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The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

We consider the problem of calculating learning curves (i.e., average generalization performance) of Gaussian processes used for regression. On the basis of a simple expression for the generalization error, in terms of the eigenvalue…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Peter Sollich , Anason Halees

High-precision measurements require optimal setups and analysis tools to achieve continuous improvements. Systematic corrections need to be modeled with high accuracy and known uncertainty to reconstruct underlying physical phenomena. To…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-05-31 Max Lamparth , Mattis Bestehorn , Bastian Märkisch

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) are multi-layer, flexible extensions of Gaussian processes but their training remains challenging. Sparse approximations simplify the training but often require optimization over a large number of inducing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-20 Ayush Jain , P. K. Srijith , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

This paper introduces a new method for performing computational inference on log-Gaussian Cox processes. The likelihood is approximated directly by making novel use of a continuously specified Gaussian random field. We show that for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-11-02 Daniel Simpson , Janine Illian , Finn Lindgren , Sigrunn Sørbye , Håvard Rue

This paper proposes a new class of real-time optimization schemes to overcome system-model mismatch of uncertain processes. This work's novelty lies in integrating derivative-free optimization schemes and multi-fidelity Gaussian processes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-11 Panagiotis Petsagkourakis , Benoit Chachuat , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona

Approximation using Fourier features is a popular technique for scaling kernel methods to large-scale problems, with myriad applications in machine learning and statistics. This method replaces the integral representation of a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-26 Ayoub Belhadji , Qianyu Julie Zhu , Youssef Marzouk

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a popular surrogate modeling tool for computer simulations in engineering and scientific domains. However, it often struggles with high computational costs and low prediction accuracy when the simulation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Lulu Kang , Minshen Xu

In this work we consider Bayesian inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. We present a method to compute an approximate of the posterior with a limited number of model simulations. The method features an inverse Gaussian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Hongqiao Wang , Ziqiao Ao , Tengchao Yu , Jinglai Li

Gaussian Process (GP) models provide a flexible framework for prediction and uncertainty quantification. For most covariance functions, however, exact GP prediction with $n$ points scales as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$, making it prohibitively…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Samanyu Arora , Christopher J. Geoga

Devising optimal operating strategies for a compressor station relies on the knowledge of compressor characteristics. As the compressor characteristics change with time and use, it is necessary to provide accurate models of the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-11-24 Akhil Ahmed , Marta Zagorowska , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Mehmet Mercangöz

We introduce a novel adaptive Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methodology for efficient construction of surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations. An adaptive design strategy focuses on…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-01 Paolo Villani , Jörg Unger , Martin Weiser

Practitioners building classifiers often start with a smaller pilot dataset and plan to grow to larger data in the near future. Such projects need a toolkit for extrapolating how much classifier accuracy may improve from a 2x, 10x, or 50x…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Ethan Harvey , Wansu Chen , David M. Kent , Michael C. Hughes

This paper argues that there has not been enough discussion in the field of applications of Gaussian Process for the fast moving consumer goods industry. Yet, this technique can be important as it e.g., can provide automatic feature…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-19 Rodrigo Rivera , Evgeny Burnaev

Bayesian optimization through Gaussian process regression is an effective method of optimizing an unknown function for which every measurement is expensive. It approximates the objective function and then recommends a new measurement point…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Hildo Bijl , Thomas B. Schön , Jan-Willem van Wingerden , Michel Verhaegen

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

Gaussian process regression is a widely-applied method for function approximation and uncertainty quantification. The technique has gained popularity recently in the machine learning community due to its robustness and interpretability. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Marcus M. Noack , James A. Sethian

Gaussian Processes face two primary challenges: constructing models for large datasets and selecting the optimal model. This master's thesis tackles these challenges in the low-dimensional case. We examine recent convergence results to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-13 Marcel Neugebauer

The Gaussian function (GF) is widely used to explain the behavior or statistical distribution of many natural phenomena as well as industrial processes in different disciplines of engineering and applied science. For example, the GF can be…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-08 Ibrahim Al-Nahhal , Octavia A. Dobre , Ertugrul Basar , Cecilia Moloney , Salama Ikki