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In statistical modeling of computer experiments sometimes prior information is available about the underlying function. For example, the physical system simulated by the computer code may be known to be monotone with respect to some or all…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-17 Shirin Golchi , Derek R. Bingham , Hugh Chipman , David A. Campbell

In the event of a nuclear accident, or the detonation of a radiological dispersal device, quickly locating the source of the accident or blast is important for emergency response and environmental decontamination. At a specified time after…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-26 Christopher Edwards , Ralph C Smith

We trace with unprecedented numerical accuracy the phase diagram of the Gaussian-core model, a classical system of point particles interacting via a Gaussian-shaped, purely repulsive potential. This model, which provides a reliable…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2011-10-25 S. Prestipino , F. Saija , P. V. Giaquinta

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Elucidating electrostatic surface potentials contributes to a deeper understanding of the nature of matter and its physicochemical properties, which is the basis for a wide field of applications. Scanning quantum dot microscopy, a recently…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-07 Maik Pfefferkorn , Michael Maiworm , Christian Wagner , F. Stefan Tautz , Rolf Findeisen

This paper proposes a flexible Bayesian approach to multiple imputation using conditional Gaussian mixtures. We introduce novel shrinkage priors for covariate-dependent mixing proportions in the mixture models to automatically select the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-17 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim , Kosuke Morikawa

The continuous variable quantum computing platform constitutes a promising candidate for realizing quantum advantage, as exemplified in Gaussian Boson Sampling. While noise in the experiments makes the computation attainable for classical…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-08-11 Jonas Vinther , Michael James Kastoryano

The use of mobile robotics in radioactive source seeking has become an important part of modern radiation-safety practices, supporting timely mitigation of contamination risks and helping protect public health. However, measuring radiation…

应用物理 · 物理学 2026-05-15 Lysander Miller , Joshua Keene , Jeremy M. C. Brown , Airlie Chapman

Subsurface remediation often involves reconstruction of contaminant release history from sparse observations of solute concentration. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), the most accurate and general method for this task, is rarely used in…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-11-03 Zitong Zhou , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) has emerged as a prominent 3D representation for high-fidelity and real-time rendering. Prior work has coupled physics simulation with Gaussians, but predominantly targets soft, deformable materials, leaving…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-15 Bei Huang , Yixin Chen , Ruijie Lu , Gang Zeng , Hongbin Zha , Yuru Pei , Siyuan Huang

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) can be used for model fitting when the likelihood function is intractable but simulating from the model is feasible. However, even a single evaluation of a complex model may take several hours,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-19 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

In the paper, we present a strategy for accelerating posterior inference for unknown inputs in time fractional diffusion models. In many inference problems, the posterior may be concentrated in a small portion of the entire prior support.…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-07-03 Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

This article focuses on drawing computationally-efficient predictive inference from Gaussian process (GP) regressions with a large number of features when the response is conditionally independent of the features given the projection to a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-27 Samuel Gailliot , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Roger D. Peng

Modern computer systems are highly configurable, with hundreds of configuration options that interact, resulting in an enormous configuration space. As a result, optimizing performance goals (e.g., latency) in such systems is challenging…

性能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-04 Md Shahriar Iqbal , Ziyuan Zhong , Iftakhar Ahmad , Baishakhi Ray , Pooyan Jamshidi

Fastest arrival events, where the first among many diffusing particles reaches a target, are central in triggering signal initiation in molecular stochastic systems. Classical approaches to simulate such events rely on full trajectory…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-26 Emmanuel Akame Mfoumou , David Holcman

A number of methods have been proposed for causal effect estimation, yet few have demonstrated efficacy in handling data with complex structures, such as images. To fill this gap, we propose Causal Multi-task Deep Ensemble (CMDE), a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-30 Ziyang Jiang , Zhuoran Hou , Yiling Liu , Yiman Ren , Keyu Li , David Carlson

Infectious disease dynamics operate across multiple biological scales, with within-host viral dynamics being a key driver of between-host transmission. However, while models that explicitly link these scales exist, none have been developed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Dylan J. Morris , Lauren Kennedy , Andrew J. Black

Locks and dams are critical pieces of inland waterways. However, many components of existing locks have been in operation past their designed lifetime. To ensure safe and cost effective operations, it is therefore important to monitor the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-12-14 Matthew Parno , Devin O'Connor , Matthew Smith

Multivariate Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a powerful probabilistic framework to represent complex interdependent phenomena. They pose, however, significant computational challenges in high-dimensional settings, which frequently arise in…

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis