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The effects of demographic stochasticity in the long term behaviour of endemic infectious diseases have been considered for long as a necessary addition to an underlying deterministic theory. The latter would explain the regular behaviour…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-08-29 M. Simões , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes

We study two agent based models of opinion formation - one stochastic in nature and one deterministic. Both models are defined in terms of an underlying graph; we study how the structure of the graph affects the long time behavior of the…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-01-31 Dylan Weber , Ryan Theisen , Sebastien Motsch

A representation of heterogeneous stochastic populations that are composed of sub-populations with different levels of distinguishability is introduced together with an analysis of its properties. It is demonstrated that any instance of…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-02 Jeremie Houssineau , Daniel E. Clark

A model of interacting random walkers is presented and shown to give rise to patterns consisting in periodic arrangements of fluctuating particle clusters. The model represents biological individuals that die or reproduce at rates depending…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Cristobal Lopez , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

These notes describe stochastic epidemics in a homogenous community. Our main concern is stochastic compartmental models (i.e. models where each individual belongs to a compartment, which stands for its status regarding the epidemic under…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-06 Tom Britton , Etienne Pardoux

The study of density-dependent stochastic population processes is important from a historical perspective as well as from the perspective of a number of existing and emerging applications today. In more recent applications of these…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-09-26 Yingdong Lu , Mark Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

Deterministic approximations to stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible models typically predict a stable endemic steady-state when above threshold. This can be hard to relate to the underlying stochastic dynamics, which has no…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-08-12 Christopher E. Overton , Robert R. Wilkinson , Adedapo Loyinmi , Joel C. Miller , Kieran J. Sharkey

We use a stochastic metapopulation model to study the combined effects of seasonality and spatial heterogeneity on disease persistence. We find a pronounced effect of enhanced persistence associated with strong heterogeneity, intermediate…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-02-23 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes , Alan J. McKane

As ecologists increasingly adopt stochastic models over deterministic ones, the question arises: when is this a positive development and when is this an unnecessary complication? While deterministic models -- like the Lotka-Volterra model…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-10-15 Evan C. Johnson , Tad Dallas , Alan Hastings

Exact generalized stochastic representation of deterministic interaction between two dynamical (quantum or classical) systems is derived which helps when considering one of them to replace another by equivalent commutative ($c$-number…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Yuriy E. Kuzovlev

Understanding under what conditions populations, whether they be plants, animals, or viral particles, persist is an issue of theoretical and practical importance in population biology. Both biotic interactions and environmental fluctuations…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-12-16 Sebastian J. Schreiber

Discrete time, spatially extended models play an important role in ecology, modelling population dynamics of species ranging from micro-organisms to birds. An important question is how 'bottom up', individual-based models can be…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-01-20 Linnéa Gyllingberg , David J. T. Sumpter , Åke Brännström

Population dynamics are often subject to random independent changes in the environment. For the two strategy stochastic replicator dynamic, we assume that stochastic changes in the environment replace the payoffs and variance. This is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-06-11 Andrew Vlasic

We develop a stochastic parametrization, based on a `simple' deterministic model for the dynamics of steady longshore currents, that produces ensembles that are statistically consistent with field observations of these currents. Unlike…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-12-06 Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

For chaotic systems there is a theory for the decay of the survival probability, and for the parametric dependence of the local density of states. This theory leads to the distinction between "perturbative" and "non-perturbative" regimes,…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Jiri Vanicek , Doron Cohen

We provide results of a deterministic approximation for non-Markovian stochastic processes modeling finite populations of individuals who recurrently play symmetric finite games and imitate each other according to payoffs. We show that a…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-06-05 Ozgur Aydogmus , Yun Kang

We study a stochastic individual-based model of interacting plant and pollinator species through a bipartite graph: each species is a node of the graph, an edge representing interactions between a pair of species. The dynamics of the system…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-27 Sylvain Billiard , Hélène Leman , Thomas Rey , Viet Chi Tran

When modelling metapopulation dynamics, the influence of a single patch on the metapopulation depends on the number of individuals in the patch. Since the population size has no natural upper limit, this leads to systems in which there are…

概率论 · 数学 2011-04-01 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

In this paper, we consider a stochastic ratio-dependent predator-prey model. We firstly prove the existence, uniqueness and positivity of the solutions. Then, the boundedness of moments of population are studied. Finally, we show the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-01 Nguyen Thi Hoai Linh , Ta Viet Ton