general half-normal distribution. Namely, the problem of determining the minimum risk equi\-va\-riant (MRE) estimators of the parameters is explored. Simulation studies are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-28 A. G. Nogales , P. Pérez , P. Monfort

We show that the variance of the Monte Carlo estimator that is importance sampled from an exponential family is a convex function of the natural parameter of the distribution. With this insight, we propose an adaptive importance sampling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-01-12 Ernest K. Ryu , Stephen P. Boyd

This paper examines the precision of estimators of Quantile-Based Risk Measures (Value at Risk, Expected Shortfall, Spectral Risk Measures). It first addresses the question of how to estimate the precision of these estimators, and proposes…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-03-30 Kevin Dowd , John Cotter

We study the error of reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for approximating the expectation of a function. Explicit error bounds with respect to different norms of the function are proven. By the estimation the well known…

数值分析 · 数学 2011-01-18 Daniel Rudolf

When estimating a proportion and only a sample of triplets is given, dependencies within the triplets are to be accounted for. Without assuming a distribution for the success count of the triplet, together with the proportion, as second and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-11 Rafael Weissbach , Eric Scholz

An autoregressive process with Markov regime is an autoregressive process for which the regression function at each time point is given by a nonobservable Markov chain. In this paper we consider the asymptotic properties of the maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Tobias Ryden

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou

The use of continuous probability distributions has been widespread in problems with purely discrete nature. In general, such distributions are not appropriate in this scenario. In this paper, we introduce a class of discrete and asymmetric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila , Leonardo Paiva , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

In this paper, the maximum L$q$-likelihood estimator (ML$q$E), a new parameter estimator based on nonextensive entropy [Kibernetika 3 (1967) 30--35] is introduced. The properties of the ML$q$E are studied via asymptotic analysis and…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-02-25 Davide Ferrari , Yuhong Yang

We discuss the use of likelihood asymptotics for inference on risk measures in univariate extreme value problems, focusing on estimation of high quantiles and similar summaries of risk for uncertainty quantification. We study whether…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-28 Léo R. Belzile , Anthony C. Davison