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We show how to apply the macroscopic fluctuation theory (MFT) of Bertini, De Sole, Gabrielli, Jona-Lasinio, and Landim to study the current fluctuations of diffusive systems with a step initial condition. We argue that one has to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 B. Derrida , A. Gerschenfeld

In [Precise Asymptotics for Robust Stochastic Volatility Models; Ann. Appl. Probab. 2021] we introduce a new methodology to analyze large classes of (classical and rough) stochastic volatility models, with special regard to short-time and…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-30 Peter K. Friz , Paul Gassiat , Paolo Pigato

Multiscale stochastic volatility models have been developed as an efficient way to capture the principle effects on derivative pricing and portfolio optimization of randomly varying volatility. The recent book Fouque, Papanicolaou, Sircar…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2015-09-17 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Matthew Lorig , Ronnie Sircar

A small-time Edgeworth expansion of the density of an asset price is given under a general stochastic volatility model, from which asymptotic expansions of put option prices and at-the-money implied volatilities follow. A limit theorem for…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-03-25 Omar El Euch , Masaaki Fukasawa , Jim Gatheral , Mathieu Rosenbaum

The martingale expansion provides a refined approximation to the marginal distributions of martingales beyond the normal approximation implied by the martingale central limit theorem. We develop a martingale expansion framework specifically…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-06 Masaaki Fukasawa

We present a new framework for modeling the statistical behavior of both fully developed turbulence and short-term dynamics of financial markets based on the nonextensive thermostatistics proposed by Tsallis. We also show that intermittency…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 F. M. Ramos , C. Rodrigues Neto , R. R. Rosa

In the Vasicek credit portfolio model, tail risk is driven primarily by the asset-correlation parameter, yet empirically is subject to correlation risk. We propose a stochastic correlation extension of the Vasicek framework in which the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-06 Dhruv Bansal , Mayank Goud , Sourav Majumdar

A subdiffusion problem in which the diffusion term is related to a stable stochastic process is introduced. Linear models of these systems have been studied in a general way, but non-linear models require a more specific analysis. The model…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-05 Soveny Solís , Vicente Vergara

We study the asymptotics of Allen-Cahn-type bistable reaction-diffusion equations which are additively perturbed by a stochastic forcing (time white noise). The conclusion is that the long time, large space behavior of the solutions is…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-09-13 Pierre-Louis Lions , Panagiotis E. Souganidis

We consider spatially extended conductance based neuronal models with noise described by a stochastic reaction diffusion equation with additive noise coupled to a control variable with multiplicative noise but no diffusion. We only assume a…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-16 Martin Sauer , Wilhelm Stannat

We derive asymptotic expansions for the prices of a variety of European and barrier-style claims in a general local-stochastic volatility setting. Our method combines Taylor series expansions of the diffusion coefficients with an expansion…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-04-07 Weston Barger , Matthew Lorig

Most of the theoretical results on the kinematic amplification of small-scale magnetic fluctuations by turbulence have been confined to the model of white-noise-like advecting turbulent velocity field. In this work, the statistics of the…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Alexander Schekochihin , Russell Kulsrud

We extend the celebrated Rothschild and Stiglitz (1970) definition of Mean-Preserving Spreads to a dynamic framework. We adapt the original integral conditions to transition probability densities, and give sufficient conditions for their…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-26 Jean-Louis Arcand , Max-Olivier Hongler , Daniele Rinaldo

We consider a model for chaotic diffusion with amplification on graphs associated with piecewise-linear maps of the interval [S. Lepri, Chaos Solitons & Fractals, 139,110003 (2020)]. We determine the conditions for having fat-tailed…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2024-01-19 Stefano Lepri

We study the local asymptotic normality (LAN) property for the likelihood function associated with discretely observed $d$-dimensional McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations over a fixed time interval. The model involves a joint…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Akram Heidari , Mark Podolskij

In this short note, we prove an asymptotic expansion for the ratio of the Dirichlet density to the multivariate normal density with the same mean and covariance matrix. The expansion is then used to derive an upper bound on the total…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-25 Frédéric Ouimet

Physical notions of stochastic resonance for potential diffusions in periodically changing double-well potentials such as the spectral power amplification have proved to be defective. They are not robust for the passage to their effective…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Samuel Herrmann , Peter Imkeller

Turbulence is a non-local phenomenon and has multiple-scales. Non-locality can be addressed either implicitly or explicitly. Implicitly, by subsequent resolution of all spatio-temporal scales. However, if directly solved for the temporal or…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-01-28 Pavan Pranjivan Mehta

In this paper we introduce and analyze a class of diffusion type equations related to certain non-Markovian stochastic processes. We start from the forward drift equation which is made non-local in time by the introduction of a suitable…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Antonio Mura , Murad S. Taqqu , Francesco Mainardi

By introducing the small noise expansion techniques, we show that the fully nonlinear (non-Markovian) stochastic inflationary system, may be re-cast in terms of an infinite set of Wiener processes (stochastic equations with white noises).…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-04-02 Diego Cruces , Cristiano Germani , Amin Nassiri-Rad , Masahide Yamaguchi