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We develop a completely new and straightforward method for simulating the joint law of the position and running maximum at a fixed time of a general L\'{e}vy process with a view to application in insurance and financial mathematics.…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-20 A. Kuznetsov , A. E. Kyprianou , J. C. Pardo , K. van Schaik

In Kuznetsov et al. (2011) a new Monte Carlo simulation technique was introduced for a large family of Levy processes that is based on the Wiener-Hopf decomposition. We pursue this idea further by combining their technique with the recently…

We develop a new Monte Carlo variance reduction method to estimate the expectation of two commonly encountered path-dependent functionals: first-passage times and occupation times of sets. The method is based on a recursive approximation of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-28 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius , Johannes Stolte

We obtain a new fluctuation identity for a general L\'{e}vy process giving a quintuple law describing the time of first passage, the time of the last maximum before first passage, the overshoot, the undershoot and the undershoot of the last…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. A. Doney , A. E. Kyprianou

This paper provides an exact simulation algorithm for the sampling from the joint law of the first-passage time, the undershoot and the overshoot of a subordinator crossing a non-increasing boundary. We prove that the running time of this…

Using the Wiener-Hopf factorization, it is shown that it is possible to bound the path of an arbitrary Levy process above and below by the paths of two random walks. These walks have the same step distribution, but different random starting…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. A. Doney

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

We propose a novel estimation framework for path-dependent functionals of Levy processes from discretely observed data. Traditional approaches rely on Monte Carlo simulation of full paths, which requires complete model specification and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

Many problems in finance require the information on the first passage time (FPT) of a stochastic process. Mathematically, such problems are often reduced to the evaluation of the probability density of the time for such a process to cross a…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-20 Di Zhang , Roderick V. N. Melnik

In [16], under mild conditions, a Wiener-Hopf type factorization is derived for the exponential functional of proper L\'evy processes. In this paper, we extend this factorization by relaxing a finite moment assumption as well as by…

概率论 · 数学 2011-07-05 Pierre Patie , Mladen Savov

The need to calibrate increasingly complex statistical models requires a persistent effort for further advances on available, computationally intensive Monte Carlo methods. We study here an advanced version of familiar Markov Chain Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-20 Alexandros Beskos , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Erik Pazos

In this paper we address the problem of rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. We propose a strongly efficient importance sampling algorithm that builds upon the sample path large deviations for…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-17 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

Path sampling allows the study of rare events like chemical reactions, nucleation and protein folding via a Monte Carlo (MC) exploration in path space. Instead of configuration points, this method samples short molecular dynamics (MD)…

化学物理 · 物理学 2023-01-25 Daniel T. Zhang , Enrico Riccardi , Titus S. van Erp

We investigate the behavior of L\'{e}vy processes with convolution equivalent L\'{e}vy measures, up to the time of first passage over a high level u. Such problems arise naturally in the context of insurance risk where u is the initial…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-23 Philip S. Griffin

The last couple of years has seen a remarkable number of new, explicit examples of the Wiener-Hopf factorization for Levy processes where previously there had been very few. We mention in particular the many cases of spectrally negative…

概率论 · 数学 2011-04-12 Alexey Kuznetsov , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Juan Carlos Pardo

An important family of stochastic processes arising in many areas of applied probability is the class of L\'evy processes. Generally, such processes are not simulatable especially for those with infinite activity. In practice, it is common…

概率论 · 数学 2014-08-06 M. Ben Alaya , K. Hajji , A. Kebaier

This paper considers the class of L\'evy processes that can be written as a Brownian motion time changed by an independent L\'evy subordinator. Examples in this class include the variance gamma model, the normal inverse Gaussian model, and…

概率论 · 数学 2008-06-02 T. R. Hurd , A. Kuznetsov

This technical report presents pseudo-code for a Riemannian manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC) method to efficiently simulate samples from $N$-dimensional posterior distributions $p(x|y)$, where $x \in R^N$ is drawn from a Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-30 Ulrich Paquet , Marco Fraccaro

The ``first passage-time'' (FPT) problem is an important problem with a wide range of applications in mathematics, physics, biology and finance. Mathematically, such a problem can be reduced to estimating the probability of a (stochastic)…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-20 Di Zhang , Roderick V. N. Melnik

We develop a computational method for expected functionals of the drawdown and its duration in exponential L\'evy models. It is based on a novel simulation algorithm for the joint law of the state, supremum and time the supremum is attained…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-20 Jorge González Cázares , Aleksandar Mijatović
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