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We study the ranking of individuals, teams, or objects, based on pairwise comparisons between them, using the Bradley-Terry model. Estimates of rankings within this model are commonly made using a simple iterative algorithm first introduced…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-16 M. E. J. Newman

The task of ranking individuals or teams, based on a set of comparisons between pairs, arises in various contexts, including sporting competitions and the analysis of dominance hierarchies among animals and humans. Given data on which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-21 M. E. J. Newman

The rating of items based on pairwise comparisons has been a topic of statistical investigation for many decades. Numerous approaches have been proposed. One of the best known is the Bradley-Terry model. This paper seeks to assemble and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-08 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn , David Firth

PageRank and the Bradley-Terry model are competing approaches to ranking entities such as teams in sports tournaments or journals in citation networks. The Bradley-Terry model is a classical statistical method for ranking based on paired…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-13 David Antony Selby

Paired comparison models, such as the Bradley-Terry (1952) model and its variants, are commonly used to measure competitor strength in games and sports. Extensions have been proposed to account for order effects (e.g., home-field advantage)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Mark E. Glickman

Pairwise comparison matrices are widely used in Multicriteria Decision Making. This article applies incomplete pairwise comparison matrices in the area of sport tournaments, namely proposing alternative rankings for the 2010 Chess Olympiad…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-20 László Csató

Paired comparison models, such as Bradley-Terry and Thurstone-Mosteller, are commonly used to estimate relative strengths of pairwise compared items in tournament-style data. We discuss estimation of paired comparison models with a ridge…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-03 Cristiano Varin , David Firth

Over the last few years, there has been a growing interest in the prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes, with particular emphasis placed on this area by the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Roberto Macrì Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli

Ranking athletes by their performance in competitions and tournaments is common in every popular sport and has significant benefits that contribute to both the organization and strategic aspects of competitions. Although rankings are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-08-28 Bogdán Asztalos , Boldizsár Balázs , Gergely Palla , Tamás Vicsek

Chess championships are often organised as a Swiss-system tournament, causing great challenges in ranking the participants due to the different strength of schedules and possible circular triads. The paper suggests that pairwise comparison…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-03 Lászlo Csató

Ranking items based on pairwise comparisons is common, from using match outcomes to rank sports teams to using purchase or survey data to rank consumer products. Statistical inference-based methods such as the Bradley-Terry model, which…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-01-09 Sebastian Morel-Balbi , Alec Kirkley

Ranking problems based on pairwise comparisons, such as those arising in online gaming, often involve a large pool of items to order. In these situations, the gap in performance between any two items can be significant, and the smallest and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-16 Heejong Bong , Alessandro Rinaldo

In this paper we bring a novel approach to the theory of tournament rankings. We combine two different theories that are widely used to establish rankings of populations after a given tournament. First, we use the statistical approach of…

综合数学 · 数学 2007-05-23 M. Brozos-Vazquez , M. A. Campo-Cabana , J. C. Diaz-Ramos , J. Gonzalez-Diaz

Large language models perform surprisingly well on many zero-shot classification tasks, but are difficult to fairly compare to supervised classifiers due to the lack of a modifiable decision boundary. In this work, we propose and evaluate a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 WonJin Yoon , Ian Bulovic , Timothy A. Miller

For nonbalanced paired comparisons, a wide variety of ranking methods have been proposed. One of the best popular methods is the Bradley-Terry model in which the ranking of a set of objects is decided by the maximum likelihood estimates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-07 Ting Yan

Comparative Judgement is an assessment method where item ratings are estimated based on rankings of subsets of the items. These rankings are typically pairwise, with ratings taken to be the estimated parameters from fitting a Bradley-Terry…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-22 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn

This paper considers the problem of ranking objects based on their latent merits using data from pairwise interactions. We allow for incomplete observation of these interactions and study what can be inferred about rankings in such…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-23 Federico Crippa , Danil Fedchenko

The Bradley-Terry model is widely used for the analysis of pairwise comparison data and, in essence, produces a ranking of the items under comparison. We embed the Bradley-Terry model within a stochastic block model, allowing items to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Lapo Santi , Nial Friel

There is an innate human tendency, one might call it the "league table mentality," to construct rankings. Schools, hospitals, sports teams, movies, and myriad other objects are ranked even though their inherent multi-dimensionality would…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-16 Jiaying Gu , Roger Koenker

We present ten different strength-based statistical models that we use to model soccer match outcomes with the aim of producing a new ranking. The models are of four main types: Thurstone-Mosteller, Bradley-Terry, Independent Poisson and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-15 Christophe Ley , Tom Van de Wiele , Hans Van Eetvelde
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