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Detecting broken time-reversibility at micro- and nanoscale is often difficult when experiments offer limited state resolution. We introduce a lumping method that builds an effective semi-Markov model able to reproduce exactly the full…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-12-16 Gianluca Teza , Attilio L. Stella , Trevor GrandPre

A function on the state space of a Markov chain is a "lumping" if observing only the function values gives a Markov chain. We give very general conditions for lumpings of a large class of algebraically-defined Markov chains, which include…

组合数学 · 数学 2018-06-19 C. Y. Amy Pang

Phylogenetic trees constitute an interesting class of objects for stochastic processes due to the non-standard nature of the space they inhabit. In particular, many statistical applications require the construction of Markov processes on…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-24 Rodrigo B. Alves , Yuri F. Saporito , Luiz M. Carvalho

A spectral method for identifying lumping in large Markov chains is presented. Identification of meta stable states is treated as a special case. The method is based on spectral analysis of a self-adjoint matrix that is a function of the…

数值分析 · 数学 2010-02-19 Martin Nilsson Jacobi

We use results from zero-error information theory to determine the set of non-injective functions through which a Markov chain can be projected without losing information. These lumping functions can be found by clique partitioning of a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-08-18 Bernhard C. Geiger , Christoph Hofer-Temmel

If the state space of a homogeneous continuous-time Markov chain is too large, making inferences - here limited to determining marginal or limit expectations - becomes computationally infeasible. Fortunately, the state space of such a chain…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-01 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

The limiting probability distribution is one of the key characteristics of a Markov chain since it shows its long-term behavior. In this paper, for a higher order Markov chain, we establish some properties related to its exact limiting…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-20 Lixing Han , Jianhong Xu

We obtain universal estimates on the convergence to equilibrium and the times of coupling for continuous time irreducible reversible finite-state Markov chains, both in the total variation and in the L^2 norms. The estimates in total…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-24 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

Lumping a Markov process introduces a coarser level of description that is useful in many contexts and applications. The dynamics on the coarse grained states is often approximated by its Markovian component. In this letter we derive…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-07-31 David Andrieux

We consider a strictly substochastic matrix or an stochastic matrix with absorbing states. By using quasi-stationary distributions one shows there is a canonical associated stationary Markov chain. Based upon $2-$stringing representation of…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-03 Servet Martínez

We construct different classes of lumpings for a family of Markov chain products which reflect the structure of a given finite poset. We use essentially combinatorial methods. We prove that, for such a product, every lumping can be obtained…

组合数学 · 数学 2013-10-15 Daniele D'Angeli , Alfredo Donno

Thermalization is one of the most important phenomena in statistical physics. Often, the transition probabilities between different states in the phase space is or can be approximated by constants. In this case, the system can be described…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-09-13 Francesco Caravelli

We consider the problem of testing the identity of a reversible Markov chain against a reference from a single trajectory of observations. Employing the recently introduced notion of a lumping-congruent Markov embedding, we show that, at…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Shun Watanabe

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

This work derives a theoretical value for the entropy of a Linear Additive Markov Process (LAMP), an expressive model able to generate sequences with a given autocorrelation structure. While a first-order Markov Chain model generates new…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-01-10 Bridget Smart , Matthew Roughan , Lewis Mitchell

In this paper, we develop a general theory for the estimation of the transition probabilities of reversible Markov chains using the maximum entropy principle. A broad range of physical models can be studied within this approach. We use…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-14 Erik Van der Straeten

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

This paper considers the speed of convergence (mixing) of a finite Markov kernel $P$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence (entropy). Given a Markov kernel one defines either a discrete-time Markov chain (with the $n$-step…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-13 Pietro Caputo , Zongchen Chen , Yuzhou Gu , Yury Polyanskiy

We introduce the notion of order of magnitude reversibility (OM-reversibility) in Markov chains that are parametrized by a positive parameter $\ep$. OM-reversibility is a weaker condition than reversibility, and requires only the knowledge…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-26 Badal Joshi
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