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We consider estimation of the extreme value index and extreme quantiles for heavy-tailed data that are right-censored. We study a general procedure of removing low importance observations in tail estimators. This trimming procedure is…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-13 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

A sequence of accompanying laws is suggested in the limit theorem of B. V. Gnedenko for maximums of independent random variables belonging to maximum domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution. It is shown that this sequence gives an…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-22 V. I. Piterbarg , Yu. A. Scherbakova

We find the exact values for constants in bilateral Calderon-Stein-Weiss inequalities between tail (Marcinkiewicz) norm and weak Lebesgue (Lorentz) norm. Possible applications: Functional Analysis (for instance, interpolation of operators),…

泛函分析 · 数学 2012-10-18 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We are concerned with the flexible parametric analysis of bivariate survival data. Elsewhere, we have extolled the virtues of the "power generalized Weibull" (PGW) distribution as an attractive vehicle for univariate parametric survival…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-11 M. C. Jones , Angela Noufaily , Kevin Burke

The quotient correlation is defined here as an alternative to Pearson's correlation that is more intuitive and flexible in cases where the tail behavior of data is important. It measures nonlinear dependence where the regular correlation…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Zhengjun Zhang

We provide a lower bound on the probability that a binomial random variable is exceeding its mean. Our proof employs estimates on the mean absolute deviation and the tail conditional expectation of binomial random variables.

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-22 Christos Pelekis , Jan Ramon

We make use of the empirical process theory to approximate the adapted Hill estimator, for censored data, in terms of Gaussian processes. Then, we derive its asymptotic normality, only under the usual second-order condition of regular…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-07 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

In this paper we propose an alternative to the coupling of Berkes, Liu and Wu [1] to obtain strong approximations for partial sums of dependent sequences. The main tool is a new Rosen-thal type inequality expressed in terms of the coupling…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-14 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

The estimation of parameters in the frequency spectrum of a seasonally persistent stationary stochastic process is addressed. For seasonal persistence associated with a pole in the spectrum located away from frequency zero, a new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-09-04 Emma J. McCoy , Sofia C. Olhede , David A. Stephens

Estimating the tail index parameter is one of the primal objectives in extreme value theory. For heavy-tailed distributions the Hill estimator is the most popular way to estimate the tail index parameter. Improving the Hill estimator was…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-05 László Németh , András Zempléni

The covariance of two random variables measures the average joint deviations from their respective means. We generalise this well-known measure by replacing the means with other statistical functionals such as quantiles, expectiles, or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-22 Tobias Fissler , Marc-Oliver Pohle

This paper focuses on rare events associated with the tail probabilities of the extremal eigenvalues in the $\beta$-Jacobi ensemble, which plays a critical role in both multivariate statistical analysis and statistical physics. Under the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-26 Yutao Ma , Siyu Wang

We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Jonas F. Frederiksen , Muneya Matsui , Rasmus S. Pedersen

In this paper we establish the error rate of first order asymptotic approximation for the tail probability of sums of log-elliptical risks. Our approach is motivated by extreme value theory which allows us to impose only some weak…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-12 D. Kortschak , E. Hashorva

This paper develops asymptotic approximations of $P(\int_Te^{f(t)}\,dt>b)$ as $b\rightarrow\infty$ for a homogeneous smooth Gaussian random field, $f$, living on a compact $d$-dimensional Jordan measurable set $T$. The integral of an…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-29 Jingchen Liu

Gaps (or spacings) between consecutive eigenvalues are a central topic in random matrix theory. The goal of this paper is to study the tail distribution of these gaps in various random matrix models. We give the first repulsion bound for…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-05 Hoi Nguyen , Terence Tao , Van Vu

We consider the problem of estimating quantile treatment effects without assuming strict overlap , i.e., we do not assume that the propensity score is bounded away from zero. More specifically, we consider an inverse probability weighting…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-24 Marco Avella-Medina , Richard Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

To provide a comprehensive summary of the tail distribution, the expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail above (or below) a certain quantile of the distribution. The expected shortfall regression captures the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Yuanzhi Li , Shushu Zhang , Xuming He

For first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with i.i.d. bounded edge weights, we consider the upper tail large deviation event; i.e., the rare situation where the first passage time between two points at distance $n$, is macroscopically…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-05 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly , Allan Sly

Based on expert opinions, informative prior elicitation for the common Weibull lifetime distribution usually presents some difficulties since it requires to elicit a two-dimensional joint prior. We consider here a reliability framework…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-10-22 Nicolas Bousquet