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We consider the quickest change-point detection problem where the aim is to detect the onset of a pre-specified drift in "live"-monitored standard Brownian motion; the change-point is assumed unknown (nonrandom). The topic of interest is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-18 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

A standard approach to study time-dependent stochastic processes is the power spectral density (PSD), an ensemble-averaged property defined as the Fourier transform of the autocorrelation function of the process in the asymptotic limit of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-09-04 Vittoria Sposini , Ralf Metzler , Gleb Oshanin

Motivation: We consider continuous-time Markov chains that describe the stochastic evolution of a dynamical system by a transition-rate matrix $Q$ which depends on a parameter $\theta$. Computing the probability distribution over states at…

In the present work, by using the method of accumulation of phase shifts in the rotating frame, the attenuation function S(t) of the NMR signal from an ensemble of spin-bearing particles in a magnetic-field gradient is expressed through the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-09-26 Jana Tothova , Vladimir Lisy

Recent single molecule experiments probing the passage process of a short single-stranded DNA (ssDNA) through a membrane channel (translocation) allow to measure the passage time distribution. Building on a recent modelling approach (D. K.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Ralf Metzler , Joseph Klafter

Extensive time-series encoding the position of particles such as viruses, vesicles, or individual proteins are routinely garnered in single-particle tracking experiments or supercomputing studies. They contain vital clues on how viruses…

Markov state models (MSMs) are a powerful tool to analyze and coarse-grain complex dynamical data into interpretable kinetic processes. This capability is particularly important in heterogeneous catalysis, where a medley of reactants and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-11 Caitlin A. McCandler , Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Timothy C. Berkelbach , Jutta Rogal

Use of harmonic guiding potentials is the most common method for implementing steered molecular dynamics (SMD) simulations, performed to obtain potentials of mean force (PMFs) of molecular systems using non-equilibrium work (NEW) theorems.…

计算物理 · 物理学 2016-07-26 Mostafa Nategholeslam , C. G. Gray , Bruno Tomberli

This paper addresses sampling-based trajectory optimization for risk-aware navigation under stochastic dynamics. Typically such approaches operate by computing $\tilde{N}$ perturbed rollouts around the nominal dynamics to estimate the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Basant Sharma , Arun Kumar Singh

This paper introduces a probabilistic approach for tracking the dynamics of unweighted and directed graphs using state-space models (SSMs). Unlike conventional topology inference methods that assume static graphs and generate point-wise…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-13 Victor M. Tenorio , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus , Antonio G. Marques

Modeling and control of high-dimensional, nonlinear robotic systems remains a challenging task. While various model- and learning-based approaches have been proposed to address these challenges, they broadly lack generalizability to…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-09-21 John Irvin Alora , Mattia Cenedese , Edward Schmerling , George Haller , Marco Pavone

Temporal motion modeling has always been a key component in multiple object tracking (MOT) which can ensure smooth trajectory movement and provide accurate positional information to enhance association precision. However, current motion…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-11 Bin Hu , Run Luo , Zelin Liu , Cheng Wang , Wenyu Liu

The paper deals with the problem of large-time behaviour of trajectories for discrete-time dynamical systems driven by a random noise. Assuming that the phase space is finite-dimensional and compact, and the noise is a Markov process with a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-15 Sergei Kuksin , Armen Shirikyan

In the present paper, we studied a Dynamic Stochastic Block Model (DSBM) under the assumptions that the connection probabilities, as functions of time, are smooth and that at most $s$ nodes can switch their class memberships between two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-04 Marianna Pensky , Teng Zhang

Gravitational wave sources with electromagnetic counterparts have highlighted the need for predictive, interpretable models linking the parameters of compact binary systems to post-merger remnants and mass outflows. In this work, we explore…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2025-11-13 P. Darc , Clecio R. Bom , Charles Kilpatrick , Bernardo M. O. Fraga , Gabriel S. M. Teixeira

We have developed a statistical technique to test the model assumption of binary regime switching extension of the geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model by proposing a new discriminating statistics. Given a time series data, we have…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-10-21 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time of a Markov chain from a single trajectory of observations. Unlike most previous works which employed Hilbert space methods to estimate spectral gaps, we opt for an approach based on…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-13 Geoffrey Wolfer

The constituents of soft matter systems such as colloidal suspensions, emulsions, polymers, and biological tissues undergo microscopic random motion, due to thermal energy. They may also experience drift motion correlated over mesoscopic or…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Luca Cipelletti , Giovanni Brambilla , Simona Maccarrone , Sami Caroff

Single Particle Tracking (SPT) can aid in understanding complex spatio-temporal processes. However, quantifying diffusivity and forces from individual live cell trajectories is complicated by inter- & intra-trajectory kinetic heterogeneity,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-05-19 Christopher P. Calderon

Autoregressive Markov switching (ARMS) time series models are used to represent real-world signals whose dynamics may change over time. They have found application in many areas of the natural and social sciences, as well as in engineering.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-21 José A. Martínez-Ordóñez , Javier López-Santiago , Joaquín Miguez