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By introducing a weight function into the density power divergence, we develop a new class of robust and smooth estimators for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions, offering improved efficiency in the presence of outliers. These…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-25 Saida Mancer , Abdelhakim Necir , Djamel Meraghni

In the world of multivariate extremes, estimation of the dependence structure still presents a challenge and an interesting problem. A procedure for the bivariate case is presented that opens the road to a similar way of handling the…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-11-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random vectors on $\mathbb{R}^2$, with unknown, common distribution function $F$. Under a sharpening of the extreme value condition on $F$, we derive a weighted approximation of the corresponding tail copula process.…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Laurens de Haan , Deyuan Li

I report a new statistical distribution formulated to confront the infamous, long-standing, computational/modeling challenge presented by highly skewed and/or leptokurtic ("fat- or heavy-tailed") data. The distribution is straightforward,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-11-01 Lawrence R. Thorne

Since the turn of the century, there has been increased interest in the application of heavy-tailed distributions, particularly stable distributions, to problems in physics and finance. Although, the tails of stable distributions provide a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-08 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová

A theoretical expression is derived for the mean squared error of a nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient, depending on a threshold that defines which rank delimits the tails of a distribution. We propose a new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-25 Matthieu Garcin , Maxime L. D. Nicolas

We propose a new testing procedure about the tail weight parameter of multivariate Student $t$ distributions by having recourse to the Le Cam methodology. Our test is asymptotically as efficient as the classical likelihood ratio test, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-10 Christophe Ley , Anouk Neven

This paper introduces a flexible framework for the estimation of the conditional tail index of heavy tailed distributions. In this framework, the tail index is computed from an auxiliary linear regression model that facilitates estimation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-23 João Nicolau , Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

In this paper we are concerned with a sample of asymptotically independent risks. Tail asymptotic probabilities for linear combinations of randomly weighted order statistics are approximated under various assumptions, where the individual…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-24 Alexandru V. Asimit , Enkelejd Hashorva , Dominik Kortschak

A phase-type distribution is the distribution of the time until absorption in a finite state-space time-homogeneous Markov jump process, with one absorbing state and the rest being transient. These distributions are mathematically tractable…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-08 Martin Bladt , Jorge Yslas

In quantitative finance, it is often necessary to analyze the distribution of the sum of specific functions of observed values at discrete points of an underlying process. Examples include the probability density function, the hedging…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-15 Jong Jun Park , Kyungsub Lee

It is argued that there is a need for fat-tailed distributions that become thin in the extreme tail. A 3-parameter distribution is introduced that visually resembles the t-distribution and interpolates between the normal distribution and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

We derive the tail inequalities between two random variables starting from inequalities between its moment, or more generally between its Lebesgue-Riesz norms, which holds true on certain sets of parameters. We consider some applications…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

The purpose of this paper is to show that the use of heavy-tailed distributions in Financial problems is theoretically baseless and can lead to significant misunderstandings. The reason for this the authors see in an incorrect…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-29 Lev B Klebanov , Irina V Volchenkova

The noncentral $t$-distribution is a generalization of the Student's $t$-distribution. In this paper we suggest an alternative approach for computing the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the noncentral $t$-distribution which is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-10-24 Viktor Witkovsky

We study distributional similarity measures for the purpose of improving probability estimation for unseen cooccurrences. Our contributions are three-fold: an empirical comparison of a broad range of measures; a classification of similarity…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Lillian Lee

We propose a stochastic process driven by the memory effect with novel distributions which include both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of the distributions is analytically derived from the continuum limit of…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-27 Jongwook Kim , Teppei Okumura

Empirical cumulative distribution functions (ECDFs) have been used to test the hypothesis that two samples come from the same distribution since the seminal contribution by Kolmogorov and Smirnov. This paper describes a statistic which is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-06 Connor Dowd

Power laws pervade statistical physics and complex systems, but, traditionally, researchers in these fields have paid little attention to properly fit these distributions. Who has not seen (or even shown) a log-log plot of a completely…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-09-07 Alvaro Corral , Anna Deluca , Ramon Ferrer-i-Cancho

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo