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Empirical Bayes estimators are based on minimizing the average risk with the hyper-parameters in the weighting function being estimated from observed data. The performance of an empirical Bayes estimator is typically evaluated by its mean…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Regularized system identification has become a significant complement to more classical system identification. It has been numerically shown that kernel-based regularized estimators often perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Statistical agencies are often asked to produce small area estimates (SAEs) for positively skewed variables. When domain sample sizes are too small to support direct estimators, effects of skewness of the response variable can be large. As…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-09 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts

In this paper we derive a second-order unbiased (or nearly unbiased) mean squared prediction error (MSPE) estimator of the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) of a small area mean for a semi-parametric extension to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-26 Shijie Chen , P. Lahiri , J. N. K. Rao

The paper concerns small-area estimation in the Fay-Herriot type area-level model with random dispersions, which models the case that the sampling errors change from area to area. The resulting Bayes estimator shrinks both means and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-30 Hiromasa Tamae , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The term ``empirical predictor'' refers to a two-stage predictor of a linear combination of fixed and random effects. In the first stage, a predictor is obtained but it involves unknown parameters; thus, in the second stage, the unknown…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Kalyan Das , Jiming Jiang , J. N. K. Rao

This article addresses the problem of estimating the population mean in the presence of auxiliary information when study variable itself is qualitative in nature. Bias and mean squared error (MSE) expressions of the class of estimators are…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-12 Rajesh Singh , Prayas Sharma

An empirical best linear unbiased prediction (EBLUP) estimator is utilized for efficient inference in small-area estimation. To measure its uncertainty, we need to estimate its mean squared error (MSE) since the true MSE cannot generally be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-14 Masayo Yoshimori Hirose

We introduce a new small area predictor when the Fay-Herriot normal error model is fitted to a logarithmically transformed response variable, and the covariate is measured with error. This framework has been previously studied by Mosaferi…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-23 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Shonosuke Sugasawa

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

We consider a small area estimation model under square-root transformation in the presence of functional measurement error. When measurement error is present, the Bayes predictor can no longer be used as it depends on the covariates even if…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-27 Ka Long Keith Ho , Masayo Y. Hirose , Malay Ghosh

In parameter estimation, assumptions about the model are typically considered which allow us to build optimal estimation methods under many statistical senses. However, it is usually the case where such models are inaccurately known or not…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-14 Adrià Gusi-Amigó , Pau Closas , Luc Vandendorpe

A two-stage normal hierarchical model called the Fay--Herriot model and the empirical Bayes estimator are widely used to provide indirect and model-based estimates of means in small areas. However, the performance of the empirical Bayes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-26 Shonosuke Sugasawa

We address the problem of learning to benchmark the best achievable classifier performance. In this problem the objective is to establish statistically consistent estimates of the Bayes misclassification error rate without having to learn a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-17 Morteza Noshad , Li Xu , Alfred Hero

Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

In this article we have suggested an improved estimator for estimating the population mean in simple random sampling using auxiliary information under the presence of measurement errors. The mean square error (MSE) of the proposed estimator…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-12-05 Sachin Malik , Jayant Singh , Rajesh Singh

We consider the problem of sequentially learning to estimate, in the mean squared error (MSE) sense, a Gaussian $K$-vector of unknown covariance by observing only $m < K$ of its entries in each round. We propose two MSE estimators, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-05 Ayon Ghosh , L. A. Prashanth , Dipayan Sen , Aditya Gopalan

We consider a linear minimum mean squared error (LMMSE) estimation framework with model mismatch where the assumed model order is smaller than that of the underlying linear system which generates the data used in the estimation process. By…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-05-26 Martin Hellkvist , Ayça Özçelikkale

In this paper we have considered the problem of estimating the population mean in systematic sampling using information on an auxiliary variable in presence of non response. Some modified ratio, product and difference type estimators in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-06 Hemant K. Verma , R. D. Singh , Rajesh Singh

Parametric empirical Bayes (EB) estimators have been widely used in variety of fields including small area estimation, disease mapping. Since EB estimator is constructed by plugging in the estimator of parameters in prior distributions, it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa
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