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We consider the problem of estimating a parameter associated to a Bayesian inverse problem. Treating the unknown initial condition as a nuisance parameter, typically one must resort to a numerical approximation of gradient of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-17 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Deng Lu

Inverse probability weighted estimators are the oldest and potentially most commonly used class of procedures for the estimation of causal effects. By adjusting for selection biases via a weighting mechanism, these procedures estimate an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-06 Ashkan Ertefaie , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan

To accomplish correct Bayesian inference from weak lensing shear data requires a complete statistical description of the data. The natural framework to do this is a Bayesian Hierarchical Model, which divides the chain of reasoning into…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2016-02-18 Alan Heavens , Justin Alsing , Andrew Jaffe , Till Hoffmann , Alina Kiessling , Benjamin Wandelt

We develop a new approach for estimating the risk of an arbitrary estimator of the mean vector in the classical normal means problem. The key idea is to generate two auxiliary data vectors, by adding carefully constructed normal noise…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-25 Natalia L. Oliveira , Jing Lei , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Estimation of linear functionals from observed data is an important task in many subjects. Juditsky & Nemirovski [The Annals of Statistics 37.5A (2009): 2278-2300] propose a framework for non-parametric estimation of linear functionals in a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-08 Akshay Seshadri , Stephen Becker

Constructing unbiased estimators from Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) outputs is a difficult problem that has recently received a lot of attention in the statistics and machine learning communities. However, the current unbiased MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-12-27 Guanyang Wang , Tianze Wang

This paper proposes an estimation framework to assess the performance of sorting over perturbed/noisy data. In particular, the recovering accuracy is measured in terms of Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) between the values of the sorting…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , H. Vincent Poor

A stochastic iterative algorithm approximating second-order information using von Neumann series is discussed. We present convergence guarantees for strongly-convex and smooth functions. Our analysis is much simpler in contrast to a similar…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-04-14 Mojmir Mutny

We study the problem of likelihood maximization when the likelihood function is intractable but model simulations are readily available. We propose a sequential, gradient-based optimization method that directly models the Fisher score based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Sherman Khoo , Yakun Wang , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

We consider the additive version of the matrix denoising problem, where a random symmetric matrix $S$ of size $n$ has to be inferred from the observation of $Y=S+Z$, with $Z$ an independent random matrix modeling a noise. For prior…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2024-10-25 Guilhem Semerjian

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

The aim of this paper is to present a new estimation procedure that can be applied in many statistical frameworks including density and regression and which leads to both robust and optimal (or nearly optimal) estimators. In density…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-23 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé , Mathieu Sart

In distributed second order optimization, a standard strategy is to average many local estimates, each of which is based on a small sketch or batch of the data. However, the local estimates on each machine are typically biased, relative to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-06 Michał Dereziński , Burak Bartan , Mert Pilanci , Michael W. Mahoney

We consider the problem of estimating a low-dimensional parameter in high-dimensional linear regression. Constructing an approximately unbiased estimate of the parameter of interest is a crucial step towards performing statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-30 Michael Celentano , Andrea Montanari

Corrector estimates constitute a key ingredient in the derivation of optimal convergence rates via two-scale expansion techniques in homogenization theory of random uniformly elliptic equations. The present work follows up - in terms of…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2020-12-10 Sebastian Hensel

Evaluation of treatment effects and more general estimands is typically achieved via parametric modelling, which is unsatisfactory since model misspecification is likely. Data-adaptive model building (e.g. statistical/machine learning) is…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-14 Oliver Hines , Oliver Dukes , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

In this paper we consider regression problems subject to arbitrary noise in the operator or design matrix. This characterization appropriately models many physical phenomena with uncertainty in the regressors. Although the problem has been…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-08 Richard J Clancy , Stephen Becker

Large area lensing surveys are expected to make it possible to use cosmic shear tomography as a tool to severely constrain cosmological parameters. To this end, one typically relies on second order statistics such as the two - point…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2016-06-30 M. Vicinanza , V. F. Cardone , R. Maoli , R. Scaramella , X. Er

In this article, we consider computing expectations w.r.t. probability measures which are subject to discretization error. Examples include partially observed diffusion processes or inverse problems, where one may have to discretize time…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-25 Jeremy Heng , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov

Unbiased and consistent variance estimators generally do not exist for design-based treatment effect estimators because experimenters never observe more than one potential outcome for any unit. The problem is exacerbated by interference and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-04 Christopher Harshaw , Joel A. Middleton , Fredrik Sävje