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In this article, we propose a network spread model for HIV epidemics, wherein each individual is represented by a node of the transmission network and the edges are the connections between individuals along which the infection may spread.…

生物物理 · 物理学 2007-08-29 Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

Key populations at high risk of HIV infection are critical for understanding and monitoring HIV epidemics, but global estimation is hampered by sparse, uneven data. We analyze data from 199 countries for female sex workers (FSW), men who…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Jiahao Zhang , Keith Sabin , Le Bao

Evaluating causal effects in the presence of interference is challenging in network-based studies of hard-to-reach populations. Like many such populations, people who inject drugs (PWID) are embedded in social networks and often exert…

The spread of sexually transmitted diseases (e.g. Chlamydia, Syphilis, Gonorrhea, HIV) across populations is a major concern for scientists and health agencies. In this context, both data collection on sexual contact networks and the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 J. Gomez-Gardenes , V. Latora , Y. Moreno , E. V. Profumo

Molecular HIV Surveillance (MHS) has been described as key to enabling rapid responses to HIV outbreaks. It operates by linking individuals with genetically similar viral sequences, which forms a network. A major limitation of MHS is that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-24 Ravi Goyal , Kevin Nguyen , Victor De Gruttola , Susan J Little , Colby Cohen , Natasha K Martin

Black men who have sex with men (MSM) in the U.S. are more likely to be HIV-positive than White MSM. Intentional and unintentional segregation of Black from non-Black MSM in sex partner meeting places may perpetuate this disparity, a fact…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-13 Jonathan Larson , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

As the global HIV pandemic enters its fourth decade, increasing numbers of surveillance sites have been established which allows countries to look into the epidemics at a finer scale, e.g. at sub-national levels. Currently, the epidemic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-08-27 Le Bao , Xiaoyue Niu , Mary Mahy , Peter D. Ghys

This paper describes a novel approach to modeling homphily, i.e. the tendency of nodes that share (or differ in) certain attributes to be linked; we consider dynamic networks in which nodes can be added over time but not removed. Our…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2022-01-13 V. DeGruttola , M. Nakazawa , J. Liu , X. Tu , S. Little , S. Mehta

Men who have sex with men (MSM) remain disproportionately affected by HIV, yet optimizing Pre-exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) distribution remains a public health challenge. Current guidelines and most modelling studies do not incorporate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-03-17 João Brázia , István Z. Kiss , Alexandre P. Francisco , Andreia Sofia Teixeira

The spread of certain diseases can be promoted, in some cases substantially, by prior infection with another disease. One example is that of HIV, whose immunosuppressant effects significantly increase the chances of infection with other…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-08-04 M. E. J. Newman , C. R. Ferrario

Background. Several studies have used phylogenetics to investigate Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) transmission among Men who have Sex with Men (MSMs) in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, revealing many transmission clusters. The Quebec HIV…

HIV transmission within serodiscordant couples remains a significant public health challenge, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. Estimating the rate of such infection, alongside the rates of introduction of infection from outside the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Irene García Muñoz , Ian Hall , Thomas House

Understanding historical trends in the epidemic of HIV is important for assessing current and projecting future trends in prevalence, incidence and mortality and for evaluating the impact and cost-effectiveness of control measures. In…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-12-10 Brian G. Williams

In dynamic models of infectious disease transmission, typically various mixing patterns are imposed on the so-called Who-Acquires-Infection-From-Whom matrix (WAIFW). These imposed mixing patterns are based on prior knowledge of age-related…

In the present work the spread of epidemic is studied over complex networks which are characterized by power law degree distribution of links and heterogeneous rate of disease transmission. The random allocation of epidemic transmission…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-07-19 Vikram Sagar , Yi Zhao

In this letter, we mainly consider an MSM (men have sex with men) network to analysis how monogamy behavior can influence the transmission of HIV. By calculating and analyzing the basic reproductive number of that network, we find the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-15 Chentong Li , Jiawei liu , Yicang Zhou

The transmission through contacts among MSM (men who have sex with men) is one of the dominating contributors to HIV prevalence in industrialized countries. In Amsterdam, the capital of the Netherlands, the MSM risk group has been traced…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2010-12-30 Shan Mei , Rick Quax , David van de Vijver , Yifan Zhu , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A. Sloot

A central challenge in Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) public health policy lies in determining whether to universally expand treatment access, despite the risk of sub-optimal adherence and consequent drug resistance, or to adopt a more…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-07-16 Ashish Poonia , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Social context plays an important role in perpetuating or reducing HIV risk behaviors. This study analyzed the network and individual attributes that were associated with the likelihood that people who inject drugs (PWID) will engage in HIV…

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