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Consider the problem of a government that wants to reduce the debt-to-GDP (gross domestic product) ratio of a country. The government aims at choosing a debt reduction policy which minimises the total expected cost of having debt, plus the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-12-29 Giorgio Ferrari

In a dynamic economy, we characterize the fiscal policy of the government when it levies distortionary taxes and issues defaultable bonds to finance its stochastic expenditure. Default may occur in equilibrium as it prevents the government…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-05-10 Demian Pouzo , Ignacio Presno

We consider a government that aims at reducing the debt-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of a country. The government observes the level of the debt-to-GDP ratio and an indicator of the state of the economy, but does not directly…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-01-29 Giorgia Callegaro , Claudia Ceci , Giorgio Ferrari

We analyze the problem of optimal reduction of the debt-to-GDP ratio in a stochastic control setting. The debt-to-GDP dynamics are modeled through a stochastic differential equation in which fiscal policy simultaneously affects both debt…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-18 Claudia Ceci , Luca Semerari

We consider the relationship between economic activity and intervention, including monetary and fiscal policy, using a universal dynamic framework. Central bank policies are designed for growth without excess inflation. However,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-01-01 Yaneer Bar-Yam , Jean Langlois-Meurinne , Mari Kawakatsu , Rodolfo Garcia

This paper studies an optimal consumption problem with both relaxed benchmark tracking and consumption drawdown constraint, leading to a stochastic control problem with dynamic state-control constraints. In our relaxed tracking formulation,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-22 Lijun Bo , Yijie Huang , Kaixin Yan , Xiang Yu

I devise a novel approach to evaluate the effectiveness of fiscal policy in the short run with multi-category treatment effects and inverse probability weighting based on the potential outcome framework. This study's main contribution to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-11 Koiti Yano

This paper investigates how the cost of public debt shapes fiscal policy and its effect on the economy. Using U.S. historical data, I show that when servicing the debt creates a fiscal burden, the government responds to spending shocks by…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-15 Venance Riblier

Do governments adjust budgetary policy to rising public debt, precluding fiscal unsustainability? Using budget data for 52 industrial and emerging economies since 1990, we apply panel methods accounting for cross-sectional dependence and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-18 Paolo Canofari , Alessandro Piergallini , Marco Tedeschi

I examine global dynamics in a monetary model with overlapping generations of finite-horizon agents and a binding lower bound on nominal interest rates. Debt targeting rules exacerbate the possibility of self-fulfilling liquidity traps, for…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-08 Alessandro Piergallini

In this paper, we work in the framework of the Merton problem but we impose a drawdown constraint on the consumption process. This means that consumption can never fall below a fixed proportion of the running maximum of past consumption. In…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2012-10-19 T. Arun

This paper develops a new model of business cycles. The model is economical in that it is solved with an aggregate demand-aggregate supply diagram, and the effects of shocks and policies are obtained by comparative statics. The model builds…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-03-22 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez

We determine the optimal investment strategy of an individual who targets a given rate of consumption and who seeks to minimize the probability of going bankrupt before she dies, also known as {\it lifetime ruin}. We impose two types of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

We consider an optimal control problem arising in the context of economic theory of growth, on the lines of the works by Skiba (1978) and Askenazy - Le Van (1999). The economic framework of the model is intertemporal infinite horizon…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-09-05 Francesco Bartaloni

I characterize optimal government policy in a sticky-price economy with different types of consumers and endogenous financial constraints in the banking and entrepreneurial sectors. The competitive equilibrium allocation is constrained…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-29 Aliaksandr Zaretski

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are effective measures to contain a pandemic. Yet, such control measures commonly have a negative effect on the economy. Here, we propose a macro-level approach to support resolving this…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-02-25 Rohit Salgotra , Thomas Seidelmann , Dominik Fischer , Sanaz Mostaghim , Amiram Moshaiov

We consider a model of debt management, where a sovereign state trade some bonds to service the debt with a pool of risk-neutral competitive foreign investors. At each time, the government decides which fraction of the gross domestic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-09-30 Antonio Marigonda , Khai T. Nguyen

This paper considers an optimal control of a big financial company with debt liability under bankrupt probability constraints. The company, which faces constant liability payments and has choices to choose various production/business…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-08-11 Zongxia Liang , Bin Sun

We solve an infinite time-horizon bounded-variation stochastic control problem with regime switching between $N$ states. This is motivated by the problem of a government that wants to control the country's debt-to-GDP (gross domestic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-12-10 Giorgio Ferrari , Neofytos Rodosthenous

Investment herding, a phenomenon where households mimic the decisions of others rather than relying on their own analysis, has significant effects on financial markets and household behavior. Excessive investment herding may reduce…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-07-15 Huisheng Wang , H. Vicky Zhao
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