相关论文: On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood…
Statistical machine learning theory often tries to give generalization guarantees of machine learning models. Those models naturally underlie some fluctuation, as they are based on a data sample. If we were unlucky, and gathered a sample…
The NLP community typically relies on performance of a model on a held-out test set to assess generalization. Performance drops observed in datasets outside of official test sets are generally attributed to "out-of-distribution" effects.…
A relation is obtained between weak values of quantum observables and the consistency criterion for histories of quantum events. It is shown that ``strange'' weak values for projection operators (such as values less than zero) always…
The Large Deviations Principle (LDP) is verified for a homogeneous diffusion process with respect to a Brownian motion $B_t$, $$ X^\eps_t=x_0+\int_0^tb(X^\eps_s)ds+ \eps\int_0^t\sigma(X^\eps_s)dB_s, $$ where $b(x)$ and $\sigma(x)$ are are…
The two-parameter Birnbaum-Saunders distribution has been used succesfully to model fatigue failure times. Although censoring is typical in reliability and survival studies, little work has been published on the analysis of censored data…
Importance sampling approximates expectations with respect to a target measure by using samples from a proposal measure. The performance of the method over large classes of test functions depends heavily on the closeness between both…
We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…
A new version of a strong law of large numbers for a ``good'' pairwise independent sequence of random variables (r.v.'s) with a small part of ``bad'' dependent r.v.'s is proposed. The main goal is to relax the assumption on the existence of…
We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…
Conditional probabilities are a core concept in machine learning. For example, optimal prediction of a label $Y$ given an input $X$ corresponds to maximizing the conditional probability of $Y$ given $X$. A common approach to inference tasks…
The empirical likelihood inference is extended to a class of semiparametric models for stationary, weakly dependent series. A partially linear single-index regression is used for the conditional mean of the series given its past, and the…
We consider the problem of inference after model selection under weak assumptions in the time series setting. Even when the data are not independent, we show that sample splitting remains asymptotically valid as long as the process…
A quantum transition can be seen as a result of interference between various pathways(e.g. Feynman paths) which can be labelled by a variable $f$. An attempt to determine the value of f without destroying the coherence between the pathways…
In \cite{FTD1}, we proved the almost sure convergence of eigenvalues of the SYK model, which can be viewed as a type of \emph{law of large numbers} in probability theory; in \cite{FTD2}, we proved that the linear statistic of eigenvalues…
Skorokhod's representation theorem states that if on a Polish space, there is defined a weakly convergent sequence of probability measures $\mu_n\stackrel{w}\to\mu_0,$ as $n\to \infty$, then there exist a probability space $(\Omega,…
We develop a general framework for extracting highly uniform bounds on local stability for stochastic processes in terms of information on fluctuations or crossings. This includes a large class of martingales: As a corollary of our main…
We initiate a study of when the value of mathematical relaxations such as linear and semidefinite programs for constraint satisfaction problems (CSPs) is approximately preserved when restricting the instance to a sub-instance induced by a…
Sufficiency, Conditionality and Invariance are basic principles of statistical inference. Current mathematical statistics courses do not devote much teaching time to these classical principles, and even ignore the latter two, in order to…
We adapt arguments concerning entropy-theoretic convergence from the independent case to the case of FKG random variables. FKG systems are chosen since their dependence structure is controlled through covariance alone, though in the sequel…
We revisit the fundamental question of simple-versus-simple hypothesis testing with an eye towards computational complexity, as the statistically optimal likelihood ratio test is often computationally intractable in high-dimensional…