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In astronomical observations, the estimation of distances from parallaxes is a challenging task due to the inherent measurement errors and the non-linear relationship between the parallax and the distance. This study leverages ideas from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-05 Soham Ghosh , Uttaran Chatterjee , Jyotishka Datta

The "infamous upper tail problem" for $r$-uniform hypergraphs is to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a fixed hypergraph $H$ in a large binomial $r$-uniform hypergraph $\boldsymbol{G}$ exceeds its expectation by a…

组合数学 · 数学 2025-10-01 Nicholas A. Cook , Nguyen Nguyen

For exactly solvable models of planar last passage percolation, it is known that geodesics of length $n$ exhibit transversal fluctuations at scale $n^{2/3}$ and matching (up to exponents) upper and lower bounds for the tail probabilities…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-02 Pranay Agarwal

There is an increasing interest to understand the dependence structure of a random vector not only in the center of its distribution but also in the tails. Extreme-value theory tackles the problem of modelling the joint tail of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Michal Warchol

Let $X_{1},\ldots ,X_{n}$ be $n$ real-valued dependent random variables. With motivation from Mitra and Resnick (2009), we derive the tail asymptotic expansion for the weighted sum of order statistics $X_{1:n}\leq \cdots \leq X_{n:n}$ of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-08-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhi Li

In this paper we develop a novel inferential approach based on geometric records for estimating the tail index of heavy-tailed distributions. We construct a maximum likelihood estimator for the Pareto model and establish its strong…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-30 Martín Alcalde , Raúl Gouet , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

In the first part we analyze space $\mathcal G^*(\mathbb R^{n}_+)$ and its dual through Laguerre expansions when these spaces correspond to a general sequence $\{M_p\}_{p\in\mathbb N_0}$, where $^*$ is a common notation for the Beurling and…

泛函分析 · 数学 2024-08-06 Stevan Pilipović , Đorđe Vučković

Concentration inequalities for subgraph counts in random geometric graphs built over Poisson point processes are proved. The estimates give upper bounds for the probabilities $\mathbb{P}(N\geq M +r)$ and $\mathbb{P}(N\leq M - r)$ where $M$…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-29 Sascha Bachmann , Matthias Reitzner

It is argued that there is a need for fat-tailed distributions that become thin in the extreme tail. A 3-parameter distribution is introduced that visually resembles the t-distribution and interpolates between the normal distribution and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

In this note we give several characterisations of weights for two-weight Hardy inequalities to hold on general metric measure spaces possessing polar decompositions. Since there may be no differentiable structure on such spaces, the…

泛函分析 · 数学 2019-12-24 Michael Ruzhansky , Daulti Verma

Given an arbitrary continuous probability density function, it is introduced a conjugated probability density, which is defined through the Shannon information associated with its cumulative distribution function. These new densities are…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-26 H. M. de Oliveira , R. J. Cintra

The class of subweibull distributions has recently been shown to generalize the important properties of subexponential and subgaussian random variables. We describe alternative characterizations of subweibull distributions and detail the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-12 F. William Townes

We present an overview of possible reasons for the appearance of heavy-tailed distributions in applications to the natural sciences. These distributions include the laws of Pareto, Lotka, and some new ones. The reasons are illustrated using…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-24 Lev B. Klebanov , Yulia V. Kuvaeva

We translate inequalities and conjectures for immanants and generalized matrix functions into inequalities in the L\"owner order. These have the form of trace polynomials and generalize the inequalities from [FH, J. Math. Phys. 62 (2021),…

表示论 · 数学 2021-04-14 Felix Huber , Hans Maassen

The Zenga (1984) inequality curve is constant in p for Type I Pareto distributions. We show that this property holds exactly only for the Pareto distribution and, asymptotically, for distributions with power tail with index -a, with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-18 Emanuele Taufer , Flavio Santi , Giuseppe Espa , Maria Michela Dickson

We derive exponential bounds for tail of distribution for natural, i.e. under ordinary logarithm, normalized sums of arrays of random variables, not necessarily independent.

Several characterizations of the Generalized Inverse Gaussian (GIG) distribution have been proposed in the literature, especially over the past two decades. These characterization theorems are surveyed, and two new characterizations are…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-30 Angelo Efoevi Koudou , Christophe Ley

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

The issue of asymmetric uncertainties resulting from fits, nonlinear propagation and systematic effects is reviewed. It is shown that, in all cases, whenever a published result is given with asymmetric uncertainties, the value of the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

The velocity distribution function of granular gases in the homogeneous cooling state as well as some heated granular gases decays for large velocities as $f\propto\exp(- {\rm const.} v)$. That is, its high-energy tail is overpopulated as…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Thorsten Poeschel , Nikolai Brilliantov , Arno Formella