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Covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes is analyzed in an asymptotic framework. The spatial sampling is a randomly perturbed regular grid and its deviation from the perfect regular grid is controlled by a single scalar…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-09 François Bachoc

The estimation of variance-based importance measures (called Sobol' indices) of the input variables of a numerical model can require a large number of model evaluations. It turns to be unacceptable for high-dimensional model involving a…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-28 Matieyendou Lamboni , Bertrand Iooss , Anne-Laure Popelin , Fabrice Gamboa

Crystal plasticity models are a powerful tool for predicting the deformation behaviour of polycrystalline materials accounting for the underlying grain morphology and texture. These models typically have a large number of parameters, an…

材料科学 · 物理学 2023-12-20 Hugh Dorward , David M. Knowles , Eralp Demir , Mahmoud Mostafavi , Matthew J. Peel

We consider the estimation of sensitivity indices based on divergence measures such as Hellinger distance. For sensitivity analysis of complex models, these divergence-based indices can be estimated by Monte-Carlo sampling (MCS) in…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-18 A. W. Eggels , D. T. Crommelin

Sensitivity analysis (SA) is an important aspect of process automation. It often aims to identify the process inputs that influence the process output's variance significantly. Existing SA approaches typically consider the input-output…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-09 Zhanlin Liu , Ashis G. Banerjee , Youngjun Choe

The method of derivative based global sensitivity measures (DGSM) has recently become popular among practitioners. It has a strong link with the Morris screening method and Sobol' sensitivity indices and has several advantages over them.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-05 Serge Kucherenko , Bertrand Iooss

We propose a new importance sampling framework for the estimation and analysis of Sobol' indices. We focus on the estimation of the conditional second-moment quantity underlying these indices, which is the most challenging term to estimate.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-03 Haythem Boucharif , Jérôme Morio , Paul Rochet

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

In this paper an efficient and reliable method for stochastic yield estimation is presented. Since one main challenge of uncertainty quantification is the computational feasibility, we propose a hybrid approach where most of the Monte Carlo…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-10-12 Mona Fuhrländer , Sebastian Schöps

Uncertainties exist in both physics-based and data-driven models. Variance-based sensitivity analysis characterizes how the variance of a model output is propagated from the model inputs. The Sobol index is one of the most widely used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-09 Zhanlin Liu , Youngjun Choe

Traditionally, the sensitivity analysis of a Bayesian network studies the impact of individually modifying the entries of its conditional probability tables in a one-at-a-time (OAT) fashion. However, this approach fails to give a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

Global sensitivity analysis aims at quantifying respective effects of input random variables (or combinations thereof) onto variance of a physical or mathematical model response. Among the abundant literature on sensitivity measures, Sobol'…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-12 E. Burnaev , I. Panin , B. Sudret

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) aims at quantifying the contribution of input variables over the variability of model outputs. In the frame of functional outputs, a common goal is to compute sensitivity maps (SM), i.e sensitivity indices…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-12 Yuri Sao , Olivier Roustant , Geraldo de Freitas Maciel

Predictions from science and engineering models depend on several input parameters. Global sensitivity analysis quantifies the importance of each input parameter, which can lead to insight into the model and reduced computational cost;…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-07-28 Paul G. Constantine , Paul Diaz

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is frequently used to analyze the influence of uncertain parameters in mathematical models and simulations. In principle, tools from GSA may be extended to analyze the influence of parameters in statistical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-29 Joseph Hart , Julie Bessac , Emil Constantinescu

Sensitivity analysis plays an important role in the development of computer models/simulators through identifying the contribution of each (uncertain) input factor to the model output variability. This report investigates different aspects…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-24 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Clémentine Prieur

The hierarchically orthogonal functional decomposition of any measurable function f of a random vector X=(X_1,...,X_p) consists in decomposing f(X) into a sum of increasing dimension functions depending only on a subvector of X. Even when…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-05-22 Gaelle Chastaing , Clémentine Prieur , Fabrice Gamboa

A tuning-free procedure is proposed to estimate the covariate-adjusted Gaussian graphical model. For each finite subgraph, this estimator is asymptotically normal and efficient. As a consequence, a confidence interval can be obtained for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-09-24 Mengjie Chen , Zhao Ren , Hongyu Zhao , Harrison Zhou

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a Bayesian machine learning approach widely used to construct surrogate models for the uncertainty quantification of computer simulation codes in industrial applications. It provides both a mean predictor and an…

Consider a process, stochastic or deterministic, obtained by using a numerical integration scheme, or from Monte-Carlo methods involving an approximation to an integral, or a Newton-Raphson iteration to approximate the root of an equation.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2010-06-17 Don McLeish