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Many types of bounded data defined on the unit interval arise naturally as ratios of the form $X/(X + Y)$. In the existing literature, the main statistical models proposed for this type of bounded data typically based on the assumption that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Roberto Vila , Felipe Quintino , Marcelo Bourguignon

We investigate correlation time numerically in extremal self-organized critical models, namely, the Bak-Sneppen evolution and the Robin Hood dynamics. The (fitness) correlation time is the duration required for the extinction or mutation of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-01-08 Rahul Chhimpa , Abha Singh , Avinash Chand Yadav

In this paper we review Bernstein and grid-type copulas for arbitrary dimensions and general grid resolutions in connection with discrete random vectors possessing uniform margins. We further suggest a pragmatic way to fit the dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-30 Dietmar Pfeifer , Doreen Strassburger , Joerg Philipps

We propose a multivariate framework for modeling dependent default times that extends the classical Cox process by incorporating both common and idiosyncratic shocks. Our construction uses c\`adl\`ag, increasing processes to model…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-08 Djibril Gueye , Alejandra Quintos

We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-03 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Conditional copula models allow dependence structures to vary with observed covariates while preserving a separation between marginal behavior and association. We study the uniform asymptotic behavior of kernel-weighted local likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-06 Mathias Nthiani Muia

The concept of intermediate tail dependence is useful if one wants to quantify the degree of positive dependence in the tails when there is no strong evidence of presence of the usual tail dependence. We first review existing studies on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-12-05 Lei Hua , Harry Joe

Copula is a powerful tool to model multivariate data. We propose the modelling of intraday financial returns of multiple assets through copula. The problem originates due to the asynchronous nature of intraday financial data. We propose a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

We consider a discrete-time random walk where the random increment at time step $t$ depends on the full history of the process. We calculate exactly the mean and variance of the position and discuss its dependence on the initial condition…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Gunter M. Schütz , Steffen Trimper

During their lifetimes, individuals in populations pass through different states, and the notion of an occupancy time describes the amount of time an individual spends in a given set of states. Questions related to this idea were studied in…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-02 George Chappelle , Alan Hastings , Martin Rasmussen

Several gene-based association tests for time-to-event traits have been proposed recently, to detect whether a gene region (containing multiple variants), as a set, is associated with the survival outcome. However, for bivariate survival…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-04-03 Yue Wei , Yi Liu , Wei Chen , Ying Ding

While logistic regression models are easily accessible to researchers, when applied to network data there are unrealistic assumptions made about the dependence structure of the data. For temporal networks measured in discrete time, recent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Daniel K. Sewell

We consider dependence coefficients for stationary Markov chains. We emphasize on some equivalencies for reversible Markov chains. We improve some known results and provide a necessary condition for Markov chains based on Archimedean…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-06-20 Martial Longla

For a bivariate probability distribution, local dependence around a single point on the support is often formulated as the second derivative of the logarithm of the probability density function. However, this definition lacks the invariance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-25 Issey Sukeda , Tomonari Sei

We study the problem of choosing the copula when the marginal distributions of a random vector are not all continuous. Inspired by four motivating examples including simulation from copulas, stress scenarios, co-risk measures, and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-02-05 Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang , Ruixun Zhang , Chaoyi Zhao

Elevated levels of PM10 are known to cause severe respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, and, in extreme cases, cancer and mortality. Despite various reduction policies implemented across different sectors, PM10 concentrations in South…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-21 Soyun Jeon , Jungsoon Choi

We present an approach for modeling and imputation of nonignorable missing data. Our approach uses Bayesian data integration to combine (1) a Gaussian copula model for all study variables and missingness indicators, which allows arbitrary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Jerome P. Reiter , Daniel R. Kowal

To disentangle the complex non-stationary dependence structure of precipitation extremes over the entire contiguous U.S., we propose a flexible local approach based on factor copula models. Our sub-asymptotic spatial modeling framework…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser

In this paper, we construct a bound copula, which can reach both Frechet's lower and upper bounds for perfect positive and negative dependence cases. Since it covers a wide range of dependency and simple for computational purposes, it can…

概率论 · 数学 2021-02-01 Suman Thapa , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

In this paper, we study large losses arising from defaults of a credit portfolio. We assume that the portfolio dependence structure is modelled by the Archimedean copula family as opposed to the widely used Gaussian copula. The resulting…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Hengxin Cui , Ken Seng Tan , Fan Yang
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