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One of the most widely used samplers in practice is the component-wise Metropolis-Hastings (CMH) sampler that updates in turn the components of a vector valued Markov chain using accept-reject moves generated from a proposal distribution.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Jinyoung Yang , Evgeny Levi , Radu V. Craiu , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Catastrophe Markov chain population models have received a lot of attention in the recent past. We herewith consider two special cases of such models involving total disasters, both in discrete and in continuous-time. Depending on the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-12 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet

Markov chains and Markov decision processes (MDPs) are well-established probabilistic models. While finite Markov models are well-understood, analysing their infinite counterparts remains a significant challenge. Decisiveness has proven to…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-04-23 Nathalie Bertrand , Patricia Bouyer , Thomas Brihaye , Paulin Fournier , Pierre Vandenhove

Consider longitudinal networks whose edges turn on and off according to a discrete-time Markov chain with exponential-family transition probabilities. We characterize when their joint distributions are also exponential families with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 William K. Schwartz , Sonja Petrović , Hemanshu Kaul

We investigate the mixing properties of a model of reversible Markov chains in random environment, which notably contains the simple random walk on the superposition of a deterministic graph and a second graph whose vertex set has been…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-13 Bastien Dubail

Empirical likelihood is a powerful semi-parametric method increasingly investigated in the literature. However, most authors essentially focus on an i.i.d. setting. In the case of dependent data, the classical empirical likelihood method…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-02-17 Hugo Harari-Kermadec

Many applications in signal processing require the estimation of some parameters of interest given a set of observed data. More specifically, Bayesian inference needs the computation of {\it a-posteriori} estimators which are often…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 Luca Martino

The dynamics of the solutions to a class of conservative SPDEs are analysed from two perspectives: Firstly, a probabilistic construction of a corresponding random dynamical system is given for the first time. Secondly, the existence and…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-30 Benjamin Fehrman , Benjamin Gess , Rishabh S. Gvalani

The theory of $L^2$-spectral gaps for reversible Markov chains has been studied by many authors. In this paper we consider positive recurrent general state space Markov chains with stationary transition probabilities. Replacing the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-08-07 Achim Wuebker , Zakhar Kabluchko

We compare different analytical and numerical methods for studying the partitions of a finite system into fragments. We propose a new numerical method of exploring the partition space by generating the Markov chains of partitions based on…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 A. S. Botvina , A. D. Jackson , I. N. Mishustin

The asymptotic normality in multi-dimension of the nonparametric estimator of the transition probabilities of a Markov renewal chain is proved, and is applied to that of other nonparametric estimators involved with the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-11 Hiroki Ogata , Luis Iván Hernández Ruíz , Kouji Yano

The probabilistic description of the time evolution of a physical system can take two conceptually distinct forms: a trajectory of probabilities, which specifies how probabilities evolve over time, and a probability on trajectories, which…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-03-02 Győző Egri , Marton Gomori , Balazs Gyenis , Gábor Hofer-Szabó

For continuous-time Markov chains and open unimolecular chemical reaction networks, we prove that any two stationary currents are linearly related upon perturbations of a single edge's transition rates, arbitrarily far from equilibrium. We…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-06-14 Pedro E. Harunari , Sara Dal Cengio , Vivien Lecomte , Matteo Polettini

Given a matrix of distribution functions and a quasi-stochastic matrix, i.e. an irreducible nonnegative matrix with maximal eigenvalue one and associated unique positive left and right eigenvectors, the article studies the properties of an…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-28 Gerold Alsmeyer

In this paper, we study the asymptotic variance of sample path averages for inhomogeneous Markov chains that evolve alternatingly according to two different $\pi$-reversible Markov transition kernels $P$ and $Q$. More specifically, our main…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-15 Florian Maire , Randal Douc , Jimmy Olsson

The Metropolis algorithm is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm used to simulate from parameter distributions of interest, such as generalized linear model parameters. The "Metropolis step" is a keystone concept that underlies…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-08-31 Alexander P Keil , Jessie K Edwards , Ashley I Naimi , Stephen R Cole

We consider two types of discrete-time Markov chains where the state space is a graded poset and the transitions are taken along the covering relations in the poset. The first type of Markov chain goes only in one direction, either up or…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-06 Kimmo Eriksson , Markus Jonsson , Jonas Sjöstrand

The aim of this note is to investigate the concentration properties of unbounded functions of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. We derive concentration properties of centered functions with respect to the square of the Lyapunov's…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-14 Olivier Wintenberger

We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

We prove explicit, i.e. non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The problem is to compute the expectation of a function f with respect to a measure {\pi}. Different convergence properties of Markov chains imply…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-07 Daniel Rudolf