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In the critical beta-splitting model of a random $n$-leaf rooted tree, clades are recursively split into sub-clades, and a clade of $m$ leaves is split into sub-clades containing $i$ and $m-i$ leaves with probabilities $\propto 1/(i(m-i))$.…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-18 David Aldous , Svante Janson

We propose a compartmental model for epidemiology wherein the population is split into groups with either comply or refuse to comply with protocols designed to slow the spread of a disease. Parallel to the disease spread, we assume that…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-27 Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

We introduce a model for the evolution of species triggered by generation of novel features and exhaustive combination with other available traits. Under the assumption that innovations are rare, we obtain a bursty branching process of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-01-29 Stephanie Keller-Schmidt , Konstantin Klemm

We consider a particle system in continuous time, discrete population, with spatial motion and nonlocal branching. The offspring's weights and their number may depend on the mother's weight. Our setting captures, for instance, the processes…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-12 Bertrand Cloez

Various rod-shaped bacteria such as the canonical gram negative Escherichia coli or the well-studied gram positive Bacillus subtilis divide symmetrically after they approximately double their volume. Their size at division is not constant,…

细胞行为 · 定量生物学 2015-06-18 Ariel Amir

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

Fluctuations of cell state, e.g., abundances of some proteins, have attracted much attention both theoretically and experimentally. The distribution of such state over cells, however, is not only a result of intracellular stochastic…

生物物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Katsuhiko Sato , Kunihiko Kaneko

We consider two versions of stochastic population models with mutation and selection. The first approach relies on a multitype branching process; here, individuals reproduce and change type (i.e., mutate) independently of each other,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-02-19 E. Baake , R. Bialowons

We study (plane) tree-valued Markov chains $(T_n,n \geq 1)$ with uniform backward dynamics and show that they can be obtained by sampling from a real tree. As non--plane trees, every such Markov chain is represented by a weighted real tree.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-17 David Geldbach

We analyze evolutionary dynamics in a confluent, branching cellular population, such as in a growing duct, vasculature, or in a branching microbial colony. We focus on the coarse-grained features of the evolution and build a statistical…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-02-15 Adam S. Bryant , Maxim O. Lavrentovich

We present an elementary model of random size varying population given by a stationary continuous state branching process. For this model we compute the joint distribution of: the time to the most recent common ancestor, the size of the…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-07 Yu-Ting Chen , Jean-François Delmas

The growth of a population divided among spatial sites, with migration between the sites, is sometimes modelled by a product of random matrices, with each diagonal elements representing the growth rate in a given time period, and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-05-04 David Steinsaltz , Shripad Tuljapurkar

Coalescent theory combined with statistical modeling allows us to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. When sequences are sampled serially through…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-02 Michael D. Karcher , Marc A. Suchard , Gytis Dudas , Vladimir N. Minin

The quintessential property of neuronal systems is their intensive patterns of selective synaptic connections. The current work describes a physics-based approach to neuronal shape modeling and synthesis and its consideration for the…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2009-11-10 Luciano da Fontoura Costa , Regina Celia Coelho

Modeling how individuals evolve over time is a fundamental problem in the natural and social sciences. However, existing datasets are often cross-sectional with each individual observed only once, making it impossible to apply traditional…

A one-dimensional cellular automaton with a probabilistic evolution rule can generate stochastic surface growth in $(1 + 1)$ dimensions. Two such discrete models of surface growth are constructed from a probabilistic cellular automaton…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 Pratip Bhattacharyya

Single-cell lineage tracking strategies enabled by recent experimental technologies have produced significant insights into cell fate decisions, but lack the quantitative framework necessary for rigorous statistical analysis of mechanistic…

We present a stochastic model of population dynamics exploiting cross-sectional data in trend analysis and forecasts for groups and cohorts of a population. While sharing the convenient features of classic Markov models, it alleviates the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-06-20 Agnieszka Werpachowska , Roman Werpachowski

Branching processes model the evolution of populations of agents that randomly generate offsprings. These processes, more patently Galton-Watson processes, are widely used to model biological, social, cognitive, and technological phenomena,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-02-26 Fabricio Murai , Bruno Ribeiro , Don Towsley , Krista Gile

We consider a one-dimensional dyadic branching Brownian motion on $\mathbb{R}$ with positive drift $\beta \in (0,1)$, branching rate $1/2$, reflected at $0$ and killed at a boundary $L > 0$. The killing boundary $L$ is chosen so that the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-06 Florin Boenkost , Julie Tourniaire