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Asmussen and Lehtomaa [Distinguishing log-concavity from heavy tails. Risks 5(10), 2017] introduced an interesting function $g$ which is able to distinguish between log-convex and log-concave tail behaviour of distributions, and proposed a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-25 Toshiya Iwashita , Bernhard Klar

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The quality of a tail model, which is determined by data from an unknown distribution, depends critically on the subset of data used to model the tail. Based on a suitably weighted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-19 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

We introduce a new functional measure of tail dependence for weakly dependent (asymptotically independent) random vectors, termed weak tail dependence function. The new measure is defined at the level of copulas and we compute it for…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-27 Peter Tankov

Computing the similarity between two probability distributions is a recurring theme across control. We introduce a unified family of distances between the probability distributions of two random variables that is based on the discrepancy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-03 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Arec Jamgochian , Nazim Kemal Ure , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Stephen P. Boyd

Given an arbitrary continuous probability density function, it is introduced a conjugated probability density, which is defined through the Shannon information associated with its cumulative distribution function. These new densities are…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-26 H. M. de Oliveira , R. J. Cintra

We derive the sharp non-asymptotical uniform estimations for tails of distributions for classical normed sums of centered normed independent random vectors having a moderate decreasing individual tails of summands.

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-08 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the 2nd kind of error…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Shun Watanabe , Masahito Hayashi

The paper investigates the problem of performing correlation analysis when the number of observations is very large. In such a case, it is often necessary to combine the random observations to achieve dimensionality reduction of the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Pavel Loskot

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

A record is an entry in a time series that is larger or smaller than all previous entries. If the time series consists of independent, identically distributed random variables with a superimposed linear trend, record events are positively…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-30 J. Franke , G. Wergen , J. Krug

The q-Gaussians are a class of stable distributions which are present in many scientific fields, and that behave as heavy tailed distributions for an especific range of q values. The identification of these values, which are used in the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-11 E. L de Santa Helena , C. M. Nascimento , G. J. L. Gerhardt

Let $X_{1},\ldots ,X_{n}$ be $n$ real-valued dependent random variables. With motivation from Mitra and Resnick (2009), we derive the tail asymptotic expansion for the weighted sum of order statistics $X_{1:n}\leq \cdots \leq X_{n:n}$ of…

概率论 · 数学 2014-08-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhi Li

How might one test the hypothesis that networks were sampled from the same distribution? Here, we compare two statistical tests that use subgraph counts to address this question. The first uses the empirical subgraph densities themselves as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-20 Gecia Bravo-Hermsdorff , Lee M. Gunderson , Pierre-André Maugis , Carey E. Priebe

The problem of estimating the coefficient of bivariate tail dependence is considered here from the robustness point of view; it combines two apparently contradictory theories of robust statistics and extreme value statistics. The usual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-07-08 Abhik Ghosh

The statistical distribution of the ratio of two normal random variables is characterized by its heavy-tailed nature and absence of finite moments. The shape of its density function is highly variable, capable of exhibiting unimodal or…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-07 Sheng Yang , Zhengtao Gui

Tail dependence refers to clustering of extreme events. In the context of financial risk management, the clustering of high-severity risks has a devastating effect on the well-being of firms and is thus of pivotal importance in risk…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Alexey Kuznetsov , Jianxi Su , Ricardas Zitikis

From mostly a measure-theoretic consideration, we show that for every nonnegative, finite, and $L^{1}$ function on a given finite measure space there is some nontrivial sequence of real numbers such that the series, obtained from summing…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-28 Yu-Lin Chou

We consider a Markov chain on $R^+$ with asymptotically zero drift and finite second moments of jumps which is positive recurrent. A power-like asymptotic behaviour of the invariant tail distribution is proven; such a heavy-tailed invariant…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-16 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

The cumulative distribution and quantile functions for the two-sided one sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov probability distributions are used for goodness-of-fit testing. The CDF is notoriously difficult to explicitly describe and to compute, and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-02 Paul van Mulbregt